Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (C/D, No More Than 3 Runs) (GBB)

Newcastle (AW)

18:00

Date 2023-12-28

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £5,373

Winning Time 1m 14.18s (slow by 3.78s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Filly One (IRE) Harry Russell · Geoff Oldroyd	6/4F	Won
2nd	Himawari (GB) Benoit De La Sayette · Marco Botti	4/1	2.25
3rd	Ruth Langmore (GB) Laura Pearson · David Loughnane	17/2	2.75
4th	Angel Of The Bay (GB) Ryan Sexton · David & Nicola Barron	6/1	2
5th	East Bank (GB) William Pyle · Craig Lidster	4/1	0.3
6th	Dollarindex (GB) Andrew Breslin · Bryan Smart	12/1	1.25
7th	Toy Boy (GB) Cam Hardie · Richard Fahey	33/1	2

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (5)	Filly One Chestnut J:Harry Russell T:Geoff Oldroyd	J:Harry Russell T:Geoff Oldroyd	129	—	1	-	90	22	48d	—	—	-13	20.6	0.38/1	6/4 40%
C&D winner on debut seven weeks ago; sets the standard under a penalty
5 (6)	Himawari Chestnut J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Marco Botti	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Marco Botti	125	—	9	-	72	36	22d	—	—	-12	5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Drop from 7f may not be ideal but her Kempton debut effort wasn't without promise
2 (7)	Angel Of The Bay Bay J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:David & Nicola Barron	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-12	5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Yard had a quiet season with 2yos; probably best watched unless there's good money around
7 (1)	Dollarindex Bay J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Bryan Smart	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Bryan Smart	123	—	6	-	59	49	19d	—	—	-6	2.5	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Took an early bump and needed the experience on her C&D debut this month
1 (4)	East Bank Bay J:William Pyle(5) T:Craig Lidster	J:William Pyle(5) T:Craig Lidster	136	—	150	71	76	5	94d	—	—	+5	12.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Has gone backwards from his debut win and been gelded since last seen; needs plenty more
6 (2)	Ruth Langmore Bay J:Laura Pearson T:David Loughnane	J:Laura Pearson T:David Loughnane	125	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Dam won easily on her 2yo debut for Tom Dascombe before regressing; watch the market
3 (3)	Toy Boy Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	130	—	—	-	41	24	20d	—	—	-3	1.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
This is easier and he's entitled to improve but he'll need a big step forward

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Filly One	11/8	11/8	11/8	6/4	11/8
Himawari	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Angel Of The Bay	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Dollarindex	9/1	8/1	17/2	15/2	8/1
East Bank	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Ruth Langmore	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Toy Boy	25/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	20/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Filly One

20.6

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 10.6

6/4

2nd

East Bank

12.4

OR: 5.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.1

10/1

3rd

Himawari

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

7/2

Angel Of The Bay

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Dollarindex

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Ruth Langmore

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Toy Boy

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
East Bank	71	76	5
Filly One	—	90	22
Himawari	—	72	36
Angel Of The Bay	—	—	—
Dollarindex	—	59	49
Ruth Langmore	—	—	—
Toy Boy	—	41	24

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Dollarindex	19d ago	Fit
Toy Boy	20d ago	Fit
Himawari	22d ago	Fit
Filly One	48d ago	Fresh
East Bank	94d ago	Long break
Angel Of The Bay	—	—
Ruth Langmore	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.