Try Our New Price Boosts At Unibet Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

20:00

Try Our New Price Boosts At Unibet Handicap

Date 2024-01-03

Distance 7f

Class Class 4

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £6,281

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (10)	McLean House Chestnut J:William Carver(3) T:Andrew Balding	J:William Carver(3) T:Andrew Balding	132	—	31151-	82	100	76	21d	—	—	+16	31	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Progressive sort who is 3-3 over C&D; much wider draw is the only negative
10 (1)	Sandy Paradise Chestnut J:Ethan Jones(7) T:Richard Hughes	J:Ethan Jones(7) T:Richard Hughes	126	p	27124-	76	97	85	21d	—	—	+6	20	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Good record at Kempton; ties in with McLean House on latest effort; solid chance
6 (11)	Love De Vega Chestnut J:Rossa Ryan T:Charlie Johnston	J:Rossa Ryan T:Charlie Johnston	131	—	05452-	81	99	73	13d	—	—	+4	16.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Went close in higher grade at Chelmsford two weeks ago; major contender
9 (5)	Billy Mill Bay J:Oliver Searle(7) T:Rod Millman	J:Oliver Searle(7) T:Rod Millman	129	—	09219-	79	99	85	112d	—	—	+8	20.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Has the ability to play a big role but lacks recent match practice
11 (2)	Supreme King Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:David Evans	J:Callum Shepherd T:David Evans	120	—	24506-	70	98	86	12d	—	—	-1	8.7	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Still a maiden but now returns to the scene of his peak AW effort
4 (4)	Hieronymus Bay J:Charles Bishop T:George Baker	J:Charles Bishop T:George Baker	132	p	26025-	82	96	81	23d	—	—	+6	14.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Losing spell goes back to 2020 but remains on a workable mark
8 (6)	Revolutionise Grey J:David Probert T:Stuart Williams	J:David Probert T:Stuart Williams	129	t	32684-	79	99	74	13d	—	—	+3	11.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Six-time AW scorer who remains well treated on peak form; not ruled out
1 (9)	Mitrosonfire Grey J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	136	—	39647-	86	97	70	8d	—	—	+4	11.8	2.75/1	11/1 8%
On an 18-race losing sequence but can't be totally dismissed in this grade
5 (7)	Zu Run Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Adrian Nicholls	J:Hollie Doyle T:Adrian Nicholls	132	—	97408-	82	93	58	140d	—	—	+2	10.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Inconsistent last year; market can guide on debut for new stable
7 (3)	Royal Parade Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Gay Kelleway	J:Billy Loughnane T:Gay Kelleway	130	p	98407-	80	97	61	57d	—	—	+3	9.2	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Opposed in this scenario on debut for new yard; 0-5 on AW and 0-4 over 7f
2 (8)	Tremblant Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Amy Murphy	J:Tom Marquand T:Amy Murphy	135	p	71307-	85	95	69	13d	—	—	+10	14.5	5.50/1	22/1 4%
AW winner in France; shaped better than bare result suggests on British debut

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
McLean House	4/1	9/2	9/2
Sandy Paradise	9/2	9/2	9/2
Love De Vega	11/2	5/1	11/2
Billy Mill	7/1	15/2	15/2
Supreme King	8/1	17/2	17/2
Hieronymus	10/1	10/1	10/1
Revolutionise	9/1	15/2	8/1
Mitrosonfire	11/1	11/1	11/1
Zu Run	14/1	12/1	12/1
Royal Parade	22/1	16/1	16/1
Tremblant	20/1	22/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

McLean House

OR: 8 Form: 18.6 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

Billy Mill

20.4

OR: 7.3 Form: 9.5 Odds: 3.6

15/2

3rd

Sandy Paradise

OR: 6.5 Form: 9.5 Odds: 4

9/2

Love De Vega

16.4

OR: 7.8 Form: 5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Hieronymus

14.9

OR: 8 Form: 4.5 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Tremblant

14.5

OR: 8.8 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Revolutionise

11.9

OR: 7.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Mitrosonfire

11.8

OR: 9 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Zu Run

10.4

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

14/1

Royal Parade

9.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

22/1

Supreme King

8.7

OR: 5 Form: 1 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mitrosonfire	86	97	70
Tremblant	85	95	69
McLean House	82	100	76
Hieronymus	82	96	81
Zu Run	82	93	58
Love De Vega	81	99	73
Royal Parade	80	97	61
Billy Mill	79	99	85
Revolutionise	79	99	74
Sandy Paradise	76	97	85
Supreme King	70	98	86

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mitrosonfire	8d ago	Quick return
Supreme King	12d ago	Quick return
Love De Vega	13d ago	Quick return
Revolutionise	13d ago	Quick return
Tremblant	13d ago	Quick return
McLean House	21d ago	Fit
Sandy Paradise	21d ago	Fit
Hieronymus	23d ago	Fit
Royal Parade	57d ago	Fresh
Billy Mill	112d ago	Long break
Zu Run	140d ago	Long break