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Kempton (AW)

17:30

Date 2024-01-03

Distance 1m

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,780

Winning Time 1m 41.45s (slow by 4.05s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Lovealot Bear (IRE) Finley Marsh · David Evans	150/1	Won
2nd	Miss Monte Carlo (GB) Hollie Doyle · Ed Walker	12/1	0.1
3rd	Last Empress (GB) Raul Da Silva · Roger Varian	100/1	1
4th	Turn Up The Heat (IRE) Rhys Clutterbuck · Ralph Beckett	50/1	1
5th	Budding (IRE) Billy Loughnane · Hughie Morrison	6/1	1
6th	Arts Of War (IRE) Aidan Keeley · Roger Varian	15/8F	2
7th	Hatadora (IRE) Alec Voikhansky · Richard Hannon	25/1	.5
8th	Bas Bleu (IRE) Tom Marquand · Ed Walker	7/1	0.2
9th	Apostle (GB) Jack Gilligan · Sir Mark Prescott Bt	16/1	2
10th	Private Getaway (GB) Morgan Cole · Marco Botti	14/1	1.75
11th	Wren House (GB) David Probert · Andrew Balding	9/4	5
12th	Red N Blue Dream (GB) Pierre-Louis Jamin · Tom Dascombe	125/1	10
13th	Moon's Reflection (GB) Callum Shepherd · David Evans	100/1	9

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (1)	Arts Of War Chestnut J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:Roger Varian	J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:Roger Varian	122	—	43-	-	78	32	40d	—	—	-21	14.4	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Kept on for third over 7f at Southwell in November; major player on first attempt at 1m
13 (2)	Wren House Bay J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	122	—	8-	-	58	-	160d	—	—	-16	6.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Not seen since low-key debut on soft turf last summer but has a good pedigree
4 (9)	Bas Bleu Chestnut J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	122	—	4-	-	71	16	28d	—	—	-10	4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Very respectable fourth in fairly good Lingfield novice on last month's debut
5 (4)	Budding Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Hughie Morrison	J:Billy Loughnane T:Hughie Morrison	122	—	8-	-	63	43	21d	—	—	-10	4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Made just a mildly encouraging debut when keeping-on eighth over C&D three weeks ago
8 (8)	Miss Monte Carlo Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Ed Walker	J:Hollie Doyle T:Ed Walker	122	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Out of a well-connected Listed winner and well worth a glance in the betting
2 (3)	Apostle Chestnut J:Jack Gilligan T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Jack Gilligan T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	122	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Out of a dual 1m1f Group 3 winner and looks interesting on paper
10 (11)	Private Getaway Bay J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Marco Botti	J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Marco Botti	122	—	376-	70	74	28	14d	—	—	+2	8.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Displayed improvement when sixth of 13 over C&D last month and this race looks easier
6 (12)	Hatadora Bay J:Alec Voikhansky(5) T:Richard Hannon	J:Alec Voikhansky(5) T:Richard Hannon	122	—	5-	-	65	-	11d	—	—	-3	1.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Fifth of six in muddling race on recent debut at Lingfield; tricky to weigh up
12 (10)	Turn Up The Heat Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Ralph Beckett	122	—	6-	-	59	-	11d	—	—	-2	0.6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Last of six after racing too freely on recent debut in muddling race at Lingfield (7f)
9 (5)	Moon's Reflection Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:David Evans	J:Callum Shepherd T:David Evans	122	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Third foal from dam placed over 6f; probably best watched on debut
7 (13)	Last Empress Bay J:Raul Da Silva T:Roger Varian	J:Raul Da Silva T:Roger Varian	122	—	90-	-	56	15	14d	—	—	-1	0.3	31.25/1	125/1 1%
With a top stable and has a good pedigree but was well beaten on first two outings
11 (7)	Red N Blue Dream Bay J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Tom Dascombe	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Tom Dascombe	122	—	60-	-	56	20	28d	—	—	-1	0.3	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Soundly beaten over 7f on first two outings
1 (6)	Lovealot Bear Bay J:Finley Marsh T:David Evans	J:Finley Marsh T:David Evans	142	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Didn't show a great deal in two Irish bumpers last spring; makes Flat debut today

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Arts Of War	7/4	7/4	13/8	5/4	13/8
Wren House	11/4	3/1	10/3	5/2	3/1
Bas Bleu	11/2	13/2	9/2	11/2	11/2
Budding	11/2	6/1	13/2	9/2	6/1
Miss Monte Carlo	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Apostle	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1	12/1
Private Getaway	16/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Hatadora	20/1	18/1	25/1	16/1	20/1
Turn Up The Heat	40/1	40/1	33/1	40/1	33/1
Moon's Reflection	125/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Last Empress	125/1	80/1	66/1	80/1	80/1
Red N Blue Dream	125/1	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Lovealot Bear	150/1	125/1	100/1	100/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Arts Of War

14.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 11.4

7/4

2nd

Private Getaway

8.1

OR: 5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.6

16/1

3rd

Wren House

6.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

10/3

Bas Bleu

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

13/2

Budding

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

13/2

Apostle

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Miss Monte Carlo

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Hatadora

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Turn Up The Heat

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Moon's Reflection

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

125/1

Last Empress

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

125/1

Red N Blue Dream

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

125/1

Lovealot Bear

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Private Getaway	70	74	28
Arts Of War	—	78	32
Wren House	—	58	—
Bas Bleu	—	71	16
Budding	—	63	43
Miss Monte Carlo	—	—	—
Apostle	—	—	—
Hatadora	—	65	—
Turn Up The Heat	—	59	—
Moon's Reflection	—	—	—
Last Empress	—	56	15
Red N Blue Dream	—	56	20
Lovealot Bear	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Hatadora	11d ago	Quick return
Turn Up The Heat	11d ago	Quick return
Private Getaway	14d ago	Fit
Last Empress	14d ago	Fit
Budding	21d ago	Fit
Bas Bleu	28d ago	Fit
Red N Blue Dream	28d ago	Fit
Arts Of War	40d ago	Fit
Wren House	160d ago	Long break
Miss Monte Carlo	—	—
Apostle	—	—
Moon's Reflection	—	—
Lovealot Bear	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.