Racing TV Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

20:30

Racing TV Handicap

Date 2024-01-03

Distance 1m

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,140

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (8)	Mamalouka Grey J:Tom Marquand T:Amy Murphy	J:Tom Marquand T:Amy Murphy	127	t	8902-	47	66	46	23d	—	—	-10	11.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Second at Chelmsford (1m, Polytrack) latest; up 1lb; big player if repeating that effort.
2 (9)	Publicity Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:John Butler	J:Daniel Muscutt T:John Butler	135	p	7803-	55	62	47	14d	—	—	-8	9.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Third on handicap debut (C&D; first-time cheekpieces); big player if stepping up on that.
1 (4)	Rising Force Chestnut J:David Probert T:Robert Eddery	J:David Probert T:Robert Eddery	135	—	12525-	55	65	55	23d	—	—	-2	12.3	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Probably had too much to do at Chelmsford (1m) latest; not ruled out.
5 (6)	Glen Heste Chestnut J:Finley Marsh T:David Evans	J:Finley Marsh T:David Evans	132	—	9709-	52	57	18	21d	—	—	-12	5.5	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Workable mark for handicap debut but only of interest if the market speaks in his favour.
7 (2)	Dire Wolf Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Adam West	J:Callum Shepherd T:Adam West	131	tp	0594-	51	61	46	14d	—	—	-9	3.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Under 4l fourth over C&D; drops 1lb; cheekpieces now also added; each-way potential.
3 (1)	Rubio De Oro Chestnut J:Hollie Doyle T:Marco Botti	J:Hollie Doyle T:Marco Botti	134	tb	000-	54	58	30	20d	—	—	-4	2.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
No surprise if he improves now entering handicaps and with blinkers added.
6 (5)	Cowboy Stuff Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Gay Kelleway	J:Billy Loughnane T:Gay Kelleway	131	e/s	78649-	51	62	41	23d	—	—	-6	2.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
May improve if another change of headgear (eyeshield) and a 2lb drop helps.
8 (7)	Danehill Star Bay J:Jack Doughty(7) T:Tony Carroll	J:Jack Doughty(7) T:Tony Carroll	128	—	67626-	48	63	28	23d	—	0W/1P 1 run	-1	5.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Blew the start at Chelmsford latest; drops 1lb and could go well if acting here.
4 (3)	Gone Like The Wind Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Rod Millman	J:Ross Coakley T:Rod Millman	133	—	970-	53	57	-	139d	—	—	-2	1.7	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Initial mark stiff based on her three starts; steps up in trip for handicap debut.
10 (10)	Bumblebee Bullet Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	126	p	077-	46	55	-	48d	—	—	-2	0.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Half-sister to 8.6f AW winner, so step up in trip may prove positive.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Mamalouka	10/3	3/1	10/3	11/4	11/4
Publicity	9/2	4/1	9/2	9/2	9/2
Rising Force	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Glen Heste	4/1	5/1	4/1	5/1	4/1
Dire Wolf	6/1	13/2	6/1	5/1	6/1
Rubio De Oro	11/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Cowboy Stuff	12/1	12/1	12/1	14/1	8/1
Danehill Star	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	12/1
Gone Like The Wind	25/1	22/1	25/1	25/1	22/1
Bumblebee Bullet	33/1	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Rising Force

12.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 7 Odds: 4

5/1

2nd

Mamalouka

11.2

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 6.2

10/3

3rd

Publicity

9.5

OR: 1.3 Form: 3 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Glen Heste

5.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

5/1

Danehill Star

5.1

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Dire Wolf

3.9

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Rubio De Oro

2.7

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Cowboy Stuff

2.6

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

14/1

Gone Like The Wind

1.7

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Bumblebee Bullet

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Publicity	55	62	47
Rising Force	55	65	55
Rubio De Oro	54	58	30
Gone Like The Wind	53	57	—
Glen Heste	52	57	18
Dire Wolf	51	61	46
Cowboy Stuff	51	62	41
Danehill Star	48	63	28
Mamalouka	47	66	46
Bumblebee Bullet	46	55	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Publicity	14d ago	Fit
Dire Wolf	14d ago	Fit
Rubio De Oro	20d ago	Fit
Glen Heste	21d ago	Fit
Mamalouka	23d ago	Fit
Rising Force	23d ago	Fit
Cowboy Stuff	23d ago	Fit
Danehill Star	23d ago	Fit
Bumblebee Bullet	48d ago	Fresh
Gone Like The Wind	139d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.