Southwell (AW)

19:30 ✓ Result

BetUK. Its Where The UK Bets Handicap

Date 2024-01-06
Distance 6f16y
Class Class 6
Going Standard
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 4yo+
Prize £2,983
Winning Time 1m 13.28s (slow by 1.08s)

Result

Pos Horse SP Btn
1st
El Hibri (IRE)
9/4F Won
2nd
Come On Girl (GB)
8/1 1
3rd
Urban Dandy (IRE)
11/2 0.2
4th
Kitbag (GB)
13/2 1
5th
Astrophysics (GB)
17/2 0.2
6th 10/1 2
7th
Billian (IRE)
14/1 .5
8th
Phoenix Glow (IRE)
66/1 .5
9th 12/1 .5
10th
Broxi (IRE)
40/1 5
11th
The Nail Gunner (IRE)
6/1 6.5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
8 (11)
El Hibri
Bay
J:Kieran O'Neill
T:Ian Williams
J:Kieran O'Neill
T:Ian Williams
131 p 14644-
56
72
59
43d -16
11.9
0.63/1
5/2
29%
6f win at Kempton in September; creditable efforts since, including C&D; headgear change
2 (5)
The Nail Gunner
Bay
J:Rob Hornby
T:D Donovan
J:Rob Hornby
T:D Donovan
134 ht 66007-
59
73
45
10d -10
7.5
0.88/1
7/2
22%
Promising stable debut ten days ago; good mark but best at Wolverhampton
9 (3)
Urban Dandy
Chestnut
J:Tom Eaves
T:Tony Coyle
J:Tom Eaves
T:Tony Coyle
131 p 05443-
56
75
55
53d -5
8.1
1.63/1
13/2
13%
Conditions to suit and he was running creditably on AW in the autumn; place shout
3 (10)
Kitbag
Bay
J:George Bass(3)
T:Jack Channon
J:George Bass(3)
T:Jack Channon
134 v 95216-
59
73
61
10d +3
15.1
1.50/1
6/1
14%
Wolverhampton winner last month and had an excuse last time; one to consider
7 (9)
Come On Girl
Grey
J:Christian Howarth(3)
T:Michael Appleby
J:Christian Howarth(3)
T:Michael Appleby
132 v 35502-
57
74
64
14d +2
9.6
2.75/1
11/1
8%
Good second after a break at Lingfield 2 weeks ago; 3lb rise in a better race the concern
5 (1)
Astrophysics
Chestnut
J:Hollie Doyle
T:Tony Carroll
J:Hollie Doyle
T:Tony Carroll
133 52970-
58
74
68
10d -2
5.6
3.50/1
14/1
7%
Ignore last time and he's well treated on last season's best; one to consider
12 (7)
Billian
Bay
J:Andrew Mullen
T:Philip Kirby
J:Andrew Mullen
T:Philip Kirby
123 p 73690-
48
73
57
18d -4
2.8
3.50/1
14/1
7%
Hold-up sprinter who should get this run to suit; short of his best the last twice though
10 (6)
Dapper Man
Bay
J:Jonny Peate(3)
T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray
J:Jonny Peate(3)
T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray
130 b 5909-5
55
73
41
1d -3
3
3.50/1
14/1
7%
Perked up a bit with blinkers back yesterday but only fifth of 11; 5f is his optimum trip
11 (2)
Ustath
Chestnut
J:Joanna Mason
T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray
J:Joanna Mason
T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray
129 15447-
54
72
65
16d -1
4.6
4.00/1
16/1
6%
Loves it around here and he should be sharper for last month's return; not ruled out
4 (12)
Broxi
Bay
J:Elle-May Croot(7)
T:Ivan Furtado
J:Elle-May Croot(7)
T:Ivan Furtado
133 93090-
58
71
39
15d +2
3.4
12.50/1
50/1
2%
Low-key stable debut over C&D two weeks ago; not easily recommended
1 (4)
Phoenix Glow
Bay
J:Cam Hardie
T:Derek Shaw
J:Cam Hardie
T:Derek Shaw
135 13299-
60
71
35
16d +7
8.3
20.00/1
80/1
1%
Low-key stable debut last month (100-1) and others have more pressing claims
NR (8)
Dyed In The Wool
Bay
J:TBC
T:Richard Fahey
J:
T:Richard Fahey
132 v 0079-6
57
68
40
2d
1.8
Struggled this winter; down the weights; visored first time when well beaten on Thursday
Horse bet365 Coral Virgin Bet
El Hibri
9/4 5/2 9/4
The Nail Gunner
7/2 7/2 7/2
Urban Dandy
6/1 13/2 6/1
Kitbag
11/2 6/1 6/1
Come On Girl
10/1 9/1 11/1
Astrophysics
12/1 14/1 10/1
Billian
14/1 10/1 12/1
Dapper Man
14/1 12/1 14/1
Ustath
16/1 16/1 16/1
Broxi
50/1 40/1 50/1
Phoenix Glow
80/1 50/1 66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Kitbag
15.1
OR: 2.3 Form: 9.5 Odds: 3.3
6/1
2nd El Hibri
11.9
OR: 1.5 Form: 2 Odds: 8.4
5/2
3rd Come On Girl
9.6
OR: 1.8 Form: 5.6 Odds: 2.2
11/1
4 Phoenix Glow
8.3
OR: 2.5 Form: 5.4 Odds: 0.4
80/1
5 Urban Dandy
8.1
OR: 1.5 Form: 3 Odds: 3.6
13/2
6 The Nail Gunner
7.5
OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2
7/2
7 Astrophysics
5.6
OR: 2 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.1
14/1
8 Ustath
4.6
OR: 1 Form: 2 Odds: 1.6
16/1
9 Broxi
3.4
OR: 2 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0.5
50/1
10 Dapper Man
3
OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7
14/1
11 Billian
2.8
OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.9
14/1
12 Dyed In The Wool
1.8
OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Phoenix Glow
60
71
35
The Nail Gunner
59
73
45
Kitbag
59
73
61
Astrophysics
58
74
68
Broxi
58
71
39
Come On Girl
57
74
64
Dyed In The Wool
57
68
40
El Hibri
56
72
59
Urban Dandy
56
75
55
Dapper Man
55
73
41
Ustath
54
72
65
Billian
48
73
57

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Dapper Man 1d ago Quick return
Dyed In The Wool 2d ago Quick return
The Nail Gunner 10d ago Quick return
Kitbag 10d ago Quick return
Astrophysics 10d ago Quick return
Come On Girl 14d ago Fit
Broxi 15d ago Fit
Ustath 16d ago Fit
Phoenix Glow 16d ago Fit
Billian 18d ago Fit
El Hibri 43d ago Fit
Urban Dandy 53d ago Fresh

Pace Profile

HorseRunning Style
The Nail Gunner Prominent
Astrophysics Hold Up
Billian Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 3 of 12 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 6f16y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.