Bet@racingtv.com Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

19:00

Bet@racingtv.com Handicap

Date 2024-01-17

Distance 7f

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 1m 28.54s (slow by 3.94s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Havanarama (GB) Ross Coakley · Hugo Palmer	6/1	Won
2nd	Chapman (IRE) Callum Shepherd · George Scott	11/2	.5
3rd	Hand Jive (GB) Rossa Ryan · Charlie Johnston	17/2	2.25
4th	Havana Smoke (IRE) Kieran O'Neill · Dylan Cunha	100/30J	2.25
5th	Compton Bay (GB) Georgia Dobie · Eve Johnson Houghton	13/2	0.2
6th	Inbetweenus (IRE) Rob Hornby · Gay Kelleway	16/1	1.75
7th	Eagle Landed (GB) Duran Fentiman · John Butler	16/1	1
8th	Ventura Empress (IRE) Taylor Fisher · Archie Watson	40/1	3.25
9th	Tea Leaf Ted (IRE) George Rooke · Dominic Ffrench Davis	100/30J	.75

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (7)	Tea Leaf Ted Chestnut J:George Rooke T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:George Rooke T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	116	p	9093-2	46	77	64	7d	—	—	-12	12.3	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Improved form in two C&D events since switched to AW; went very close last Wednesday
2 (1)	Havana Smoke Grey J:Kieran O'Neill T:Dylan Cunha	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Dylan Cunha	134	p	8304-2	64	75	54	9d	—	—	-6	14.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Ran well dropped to this grade and upped to 7f at Newcastle last week; respected
1 (4)	Havanarama Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Hugo Palmer	J:Ross Coakley T:Hugo Palmer	135	ht	4745-	65	72	-	187d	—	—	-7	8.2	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Combination of gelding op, first-time hood and switch to AW may prompt improvement
4 (6)	Chapman Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:George Scott	J:Callum Shepherd T:George Scott	132	p	0245-4	62	75	62	13d	—	—	-7	7	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Possibilities if proving suited by this new trip and change of headgear
6 (9)	Compton Bay Chestnut J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Eve Johnson Houghton	127	p	73825-	57	73	56	28d	—	—	-2	9.5	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Best AW effort when solid second over C&D on penultimate outing
7 (3)	Hand Jive Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Charlie Johnston	J:Rossa Ryan T:Charlie Johnston	126	v	54470-	56	74	56	20d	—	—	-5	3.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Hopes of shedding his maiden status are pinned on first-time headgear
3 (2)	Inbetweenus Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Gay Kelleway	J:Rob Hornby T:Gay Kelleway	134	p	565-7	64	72	55	12d	—	—	-1	5.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Open to progress back at this distance on handicap debut; interesting
5 (5)	Ventura Empress Bay J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:Archie Watson	J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:Archie Watson	132	p	485-5	62	73	60	13d	—	—	+1	3.9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
May well improve back at 7f on second handicap attempt; one to consider
8 (8)	Eagle Landed Bay J:Duran Fentiman T:John Butler	J:Duran Fentiman T:John Butler	116	—	09828-	46	72	39	56d	—	—	+2	4.1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Standout effort when runner-up at Newcastle on penultimate start

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Tea Leaf Ted	3/1	3/1	11/4	9/4	11/4
Havana Smoke	3/1	10/3	10/3	11/4	3/1
Havanarama	5/1	5/1	5/1	4/1	5/1
Chapman	6/1	11/2	6/1	5/1	11/2
Compton Bay	7/1	7/1	13/2	11/2	13/2
Hand Jive	9/1	17/2	17/2	9/1	8/1
Inbetweenus	16/1	18/1	16/1	18/1	16/1
Ventura Empress	25/1	25/1	22/1	25/1	22/1
Eagle Landed	40/1	40/1	33/1	50/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Havana Smoke

14.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 5 Odds: 6.2

10/3

2nd

Tea Leaf Ted

12.3

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 7.3

3/1

3rd

Compton Bay

9.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 4.4 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Havanarama

8.2

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Chapman

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

6/1

Inbetweenus

5.1

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Eagle Landed

4.1

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Hand Jive

3.9

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Ventura Empress

3.9

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Havanarama	65	72	—
Havana Smoke	64	75	54
Inbetweenus	64	72	55
Chapman	62	75	62
Ventura Empress	62	73	60
Compton Bay	57	73	56
Hand Jive	56	74	56
Tea Leaf Ted	46	77	64
Eagle Landed	46	72	39

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tea Leaf Ted	7d ago	Quick return
Havana Smoke	9d ago	Quick return
Inbetweenus	12d ago	Quick return
Chapman	13d ago	Quick return
Ventura Empress	13d ago	Quick return
Hand Jive	20d ago	Fit
Compton Bay	28d ago	Fit
Eagle Landed	56d ago	Fresh
Havanarama	187d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.