BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:15

BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap

Date 2024-01-19

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,234

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (4)	Camacho Star Chestnut J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	130	—	0413-2	59	77	52	14d	—	—	-13	16.1	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Has form figures of 132 since having wind surgery; consistent on AW; solid chance
4 (1)	Concert Boy Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	132	v	9553-5	61	81	59	13d	—	—	-13	9.4	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Won off 9lb higher here last May; latest race didn't pan out favourably; not ruled out
8 (7)	Little Ted Chestnut J:Phil Dennis T:Tim Easterby	J:Phil Dennis T:Tim Easterby	130	p	6454-2	59	77	54	11d	—	—	-3	11.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Close second over C&D last week; due to go up 1lb from tomorrow; warrants respect
2 (9)	Devasboy Grey J:Kieran O'Neill T:Ian Williams	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Ian Williams	133	p	55086-	62	74	60	35d	—	—	-5	6.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
0-13 for current yard but has possibilities off a reduced mark dropped in class
7 (6)	Abnaa Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	131	b	6090-5	60	81	45	11d	—	—	-5	5.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Defied a stone higher mark here last February; not solid on subsequent form
5 (2)	Whatwouldyouknow Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	132	p	42149-	61	76	55	34d	—	—	+5	10.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Drop back to Class 6 is a plus (all wins in this grade); multiple AW scorer
1 (8)	Bluebottle Blue Chestnut J:Adam Farragher T:William Haggas	J:Adam Farragher T:William Haggas	133	t	368-	62	72	21	42d	—	—	0	6.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
May well improve now handicapping with tongue-tie applied; one to consider
3 (3)	Sycamore Bay J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	133	—	/0940-	62	71	55	28d	—	—	0	4.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Far from consistent since his Southwell win a couple of years ago
6 (5)	Spring Romance Grey J:Billy Loughnane T:Michael Appleby	J:Billy Loughnane T:Michael Appleby	131	—	555/9/	60	-	-	746d	—	—	+1	3.1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Absent for two years and still has something to prove over this trip

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Camacho Star	9/4	9/4	2/1	9/4	2/1
Concert Boy	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	3/1
Little Ted	5/1	9/2	11/2	5/1	5/1
Devasboy	6/1	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Abnaa	15/2	8/1	9/1	8/1	15/2
Whatwouldyouknow	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Bluebottle Blue	16/1	14/1	12/1	12/1	14/1
Sycamore	20/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Spring Romance	50/1	33/1	40/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Camacho Star

16.1

OR: 2.3 Form: 5 Odds: 8.9

9/4

2nd

Little Ted

11.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 5 Odds: 4

11/2

3rd

Whatwouldyouknow

10.9

OR: 2.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Concert Boy

9.4

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

10/3

Devasboy

6.3

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Bluebottle Blue

6.1

OR: 3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Abnaa

5.4

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

9/1

Sycamore

4.2

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Spring Romance

3.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Devasboy	62	74	60
Bluebottle Blue	62	72	21
Sycamore	62	71	55
Concert Boy	61	81	59
Whatwouldyouknow	61	76	55
Abnaa	60	81	45
Spring Romance	60	—	—
Camacho Star	59	77	52
Little Ted	59	77	54

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Little Ted	11d ago	Quick return
Abnaa	11d ago	Quick return
Concert Boy	13d ago	Quick return
Camacho Star	14d ago	Fit
Sycamore	28d ago	Fit
Whatwouldyouknow	34d ago	Fit
Devasboy	35d ago	Fit
Bluebottle Blue	42d ago	Fit
Spring Romance	746d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.