Build Your Acca With BetUK Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

19:15

Build Your Acca With BetUK Handicap

Date 2024-01-19

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £2,983

Winning Time 1m 14.35s (slow by 3.95s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Athollblair Boy (IRE) Faye McManoman · Nigel Tinkler	7/1	Won
2nd	Warminster (GB) Phil Dennis · Katie Scott	12/1	.75
3rd	Yesterday's Hero (IRE) David Nolan · Richard Fahey	11/1	.5
4th	Asadjumeirah (GB) Cam Hardie · Antony Brittain	10/1	0.05
5th	Thaki (IRE) William Pyle · Katie Scott	9/1	1.5
6th	Mr Stanley (IRE) Andrew Mullen · Philip Kirby	80/1	.75
7th	Kath's Toyboy (GB) Paul Mulrennan · Kevin Frost	11/1	1
8th	Jems Bond (GB) Rowan Scott · Alan Brown	11/1	.5
9th	Captain Vallo (IRE) Sam James · Phillip Makin	6/1	1.25
10th	Nazca (GB) Tommie Jakes · Linda Perratt	7/2F	0.2
11th	Giogiobbo (GB) Dale Swift · Scott Dixon	50/1	5.5
12th	El Hibri (IRE) Kieran O'Neill · Ian Williams	9/2	3.75

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (1)	Nazca Bay J:Tommie Jakes(7) T:Linda Perratt	J:Tommie Jakes(7) T:Linda Perratt	133	—	1195-1	63	77	69	15d	—	—	+1	18.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Record of 5-7 since dropped to 6f, most recently beating Athollblair Boy here
12 (7)	El Hibri Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Ian Williams	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Ian Williams	129	p	4644-1	59	79	71	13d	—	—	-2	18	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Southwell win took his record for current stable to 2-6; should remain competitive
3 (9)	Captain Vallo Chestnut J:Sam James T:Phillip Makin	J:Sam James T:Phillip Makin	133	p	6007-4	63	79	64	10d	—	—	-7	7.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Interesting off a very handy mark returned to Class 6, being 2-3 at this level
5 (8)	Athollblair Boy Chestnut J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	132	—	0687-2	62	77	69	15d	—	—	+1	10.9	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Nine-time course winner; close second to Nazca here last time; fighting chance
7 (12)	Asadjumeirah Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	132	tv	40757-	62	81	53	65d	—	—	-3	5.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
On a long losing sequence but has possibilities off this mark dropped in grade
8 (11)	Jems Bond Chestnut J:Rowan Scott T:Alan Brown	J:Rowan Scott T:Alan Brown	131	p	7470-2	61	80	62	15d	—	—	0	10.6	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Only a modest second over C&D last time but remains well treated on peak form
1 (3)	Thaki Bay J:William Pyle(5) T:Katie Scott	J:William Pyle(5) T:Katie Scott	135	t	25890-	65	82	59	22d	—	—	0	6.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Could well revive back in Class 6, being 6-21 at this level; won this race in 2022
6 (2)	Kath's Toyboy Grey J:Paul Mulrennan T:Kevin Frost	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Kevin Frost	132	b	0303-7	62	81	74	13d	—	—	-3	5.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
2-29 on AW, both wins off lower marks; others preferred on balance
9 (6)	Warminster Bay J:Phil Dennis T:Katie Scott	J:Phil Dennis T:Katie Scott	131	—	0247-4	61	79	62	14d	—	—	-2	4.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
0-5 for current stable; each-way claims judged on C&D effort four starts ago
2 (5)	Yesterday's Hero Chestnut J:David Nolan T:Richard Fahey	J:David Nolan T:Richard Fahey	135	—	76966-	65	79	68	20d	—	—	0	5.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Has failed to progress from debut win but this drop to Class 6 may help
11 (10)	Giogiobbo Bay J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	130	p	8000-8	60	73	60	14d	—	—	+1	3.1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Has very unconvincing form since returning from lengthy layoff
10 (4)	Mr Stanley Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Philip Kirby	J:Andrew Mullen T:Philip Kirby	130	—	05300-	60	76	20	81d	—	—	+3	4.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Failed to beat a rival the last twice; still a maiden; debut for new yard

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Nazca	7/2	7/2	9/2	7/2	7/2
El Hibri	9/2	4/1	4/1	9/2	7/2
Captain Vallo	13/2	6/1	11/2	6/1	6/1
Athollblair Boy	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Asadjumeirah	10/1	17/2	17/2	17/2	8/1
Jems Bond	9/1	8/1	17/2	8/1	8/1
Thaki	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Kath's Toyboy	12/1	10/1	9/1	10/1	10/1
Warminster	14/1	12/1	14/1	12/1	12/1
Yesterday's Hero	16/1	16/1	14/1	14/1	16/1
Giogiobbo	50/1	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Mr Stanley	66/1	66/1	66/1	40/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Nazca

18.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 10 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

El Hibri

OR: 2.3 Form: 10 Odds: 5.7

9/2

3rd

Athollblair Boy

10.9

OR: 3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.9

7/1

Jems Bond

10.6

OR: 2.8 Form: 5 Odds: 2.9

9/1

Captain Vallo

7.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

13/2

Thaki

6.7

OR: 3.8 Form: 1 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Asadjumeirah

5.4

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Kath's Toyboy

5.4

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

12/1

Yesterday's Hero

5.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Warminster

4.5

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Mr Stanley

4.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Giogiobbo

3.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Thaki	65	82	59
Yesterday's Hero	65	79	68
Nazca	63	77	69
Captain Vallo	63	79	64
Athollblair Boy	62	77	69
Asadjumeirah	62	81	53
Kath's Toyboy	62	81	74
Jems Bond	61	80	62
Warminster	61	79	62
Giogiobbo	60	73	60
Mr Stanley	60	76	20
El Hibri	59	79	71

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Captain Vallo	10d ago	Quick return
El Hibri	13d ago	Quick return
Kath's Toyboy	13d ago	Quick return
Warminster	14d ago	Fit
Giogiobbo	14d ago	Fit
Nazca	15d ago	Fit
Athollblair Boy	15d ago	Fit
Jems Bond	15d ago	Fit
Yesterday's Hero	20d ago	Fit
Thaki	22d ago	Fit
Asadjumeirah	65d ago	Fresh
Mr Stanley	81d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.