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Newcastle (AW)

16:45

Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Handicap (Div II)

Date 2024-01-19
Distance 7f14y
Class Class 5
Going Standard
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 4yo+
Prize £3,716

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
5 (4)
Finn Russell
Brown
J:Callum Shepherd
T:Ian Williams
J:Callum Shepherd
T:Ian Williams
 132 — 11551-
69
84
70
 20d — — 0
28.6
0.47/1
15/8
35%
3-5 since returned to the AW; down in trip but still one of the likelier winners
3 (6)
Bowood
Bay
J:William Pyle(5)
T:Katie Scott
J:William Pyle(5)
T:Katie Scott
 134 b 5323-2
71
85
70
 13d — — -8
18.3
0.75/1
3/1
25%
0-10 but record in AW handicaps reads 253232; one to take seriously in this field
2 (3)
Novak
Grey
J:Andrew Mullen
T:Iain Jardine
J:Andrew Mullen
T:Iain Jardine
 135 — 3392-3
72
86
73
 6d — — -8
15.8
0.75/1
3/1
25%
C&D winner who has been running well lately having become well treated; high on list
1 (7)
Grey Force One
Grey
J:Paul Mulrennan
T:Philip Kirby
J:Paul Mulrennan
T:Philip Kirby
 135 — 60910-
72
79
70
 120d — — +7
14.6
2.75/1
11/1
8%
C&D winner in September, but may need the run after four months off
7 (8)
Ahamoment
Bay
J:Adam Farragher
T:David & Nicola Barron
J:Adam Farragher
T:David & Nicola Barron
 128 — 11703-
65
82
-
 161d — — +7
13.5
4.00/1
16/1
6%
Dual turf winner last June; has run well here but record fresh suggests run may be needed
6 (2)
Hougoumont
Chestnut
J:Ryan Sexton
T:Julie Camacho
J:Ryan Sexton
T:Julie Camacho
 131 h 47900-
68
84
-
 29d — — +2
5.6
6.25/1
25/1
4%
Course winner as a 2yo but last four efforts have been modest; enough to prove
8 (1)
Mykonos St John
Bay
J:Dale Swift
T:Scott Dixon
J:Dale Swift
T:Scott Dixon
 125 p 28289-
62
85
74
 20d — — +4
7.6
7.00/1
28/1
3%
Twice runner-up off higher marks at Lingfield in the autumn, but losing run now up to 26
4 (5)
Arranmore
Bay
J:Aiden Brookes(5)
T:Micky Hammond
J:Aiden Brookes(5)
T:Micky Hammond
 133 — 72085-
70
84
60
 73d — — +5
7.1
16.50/1
66/1
1%
Reportedly bled on stable debut in November and off 73 days since; has a bit to prove
Horse bet365 William Hill Ladbrokes Unibet Boyle Sports
Finn Russell
 7/4 15/8 15/8 15/8 7/4
Bowood
 5/2 11/4 3/1 5/2 5/2
Novak
 3/1 11/4 11/4 3/1 11/4
Grey Force One
 11/1 10/1 11/1 10/1 10/1
Ahamoment
 16/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1
Hougoumont
 25/1 20/1 18/1 22/1 22/1
Mykonos St John
 28/1 20/1 18/1 22/1 22/1
Arranmore
 66/1 40/1 40/1 33/1 40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Finn Russell
28.6
OR: 4.8 Form: 15 Odds: 8.9
15/8
2nd Bowood
18.3
OR: 5.3 Form: 5 Odds: 8
3/1
3rd Novak
15.8
OR: 5.5 Form: 3 Odds: 7.3
3/1
4 Grey Force One
14.6
OR: 5.5 Form: 7 Odds: 2.1
11/1
5 Ahamoment
13.5
OR: 3.8 Form: 8 Odds: 1.7
16/1
6 Mykonos St John
7.6
OR: 3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.1
28/1
7 Arranmore
7.1
OR: 5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.6
66/1
8 Hougoumont
5.6
OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1
25/1

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Novak
72
86
73
Grey Force One
72
79
70
Bowood
71
85
70
Arranmore
70
84
60
Finn Russell
69
84
70
Hougoumont
68
84
 —
Ahamoment
65
82
 —
Mykonos St John
62
85
74

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Novak 6d ago Quick return
Bowood 13d ago Quick return
Finn Russell 20d ago Fit
Mykonos St John 20d ago Fit
Hougoumont 29d ago Fit
Arranmore 73d ago Fresh
Grey Force One 120d ago Long break
Ahamoment 161d ago Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.