Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

12:15

Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2024-01-20

Distance 7f1y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £7,851

Winning Time 1m 24.17s (slow by 2.17s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Epsom Faithfull (GB) Paddy Bradley · Pat Phelan	13/2	Won
2nd	Arctician (IRE) David Probert · Simon Dow	8/1	1.25
3rd	Sandy Paradise (IRE) Ethan Jones · Richard Hughes	6/1	0.1
4th	Revolutionise (IRE) Jason Hart · Stuart Williams	7/2F	0.1
5th	Dayman (GER) Liam Keniry · Dominic Ffrench Davis	12/1	0.2
6th	See You Boy (GB) Hollie Doyle · Marco Botti	10/1	0.3
7th	Thapa Vc (IRE) Rob Hornby · Mark Rimell	11/1	0.3
8th	Ultramarine (IRE) Jordan Williams · David Evans	7/1	1.25
9th	Grenham Bay (IRE) Ryan Moore · Andrew Balding	6/1	1.5
10th	Plastic Paddy (GB) Callum Shepherd · Michael Appleby	22/1	.5
11th	Bowman (IRE) Daniel Muscutt · Laura Mongan	28/1	6.5

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
11 (3)	Grenham Bay Grey J:Ryan Moore T:Andrew Balding	J:Ryan Moore T:Andrew Balding	128	p	4223-5	71	95	79	7d	—	—	-10	11.9	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Placed twice over C&D last month; not so good dropped to 6f last week; headgear now added
10 (9)	Epsom Faithfull Bay J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Pat Phelan	J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Pat Phelan	129	—	3656-3	72	93	66	16d	—	—	-2	12.5	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Has dropped a long way in the weights and her recent third (1m) was more promising
1 (4)	Revolutionise Grey J:Jason Hart T:Stuart Williams	J:Jason Hart T:Stuart Williams	136	t	684-43	79	92	74	9d	—	—	-3	11.3	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Conditions fine and he's been shaping with some promise of late; one to consider
8 (10)	Sandy Paradise Chestnut J:Ethan Jones(7) T:Richard Hughes	J:Ethan Jones(7) T:Richard Hughes	132	p	7124-3	75	91	79	17d	—	—	+1	12.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Course winner; two solid runs at Kempton after a break; needs taking seriously
5 (11)	Thapa Vc Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Mark Rimell	J:Rob Hornby T:Mark Rimell	133	—	27311-	76	91	74	20d	—	—	+19	28.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Cosy C&D winner last month; 2lb rise fair enough and he's a leading contender once more
4 (6)	Ultramarine Bay J:Jordan Williams(5) T:David Evans	J:Jordan Williams(5) T:David Evans	134	—	151-12	77	91	74	9d	—	—	+1	8.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
In good form but beaten off 6lb lower last week; each-way prospects all the same
6 (2)	Arctician Grey J:David Probert T:Simon Dow	J:David Probert T:Simon Dow	133	h	54424-	76	92	76	20d	—	—	+5	11.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
C&D winner who comes here in good order; should be involved once again
3 (1)	See You Boy Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Marco Botti	J:Hollie Doyle T:Marco Botti	135	—	6919-6	78	92	70	9d	—	—	+2	9.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
C&D winner last month but that is sandwiched by lesser efforts; headgear off today
7 (8)	Dayman Bay J:Liam Keniry T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:Liam Keniry T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	133	—	/7033-	76	90	67	20d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+7	13.3	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Stayed on well from the back on his last two starts; handicapped to go well; contender
9 (5)	Bowman Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Laura Mongan	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Laura Mongan	130	p	/7869-	73	88	75	38d	—	—	+4	6.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Conditions to suit but he's been quiet since returning to action in September
2 (7)	Plastic Paddy Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Michael Appleby	J:Callum Shepherd T:Michael Appleby	135	—	35030-	78	92	37	70d	—	—	+8	10.4	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Low-key return at Southwell ten weeks ago; high in the weights and this looks competitive

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Grenham Bay	4/1	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3
Epsom Faithfull	9/2	5/1	5/1	5/1	9/2
Revolutionise	11/2	11/2	6/1	6/1	11/2
Sandy Paradise	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Thapa Vc	8/1	8/1	7/1	8/1	15/2
Ultramarine	9/1	10/1	9/1	10/1	9/1
Arctician	11/1	11/1	10/1	11/1	11/1
See You Boy	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Dayman	14/1	11/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Bowman	33/1	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Plastic Paddy	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Thapa Vc

28.9

OR: 6.5 Form: 19.5 Odds: 2.9

8/1

2nd

Dayman

13.3

OR: 6.5 Form: 5.1 Odds: 1.7

14/1

3rd

Sandy Paradise

12.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 3 Odds: 3.3

6/1

Epsom Faithfull

12.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 3 Odds: 4

5/1

Grenham Bay

11.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

4/1

Arctician

11.9

OR: 6.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Revolutionise

11.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

6/1

Plastic Paddy

10.4

OR: 7 Form: 2.7 Odds: 0.7

50/1

See You Boy

9.1

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Ultramarine

8.9

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Bowman

6.5

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Revolutionise	79	92	74
See You Boy	78	92	70
Plastic Paddy	78	92	37
Ultramarine	77	91	74
Thapa Vc	76	91	74
Arctician	76	92	76
Dayman	76	90	67
Sandy Paradise	75	91	79
Bowman	73	88	75
Epsom Faithfull	72	93	66
Grenham Bay	71	95	79

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Grenham Bay	7d ago	Quick return
Revolutionise	9d ago	Quick return
Ultramarine	9d ago	Quick return
See You Boy	9d ago	Quick return
Epsom Faithfull	16d ago	Fit
Sandy Paradise	17d ago	Fit
Thapa Vc	20d ago	Fit
Arctician	20d ago	Fit
Dayman	20d ago	Fit
Bowman	38d ago	Fit
Plastic Paddy	70d ago	Fresh

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Bowman	Front Runner
Thapa Vc	Hold Up
Dayman	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 3 of 11 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 7f1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.