Weatherbys Hamilton Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) – Lingfield

Lingfield

14:25

Weatherbys Hamilton Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)

Date 2024-01-21

Distance 2m7f

Class Class 2

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £33,820

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5	Nurse Susan Chestnut J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	153	—	124/71	129	143	119	36d	—	—	+1	28.2	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Lightly raced mare with Grade 1 entries and returned to form in a Cheltenham handicap
1	Bold Endeavour Bay J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	168	p	2-2352	144	142	138	37d	—	—	+16	31.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
They claimed 5lb when second at Cheltenham and he's gone up 2lb; faces no easy task
9	Ramo Bay J:Ned Fox(5) T:Venetia Williams	J:Ned Fox(5) T:Venetia Williams	146	—	2-1823	122	145	129	14d	—	—	+11	25.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Even with Ned Fox's welcome claim, this probably demands his best form yet
2	Gowel Road b/br J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	167	—	/21-47	143	144	138	29d	—	—	+15	26.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Outclassed in a Grade 1 latest; previous fourth over 3m at Haydock brings him into it
3	Angels Breath Grey J:Dylan Johnston(7) T:Sam Thomas	J:Dylan Johnston(7) T:Sam Thomas	163	—	P2-274	139	147	94	20d	—	—	+17	24.4	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Not without hope back over hurdles and Dylan Johnston's 7lb claim is something for nothing
4	Alaphilippe Bay J:Paddy Brennan T:Fergal O'Brien	J:Paddy Brennan T:Fergal O'Brien	159	t	52/2P3	135	143	-	39d	—	—	+17	23	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Major player on old hurdle form but below par over fences following a long absence
10	Tanganyika Bay J:Charlie Deutsch T:Venetia Williams	J:Charlie Deutsch T:Venetia Williams	144	—	6-4513	120	144	125	25d	—	—	+13	19.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Only third at Classic Concorde at Chepstow and a 2lb rise for that defeat seems harsh
6	Moka De Vassy Bay J:David Noonan T:Jane Williams	J:David Noonan T:Jane Williams	149	p	P-5301	125	145	127	22d	—	—	+15	20.4	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Beat just three rivals at Taunton last time but this is way tougher than that
7	Midnightreflection Bay J:Harry Bannister T:Ben Case	J:Harry Bannister T:Ben Case	149	p	5-U216	125	142	135	25d	—	—	+16	20	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Recent Ascot winner at the trip but now exposed and others are more intriguing
8	Shantou Express Chestnut J:Ciaran Gethings T:Kim Bailey	J:Ciaran Gethings T:Kim Bailey	146	—	913689	122	147	142	20d	—	—	+19	21.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Won off this mark at Stratford last summer but reservations at the minute
NR	Classic Concorde Bay J:Mr Tom Broughton(7) T:David Brace	J:Mr Tom Broughton(7) T:David Brace	143	p	111411	119	149	118	25d	—	—	—	39.3	—	—
Won 5 of his last 6 and, with a 7lb claimer enlisted, he's off the same mark as last time

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Nurse Susan	9/4	9/4	9/4	15/8	2/1
Bold Endeavour	5/1	9/2	9/2	4/1	9/2
Ramo	11/2	5/1	9/2	4/1	9/2
Gowel Road	13/2	11/2	6/1	11/2	6/1
Angels Breath	11/1	10/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Alaphilippe	12/1	11/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Tanganyika	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Moka De Vassy	16/1	12/1	18/1	14/1	14/1
Midnightreflection	18/1	16/1	22/1	18/1	18/1
Shantou Express	50/1	33/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Classic Concorde

39.3

OR: 17.3 Form: 22 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Bold Endeavour

31.4

OR: 23.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4.4

5/1

3rd

Nurse Susan

28.2

OR: 19.8 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

9/4

Gowel Road

26.6

OR: 23.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Ramo

25.9

OR: 18 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Angels Breath

24.4

OR: 22.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Alaphilippe

OR: 21.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Shantou Express

21.5

OR: 18 Form: 2.9 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Moka De Vassy

20.4

OR: 18.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Midnightreflection

OR: 18.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Tanganyika

19.4

OR: 17.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bold Endeavour	144	142	138
Gowel Road	143	144	138
Angels Breath	139	147	94
Alaphilippe	135	143	—
Nurse Susan	129	143	119
Moka De Vassy	125	145	127
Midnightreflection	125	142	135
Ramo	122	145	129
Shantou Express	122	147	142
Tanganyika	120	144	125
Classic Concorde	119	149	118

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ramo	14d ago	Fit
Angels Breath	20d ago	Fit
Shantou Express	20d ago	Fit
Moka De Vassy	22d ago	Fit
Tanganyika	25d ago	Fit
Midnightreflection	25d ago	Fit
Classic Concorde	25d ago	Fit
Gowel Road	29d ago	Fit
Nurse Susan	36d ago	Fit
Bold Endeavour	37d ago	Fit
Alaphilippe	39d ago	Fit