Fitzdares Surrey National Handicap Chase – Lingfield

Lingfield

15:35

Fitzdares Surrey National Handicap Chase

Date 2024-01-21

Distance 3m4f178y

Class Class 3

Going Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £15,843

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7	Regal Blue Bay J:Nick Scholfield T:Jonjo O'Neill	J:Nick Scholfield T:Jonjo O'Neill	159	—	16-P32	123	136	108	22d	—	—	+6	23.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Stayed on strongly over 2m4f last time & this lightly raced 7yo could relish today's trip
11	Animal Bay J:Gavin Sheehan T:Suzy Smith	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Suzy Smith	154	—	14-213	118	139	120	26d	—	—	+4	22.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Close third in Lincolnshire National on Boxing Day and he's a solid candidate
12	Not Sure Brown J:Richard Patrick T:Kerry Lee	J:Richard Patrick T:Kerry Lee	152	p	13-134	116	135	102	25d	—	—	+7	20.5	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Ran well for a long way in the Welsh National and this progressive 8yo could be a player
3	Hold That Taught Bay J:Charlie Deutsch T:Venetia Williams	J:Charlie Deutsch T:Venetia Williams	166	—	596-11	130	139	94	37d	—	—	+13	22.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
2-2 this season (both over 3m) and he's well worth another go at this sort of distance
5	Dr Kananga Bay J:Ben Jones T:Ben Clarke	J:Ben Jones T:Ben Clarke	161	t	2070-6	125	136	101	29d	—	—	+13	21.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Well treated judged on his staying form in early 2022 but something to prove at present
13	Movethechains Bay J:Caoilin Quinn(3) T:Gary Moore	J:Caoilin Quinn(3) T:Gary Moore	151	b	P-P83U	115	141	71	34d	—	—	+10	18.8	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Has been struggling but the return to Lingfield could suit this four-time course winner
1	Fern Hill Bay J:Jack Quinlan T:Ben Case	J:Jack Quinlan T:Ben Case	168	t	9P44-3	132	137	95	43d	—	—	+17	26	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Back to form when third at Chepstow last month; could be in the mix if seeing out the trip
6	Laskalin Bay J:Shane Quinlan(3) T:Venetia Williams	J:Shane Quinlan(3) T:Venetia Williams	161	—	8P-656	125	138	103	22d	—	—	+13	20.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Well treated on last winter's placed form but below par this season
9	Blade Runner Bay J:Rex Dingle T:Chris Gordon	J:Rex Dingle T:Chris Gordon	158	p	-311PP	122	137	115	25d	—	—	+20	25.7	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Pulled up in Welsh National but that was very attritional; 5-6 over fences previously
8	Notachance Bay J:Tom Cannon T:Alan King	J:Tom Cannon T:Alan King	158	p	373-08	122	136	65	22d	—	—	+14	19.4	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Has dropped down the weights but this 10yo has been well beaten on both runs this season
10	Mumbo Jumbo Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:Emma Lavelle	J:Tom Bellamy T:Emma Lavelle	155	t	42-U3P	119	137	98	31d	—	—	+14	18.5	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Made it 0-13 when pulled up last month but on a competitive mark if bouncing back
2	Only The Bold Bay J:Jack Tudor T:David Pipe	J:Jack Tudor T:David Pipe	168	tp	14-8PP	132	138	-	25d	—	—	+19	21.2	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Impressed on first two chase starts last season but has failed to shine since
NR	Manothepeople Bay J:Mr Tom Broughton(7) T:Fergal O'Brien	J:Mr Tom Broughton(7) T:Fergal O'Brien	166	p	2P-2U8	130	139	105	36d	—	—	—	20	—	—
Reappeared with near-miss at Exeter but early unseat then sizeable defeat the next twice
NR	O'Connell Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Sue Smith	J:NON-RUNNER T:Sue Smith	147	—	-3F214	111	139	-	26d	—	—	—	24.9	—	—
Close 4th in Lincolnshire National latest; this lightly raced 8yo could have more to offer

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Regal Blue	9/2	4/1	9/2	10/3	7/2
Animal	9/2	9/2	4/1	4/1	4/1
Not Sure	6/1	11/2	6/1	11/2	5/1
Hold That Taught	15/2	15/2	15/2	7/1	13/2
Dr Kananga	9/1	9/1	8/1	9/1	9/1
Movethechains	10/1	10/1	8/1	9/1	8/1
Fern Hill	12/1	11/1	11/1	10/1	15/2
Laskalin	11/1	11/1	10/1	11/1	11/1
Blade Runner	18/1	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Notachance	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Mumbo Jumbo	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	18/1
Only The Bold	50/1	40/1	28/1	40/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Fern Hill

OR: 20.5 Form: 3 Odds: 2.5

12/1

2nd

Blade Runner

25.7

OR: 18 Form: 6.1 Odds: 1.6

18/1

3rd

O'Connell

24.9

OR: 15.3 Form: 9.7 Odds: 0

—

Regal Blue

23.5

OR: 18.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Hold That Taught

22.9

OR: 20 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Animal

22.2

OR: 17 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Only The Bold

21.2

OR: 20.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Dr Kananga

21.1

OR: 18.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Laskalin

20.9

OR: 18.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Not Sure

20.5

OR: 16.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

6/1

Manothepeople

OR: 20 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Notachance

19.4

OR: 18 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Movethechains

18.8

OR: 16.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Mumbo Jumbo

18.5

OR: 17.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Fern Hill	132	137	95
Only The Bold	132	138	—
Hold That Taught	130	139	94
Manothepeople	130	139	105
Dr Kananga	125	136	101
Laskalin	125	138	103
Regal Blue	123	136	108
Blade Runner	122	137	115
Notachance	122	136	65
Mumbo Jumbo	119	137	98
Animal	118	139	120
Not Sure	116	135	102
Movethechains	115	141	71
O'Connell	111	139	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Regal Blue	22d ago	Fit
Laskalin	22d ago	Fit
Notachance	22d ago	Fit
Not Sure	25d ago	Fit
Blade Runner	25d ago	Fit
Only The Bold	25d ago	Fit
Animal	26d ago	Fit
O'Connell	26d ago	Fit
Dr Kananga	29d ago	Fit
Mumbo Jumbo	31d ago	Fit
Movethechains	34d ago	Fit
Manothepeople	36d ago	Fit
Hold That Taught	37d ago	Fit
Fern Hill	43d ago	Fit