Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle (IRE Incentive Race)

Thurles

12:30

Date 2024-01-21

Distance 1m7f132y

Class

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €11,800

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10	Purse Price Bay J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	153	tp	4-74U3	104	124	103	26d	—	—	-17	28.5	0.28/1	11/10 48%
Winless in a dozen starts but consistent; surprising if she was not in the first three
8	On Lovers Walk Bay J:Shane O'Callaghan(5) T:Gerard Kelleher	J:Shane O'Callaghan(5) T:Gerard Kelleher	160	t	1-32P2	-	121	93	23d	—	—	-11	15	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Runner-up in heavy ground maiden hurdles at Clonmel and Limerick; the form choice
1	Charlie Buckett Chestnut J:Donagh Meyler T:Emmet Mullins	J:Donagh Meyler T:Emmet Mullins	168	—	P	-	-	-	80d	—	—	-14	5.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Could not have asked for a better opportunity to open his account over hurdles
2	Penalty Try Bay J:Tom Harney(7) T:Ross O'Sullivan	J:Tom Harney(7) T:Ross O'Sullivan	168	—	P-80	-	61	6	43d	—	—	-5	1.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Not disgraced in a Navan maiden hurdle last month after racing freely; one for handicaps
9	La Tene Bay J:Danny Mullins T:John Patrick Ryan	J:Danny Mullins T:John Patrick Ryan	153	—	05	-	101	68	73d	—	—	-3	1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Raced keenly but did not do badly in a Clonmel maiden hurdle in November; could go well
3	I Owe You One Bay J:Philip Byrnes(5) T:C Byrnes	J:Philip Byrnes(5) T:C Byrnes	164	—	0-F0	-	64	29	15d	—	—	-2	0.8	7.00/1	28/1 3%
No show in three maiden hurdles to date; worth a market check but hard to fancy
5	Sharetheknowledge Bay J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Paul Tobin	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Paul Tobin	162	—	P-480	-	58	23	98d	—	—	-2	0.6	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Beaten a long way in a pair of maiden hurdles; probably better suited to handicaps
4	Boston Bongo Chestnut J:Brian Hayes T:Barry J Fitzgerald	J:Brian Hayes T:Barry J Fitzgerald	162	—	—	-	70	-	9d	—	—	-1	0.3	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Modest Flat form and down the field on his hurdles debut at Naas; can be ruled out
6	Diduhearabourichie Chestnut J:Niall Moore(7) T:John M Burke	J:Niall Moore(7) T:John M Burke	160	p	8	-	-	-	23d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Tailed off in a Limerick maiden hurdle last month; cheekpieces tried here
7	Kilbride Hill Grey J:Philip Donovan(5) T:John Patrick Ryan	J:Philip Donovan(5) T:John Patrick Ryan	160	—	F-77	-	81	42	23d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Beaten a long way in two completed maiden hurdles; makes no appeal

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Purse Price	11/10	evn	11/10	evn	10/11
On Lovers Walk	2/1	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4
Charlie Buckett	4/1	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2
Penalty Try	16/1	12/1	11/1	12/1	12/1
La Tene	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
I Owe You One	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Sharetheknowledge	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Boston Bongo	100/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Diduhearabourichie	200/1	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1
Kilbride Hill	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Purse Price

28.5

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 15

11/10

2nd

On Lovers Walk

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 8

9/4

3rd

Charlie Buckett

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

4/1

Penalty Try

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

16/1

La Tene

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

22/1

I Owe You One

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Sharetheknowledge

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Boston Bongo

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Diduhearabourichie

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Kilbride Hill

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Purse Price	104	124	103
On Lovers Walk	—	121	93
Charlie Buckett	—	—	—
Penalty Try	—	61	6
La Tene	—	101	68
I Owe You One	—	64	29
Sharetheknowledge	—	58	23
Boston Bongo	—	70	—
Diduhearabourichie	—	—	—
Kilbride Hill	—	81	42

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Boston Bongo	9d ago	Quick return
I Owe You One	15d ago	Fit
On Lovers Walk	23d ago	Fit
Diduhearabourichie	23d ago	Fit
Kilbride Hill	23d ago	Fit
Purse Price	26d ago	Fit
Penalty Try	43d ago	Fit
La Tene	73d ago	Fresh
Charlie Buckett	80d ago	Fresh
Sharetheknowledge	98d ago	Long break