Horse & Jockey Handicap Hurdle – Thurles

Thurles

15:20

Horse & Jockey Handicap Hurdle

Date 2024-01-21

Distance 1m7f132y

Class

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €9,440

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9	Intent Approach Chestnut J:Mark Walsh T:C Byrnes	J:Mark Walsh T:C Byrnes	147	—	2-505	109	126	99	35d	—	—	-4	28.3	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Reasonable efforts in a trio of maiden hurdles; could well have a bit in reserve
1	Senecia Bay J:Phillip Enright T:Vincent Laurence Halley	J:Phillip Enright T:Vincent Laurence Halley	166	—	-12F23	128	138	-	77d	—	—	+18	33.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Winning hurdler but already a better chaser; placed in Grade 3; could be well in here
11	Mercury Mission Bay J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Michael John O'Connor	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Michael John O'Connor	147	—	23383	109	129	117	23d	—	—	+9	26.2	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Respectable third in a Listed handicap at Limerick last month; each-way claims
4	Pakens Rock Chestnut J:Robbie Geoghegan(7) T:Barry T Murphy	J:Robbie Geoghegan(7) T:Barry T Murphy	158	—	106541	120	130	93	35d	—	—	+21	30.2	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Returned to his best form when landing a C&D handicap hurdle last month; on the short-list
8	Doctor Parnassus Bay J:Danny Mullins T:Richard John O'Brien	J:Danny Mullins T:Richard John O'Brien	149	—	99P0-0	111	120	90	24d	—	—	+9	17.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Not disgraced in a 2m4f handicap hurdle at Leopardstown; could have more to offer
5	Little Mixup Bay J:Mark McDonagh(3) T:Denis Gerard Hogan	J:Mark McDonagh(3) T:Denis Gerard Hogan	156	—	150-03	118	136	97	20d	—	—	+11	19.2	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Decent effort on his second run back when third at Tramore; might have more progress
7	Cerberus Chestnut J:Jody McGarvey T:Augustine Leahy	J:Jody McGarvey T:Augustine Leahy	150	p	529865	112	135	126	20d	—	—	+12	18.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Not far behind Little Mixup at Tramore last time; overall form falls short
3	Zoffanien Bay J:Daniel King(3) T:Denis Gerard Hogan	J:Daniel King(3) T:Denis Gerard Hogan	161	—	50F-50	123	134	61	25d	—	—	+14	19.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Best recent effort when fifth to Pakens Rock over C&D last month; not to be discounted
NR	Cougar b/br J:TBC T:Padraig Roche	J: T:Padraig Roche	161	—	1185-	123	125	65	—	—	—	—	26.3	—	—
Lightly raced of late and off since well beaten in a Galway festival handicap hurdle
NR	Clonshire River Bay J:TBC T:Eddie & Patrick Harty	J: T:Eddie & Patrick Harty	152	—	4390-0	114	126	89	26d	—	—	—	16	—	—
Modest efforts in handicap company last twice and others look more likely here
NR	Marvel Fan Bay J:TBC T:A J Martin	J: T:A J Martin	147	t	56-640	109	131	-	35d	—	—	—	14.8	—	—
Hard to discount completely on her best form but others look more likely
NR	Yulong Voice b/br J:TBC T:Shane Nolan	J: T:Shane Nolan	140	t	7156-0	102	133	-	1d	—	—	—	13	—	—
Wants quicker ground than this and he's been off 506 days

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Intent Approach	6/4	6/4	6/4	6/4	6/4
Senecia	4/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Mercury Mission	11/2	9/2	5/1	9/2	9/2
Pakens Rock	8/1	15/2	8/1	15/2	15/2
Doctor Parnassus	10/1	9/1	10/1	8/1	9/1
Little Mixup	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Cerberus	16/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Zoffanien	16/1	14/1	16/1	14/1	14/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Senecia

33.2

OR: 19.5 Form: 9.3 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

Pakens Rock

30.2

OR: 17.5 Form: 10 Odds: 2.7

8/1

3rd

Intent Approach

28.3

OR: 14.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 10

6/4

Cougar

26.3

OR: 18.3 Form: 8 Odds: 0

—

Mercury Mission

26.2

OR: 14.8 Form: 6.4 Odds: 5

11/2

Zoffanien

19.9

OR: 18.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Little Mixup

19.2

OR: 17 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Cerberus

18.2

OR: 15.5 Form: 1 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Doctor Parnassus

17.6

OR: 15.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Clonshire River

OR: 16 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Marvel Fan

14.8

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Yulong Voice

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Senecia	128	138	—
Zoffanien	123	134	61
Cougar	123	125	65
Pakens Rock	120	130	93
Little Mixup	118	136	97
Clonshire River	114	126	89
Cerberus	112	135	126
Doctor Parnassus	111	120	90
Intent Approach	109	126	99
Mercury Mission	109	129	117
Marvel Fan	109	131	—
Yulong Voice	102	133	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Yulong Voice	1d ago	Quick return
Little Mixup	20d ago	Fit
Cerberus	20d ago	Fit
Mercury Mission	23d ago	Fit
Doctor Parnassus	24d ago	Fit
Zoffanien	25d ago	Fit
Clonshire River	26d ago	Fit
Intent Approach	35d ago	Fit
Pakens Rock	35d ago	Fit
Marvel Fan	35d ago	Fit
Senecia	77d ago	Fresh
Cougar	—	—