racingtv.com Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

14:00

racingtv.com Handicap

Date 2024-01-22

Distance 1m

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 1m 42.77s (slow by 5.37s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Charlatan (IRE) Callum Shepherd · David Simcock	2/1F	Won
2nd	Egoiste (USA) Kyle Strydom · David Menuisier	7/2	0.3
3rd	Marchetti (IRE) Georgia Dobie · Jimmy Fox	7/1	4.25
4th	Three Dons (IRE) Molly Gunn · Tony Carroll	50/1	1
5th	He's Our Star (IRE) Rossa Ryan · Tony Carroll	4/1	0.1
6th	No Diggity (IRE) David Probert · Martin Dunne	20/1	3
7th	Elephant John (IRE) Rob Hornby · Denis Quinn	6/1	2.5
8th	Desert Swirl (IRE) Christian Howarth · Alex French	22/1	.5
9th	Gintini (IRE) Rhys Clutterbuck · Laura Mongan	66/1	3.5
10th	Ricardo Ofworthing (IRE) Paddy Bradley · Simon Dow	66/1	5.5

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (5)	Charlatan Chestnut J:Callum Shepherd T:David Simcock	J:Callum Shepherd T:David Simcock	129	—	6/80-3	45	60	18	11d	—	—	-19	13	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Should build on Chelmsford reappearance effort; far less exposed than most
1 (7)	Egoiste Bay J:Kyle Strydom T:David Menuisier	J:Kyle Strydom T:David Menuisier	135	h	67188-	51	67	40	27d	—	—	-7	10.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Sole win came at 1m2f; not crying out for return to 1m
6 (8)	He's Our Star Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Tony Carroll	J:Rossa Ryan T:Tony Carroll	129	p	6000-7	45	60	44	3d	—	—	-9	3.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Has a big question mark over current form
3 (1)	Marchetti Bay J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Jimmy Fox	J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Jimmy Fox	134	—	4001-7	50	62	55	12d	—	—	-8	3.3	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Record is just 1-28 but has place claims in this weak contest
2 (3)	Elephant John Grey J:Rob Hornby T:Denis Quinn	J:Rob Hornby T:Denis Quinn	135	—	00599-	51	65	36	40d	—	—	-8	3.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Ex-Irish; has possibilities dropped to this weak level on debut for new yard
4 (10)	No Diggity Bay J:David Probert T:Martin Dunne	J:David Probert T:Martin Dunne	131	v	4613-8	47	63	30	20d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Ran poorly on reappearance and may need longer trips now
5 (6)	Desert Swirl Bay J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Alex French	J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Alex French	130	—	8498-6	46	59	23	20d	—	—	-5	1.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
May be capable of improvement in this weak handicap
8 (4)	Three Dons Bay J:Molly Gunn(7) T:Tony Carroll	J:Molly Gunn(7) T:Tony Carroll	129	—	3960-0	45	59	30	17d	—	—	-2	0.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Longstanding maiden who has achieved little this winter
10 (2)	Ricardo Ofworthing Bay J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Simon Dow	J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Simon Dow	129	h	706-95	45	51	30	12d	—	—	-2	0.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Poor chance on form but the return to 1m may help
9 (9)	Gintini Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Laura Mongan	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Laura Mongan	129	p	47400-	45	55	34	76d	—	—	-1	0.5	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Maiden who still has no placed form

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Charlatan	7/4	7/4	7/4
Egoiste	4/1	7/2	7/2
He's Our Star	6/1	6/1	6/1
Marchetti	6/1	6/1	6/1
Elephant John	7/1	13/2	13/2
No Diggity	16/1	16/1	16/1
Desert Swirl	14/1	14/1	14/1
Three Dons	40/1	33/1	33/1
Ricardo Ofworthing	40/1	40/1	40/1
Gintini	80/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Charlatan

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 10

7/4

2nd

Egoiste

10.5

OR: 0.3 Form: 5 Odds: 5.2

4/1

3rd

He's Our Star

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Marchetti

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

6/1

Elephant John

3.3

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Desert Swirl

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

No Diggity

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Ricardo Ofworthing

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Three Dons

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Gintini

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Egoiste	51	67	40
Elephant John	51	65	36
Marchetti	50	62	55
No Diggity	47	63	30
Desert Swirl	46	59	23
Charlatan	45	60	18
He's Our Star	45	60	44
Three Dons	45	59	30
Ricardo Ofworthing	45	51	30
Gintini	45	55	34

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
He's Our Star	3d ago	Quick return
Charlatan	11d ago	Quick return
Marchetti	12d ago	Quick return
Ricardo Ofworthing	12d ago	Quick return
Three Dons	17d ago	Fit
No Diggity	20d ago	Fit
Desert Swirl	20d ago	Fit
Egoiste	27d ago	Fit
Elephant John	40d ago	Fit
Gintini	76d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.