Bet £10 Get £40 At BetMGM Classified Stakes (Div I) – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

13:35

Bet £10 Get £40 At BetMGM Classified Stakes (Div I)

Date 2024-01-25

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,234

Winning Time 1m 40.53s (slow by 2.83s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Copper Mountain (GB) Joanna Mason · Michael & David Easterby	3/1	Won
2nd	Big Narstie (FR) Rossa Ryan · Michael Appleby	7/4F	1
2nd	Thoughtful Gift (GB) Grace McEntee · Jack Jones	22/1	0
4th	Rubellite (IRE) Callum Shepherd · Stella Barclay	6/1	0.3
5th	Tom Tulliver (GB) Kieran O'Neill · Scott Dixon	22/1	5
6th	Duisker (GB) Jason Hart · Hughie Morrison	7/2	5
7th	Defilade (GB) Callum Hutchinson · Mark Loughnane	80/1	.5
8th	Liv Lucky (IRE) Lewis Edmunds · Roy Bowring	17/2	0.05

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (4)	Big Narstie b/br J:Rossa Ryan T:Michael Appleby	J:Rossa Ryan T:Michael Appleby	133	tb	760-21	49	74	61	10d	—	—	-24	11.4	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Comfortable winner of a similar race at Wolverhampton last week; the one to beat
2 (2)	Copper Mountain Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	128	t	4225-6	50	71	50	20d	—	—	-14	5.9	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Below par last twice but claims if back to form shown when twice going close in autumn
4 (6)	Duisker Bay J:Jason Hart T:Hughie Morrison	J:Jason Hart T:Hughie Morrison	128	t	7965-2	48	69	33	23d	—	—	-9	10.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Improved second in Wolverhampton classified event on reappearance; considered
6 (3)	Rubellite Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Stella Barclay	J:Callum Shepherd T:Stella Barclay	128	—	56-143	50	70	40	9d	—	—	-9	3.4	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Won similar race at Wolverhampton this month and in frame twice since; thereabouts again
5 (7)	Liv Lucky Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Roy Bowring	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Roy Bowring	128	t	0382-4	50	67	61	20d	—	—	-7	2.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
In good form over 7f here in recent weeks but isn't sure to benefit from return to 1m
7 (8)	Thoughtful Gift Bay J:Grace McEntee(3) T:Jack Jones	J:Grace McEntee(3) T:Jack Jones	128	p	76/35-	49	66	53	94d	—	—	-2	0.9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Not long with this promising stable and one of the more interesting runners here
8 (1)	Tom Tulliver Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	128	b	07438-	49	71	48	34d	—	—	0	2.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
C&D winner; good third over C&D in December but stopped quickly back here two weeks later
3 (5)	Defilade Bay J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Mark Loughnane	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Mark Loughnane	128	tp	30367/	46	68	-	451d	—	—	0	2.9	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Just 1-35 and off for 15 months; best watched for new yard unless betting vibes strong

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Big Narstie	11/8	11/8	11/8	11/8	11/8
Copper Mountain	4/1	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Duisker	4/1	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Rubellite	13/2	7/1	7/1	13/2	7/1
Liv Lucky	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Thoughtful Gift	22/1	25/1	22/1	25/1	25/1
Tom Tulliver	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Defilade	100/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Big Narstie

11.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 11.4

11/8

2nd

Duisker

10.7

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 5.7

4/1

3rd

Copper Mountain

5.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.9

4/1

Rubellite

3.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.4

7/1

Liv Lucky

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Tom Tulliver

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Defilade

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.8

100/1

Thoughtful Gift

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Copper Mountain	50	71	50
Rubellite	50	70	40
Liv Lucky	50	67	61
Big Narstie	49	74	61
Thoughtful Gift	49	66	53
Tom Tulliver	49	71	48
Duisker	48	69	33
Defilade	46	68	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Rubellite	9d ago	Quick return
Big Narstie	10d ago	Quick return
Copper Mountain	20d ago	Fit
Liv Lucky	20d ago	Fit
Duisker	23d ago	Fit
Tom Tulliver	34d ago	Fit
Thoughtful Gift	94d ago	Long break
Defilade	451d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.