BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

17:45

BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap

Date 2024-01-27

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £2,983

Winning Time 1m 29.73s (slow by 5.93s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Mereside Madness (IRE) Joe Fanning · David & Nicola Barron	2/1F	Won
2nd	Likeashadow (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Alan Brown	3/1	0.1
3rd	Noble Consort (GB) Daniel Tudhope · Julie Camacho	9/2	1.25
4th	Pretence (IRE) Brandon Wilkie · Hugo Palmer	22/1	1
5th	Solar Bentley (IRE) Billy Garritty · Richard Fahey	18/1	2.75
6th	Hyrcanian (IRE) Sam James · K R Burke	10/1	.75
7th	Hand Jive (GB) Jason Hart · Charlie Johnston	11/1	2.25
8th	Havana Smoke (IRE) Luke Morris · Dylan Cunha	10/1	0.2
9th	Sue's Little Angel (IRE) Cam Hardie · Richard Fahey	66/1	2
10th	Body Parts (IRE) Clifford Lee · Gemma Tutty	50/1	2.5
11th	Polly The Rocket (GB) Tom Eaves · Craig Lidster	11/1	2.75
12th	Inns Of York (IRE) Faye McManoman · Nigel Tinkler	66/1	1.5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (10)	Mereside Madness Chestnut J:Joe Fanning T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Joe Fanning T:David & Nicola Barron	131	—	044-23	60	70	41	16d	—	—	-17	10.9	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Not beaten far in a better race at Southwell last time; this intermediate trip could suit
3 (11)	Likeashadow Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Alan Brown	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Alan Brown	133	—	344-42	62	74	50	8d	—	—	-12	9.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Dual course winner in the autumn; may need 1m now but should go well granted a good pace
5 (4)	Noble Consort Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:Julie Camacho	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Julie Camacho	131	—	87-5	60	68	57	21d	—	—	-10	7.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Step back up in trip should suit on handicap debut; market may be revealing
1 (1)	Havana Smoke Grey J:Luke Morris T:Dylan Cunha	J:Luke Morris T:Dylan Cunha	135	p	304-24	64	73	53	10d	—	—	-5	6.8	1.75/1	7/1 13%
0-7; behind a couple of today's rivals in his last two starts and needs a bit more
10 (7)	Hyrcanian Bay J:Sam James T:K R Burke	J:Sam James T:K R Burke	123	v	489-34	52	75	61	7d	—	—	-6	2.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Better efforts since handicapping; especially from a poor draw last time; visor on
9 (8)	Hand Jive Bay J:Jason Hart T:Charlie Johnston	J:Jason Hart T:Charlie Johnston	126	v	4470-3	55	73	56	10d	—	—	-1	6.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
0-9; bounced back in a visor last time; much depends on whether headgear continues to work
6 (6)	Polly The Rocket Chestnut J:Tom Eaves T:Craig Lidster	J:Tom Eaves T:Craig Lidster	130	—	338-15	59	71	55	8d	—	—	-3	4.2	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Won over C&D this month but held under her penalty last time; others preferred
2 (9)	Pretence Bay J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:Hugo Palmer	J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:Hugo Palmer	133	p	4604-5	62	72	41	11d	—	—	0	4.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Chester seller winner last summer, but patchy form so far for this yard; others preferred
8 (5)	Solar Bentley Grey J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	128	—	66-7	57	69	31	25d	—	—	-1	2.7	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Held in three starts; open to improvement now handicapping, but may need further
7 (3)	Body Parts Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Gemma Tutty	J:Clifford Lee T:Gemma Tutty	130	—	757-7	59	68	49	22d	—	—	-1	3.3	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Held in four starts though looks capable of better; trip should suit on handicap debut
11 (2)	Sue's Little Angel Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	117	p	080-77	46	71	34	7d	—	—	-1	0.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Out of the frame in six starts and behind a couple of today's rivals the last twice
12 (12)	Inns Of York Bay J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	116	v	807-	45	49	-	163d	—	—	-2	0.8	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Makes handicap/AW debut after 163 days off; not bred to stay this far; visor on

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Mereside Madness	9/4	2/1	2/1	15/8	2/1
Likeashadow	3/1	10/3	10/3	11/4	10/3
Noble Consort	9/2	9/2	9/2	7/2	9/2
Havana Smoke	7/1	13/2	13/2	11/2	13/2
Hyrcanian	12/1	10/1	11/1	8/1	10/1
Hand Jive	16/1	12/1	12/1	10/1	12/1
Polly The Rocket	16/1	14/1	18/1	10/1	14/1
Pretence	16/1	20/1	16/1	16/1	20/1
Solar Bentley	28/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	22/1
Body Parts	20/1	28/1	33/1	18/1	28/1
Sue's Little Angel	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Inns Of York	80/1	40/1	66/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mereside Madness

10.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

9/4

2nd

Likeashadow

9.2

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

10/3

3rd

Noble Consort

7.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Havana Smoke

6.8

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Hand Jive

6.2

OR: 1.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.9

16/1

Polly The Rocket

4.2

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

18/1

Pretence

4.2

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Body Parts

3.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

33/1

Hyrcanian

2.9

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

12/1

Solar Bentley

2.7

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Inns Of York

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

80/1

Sue's Little Angel

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Havana Smoke	64	73	53
Likeashadow	62	74	50
Pretence	62	72	41
Mereside Madness	60	70	41
Noble Consort	60	68	57
Polly The Rocket	59	71	55
Body Parts	59	68	49
Solar Bentley	57	69	31
Hand Jive	55	73	56
Hyrcanian	52	75	61
Sue's Little Angel	46	71	34
Inns Of York	45	49	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Hyrcanian	7d ago	Quick return
Sue's Little Angel	7d ago	Quick return
Likeashadow	8d ago	Quick return
Polly The Rocket	8d ago	Quick return
Havana Smoke	10d ago	Quick return
Hand Jive	10d ago	Quick return
Pretence	11d ago	Quick return
Mereside Madness	16d ago	Fit
Noble Consort	21d ago	Fit
Body Parts	22d ago	Fit
Solar Bentley	25d ago	Fit
Inns Of York	163d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.