Southwell (AW)

18:30 ✓ Result

Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2024-01-30
Distance 1m13y
Class Class 3
Going Standard
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 4yo+
Prize £7,731
Winning Time 1m 39.61s (slow by 1.91s)

Result

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
5 (10)
Smoky Mountain
Bay
J:Daniel Muscutt
T:Charlie Fellowes
J:Daniel Muscutt
T:Charlie Fellowes
133 2212-1
83
103
72
23d 0
26.3
0.56/1
9/4
31%
Unlucky not to be bidding for a four-timer; should stay the longer trip and respected
3 (3)
King's Code
Bay
J:Rossa Ryan
T:David Evans
J:Rossa Ryan
T:David Evans
135 421-63
85
97
70
10d -5
14.5
0.88/1
7/2
22%
Five wins last year; first visit here, but this galloping track should suit him
6 (12)
Eligible
Bay
J:Joanna Mason
T:Michael & David Easterby
J:Joanna Mason
T:Michael & David Easterby
132 1943-1
82
98
90
19d +6
23
1.25/1
5/1
17%
4-8 around here and put up a career-best performance when winning over C&D this month
12 (8)
Goldsmith
Bay
J:Kieran O'Neill
T:Alice Haynes
J:Kieran O'Neill
T:Alice Haynes
123 h 921-14
73
96
84
15d 0
8
3.00/1
12/1
8%
Won over C&D this month, but modest at Lingfield four days later; shortlisted back here
2 (4)
Darwell Lion
Bay
J:James Sullivan
T:Ruth Carr
J:James Sullivan
T:Ruth Carr
135 h 7188-4
85
98
66
10d +3
11
2.75/1
11/1
8%
Has improved in three starts since joining this yard; first visit here; visor on
8 (13)
Ernie's Valentine
Grey
J:Hollie Doyle
T:David Loughnane
J:Hollie Doyle
T:David Loughnane
130 t 681-92
80
96
73
17d +2
9.6
4.00/1
16/1
6%
Off the same mark as when second at Wolverhampton last time; each-way claims
7 (9)
Master Of Combat
Bay
J:Jack Mitchell
T:Kevin Frost
J:Jack Mitchell
T:Kevin Frost
131 1261-5
81
95
64
25d +5
9
6.25/1
25/1
4%
Has won three times at Wolverhampton since October, but disappointing there last time
11 (2)
Skilled Warrior
Bay
J:Sam James
T:Grant Tuer
J:Sam James
T:Grant Tuer
125 p 3368-4
75
101
80
14d +3
7.6
5.00/1
20/1
5%
Still 6lb lower than when winning at Newcastle last spring, but may need a stiffer 1m
1 (7)
Troon
Bay
J:Rowan Scott
T:Nigel Tinkler
J:Rowan Scott
T:Nigel Tinkler
135 /063-6
85
95
71
3d +6
9.7
7.00/1
28/1
3%
Encouraging stable debut at Newcastle but only beat one home at Kempton on Saturday
4 (1)
Gincident
Bay
J:Cam Hardie
T:Richard Fahey
J:Cam Hardie
T:Richard Fahey
134 85584-
84
98
71
31d +6
9.4
6.25/1
25/1
4%
Three-time Tapeta winner and placed in both visits here; bit more needed to win this
13 (5)
Shaw Park
Bay
J:Luke Morris
T:Scott Dixon
J:Luke Morris
T:Scott Dixon
121 074-43
71
96
83
11d +2
6.3
10.00/1
40/1
2%
In the frame five times, but held by Eligible on previous C&D running and now 0-8
9 (6)
Visibility
Bay
J:Elisha Whittington(3)
T:Scott Dixon
J:Elisha Whittington(3)
T:Scott Dixon
129 414-47
79
97
82
11d +5
8
7.00/1
28/1
3%
Beaten three times since winning over C&D last month; this may be a bit too competitive
10 (11)
Larado
Bay
J:Alistair Rawlinson
T:Michael Appleby
J:Alistair Rawlinson
T:Michael Appleby
129 b 24846-
79
98
85
31d +6
9
10.00/1
40/1
2%
Losing run up to 14 and behind a couple of these last time; may not be taken on up front
Horse bet365 William Hill Ladbrokes Unibet Boyle Sports
Smoky Mountain
9/4 9/4 9/4 9/4 9/4
King's Code
10/3 10/3 10/3 7/2 3/1
Eligible
9/2 9/2 5/1 4/1 9/2
Goldsmith
12/1 10/1 10/1 10/1 10/1
Darwell Lion
11/1 10/1 10/1 10/1 10/1
Ernie's Valentine
16/1 12/1 14/1 12/1 12/1
Master Of Combat
25/1 16/1 20/1 20/1 20/1
Skilled Warrior
20/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 18/1
Troon
28/1 20/1 22/1 20/1 20/1
Gincident
25/1 25/1 25/1 25/1 25/1
Shaw Park
40/1 20/1 18/1 20/1 20/1
Visibility
28/1 28/1 25/1 28/1 28/1
Larado
40/1 28/1 33/1 28/1 28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Smoky Mountain
26.3
OR: 8.3 Form: 10 Odds: 8
9/4
2nd Eligible
23
OR: 8 Form: 10 Odds: 5
5/1
3rd King's Code
14.5
OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7
7/2
4 Darwell Lion
11
OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2
11/1
5 Troon
9.7
OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1
28/1
6 Ernie's Valentine
9.6
OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1
16/1
7 Gincident
9.4
OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9
25/1
8 Master Of Combat
9
OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2
25/1
9 Larado
9
OR: 7.3 Form: 1 Odds: 0.7
40/1
10 Goldsmith
8
OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2
12/1
11 Visibility
8
OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8
28/1
12 Skilled Warrior
7.6
OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4
20/1
13 Shaw Park
6.3
OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1
40/1

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
King's Code
85
97
70
Darwell Lion
85
98
66
Troon
85
95
71
Gincident
84
98
71
Smoky Mountain
83
103
72
Eligible
82
98
90
Master Of Combat
81
95
64
Ernie's Valentine
80
96
73
Visibility
79
97
82
Larado
79
98
85
Skilled Warrior
75
101
80
Goldsmith
73
96
84
Shaw Park
71
96
83

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Troon 3d ago Quick return
King's Code 10d ago Quick return
Darwell Lion 10d ago Quick return
Shaw Park 11d ago Quick return
Visibility 11d ago Quick return
Skilled Warrior 14d ago Fit
Goldsmith 15d ago Fit
Ernie's Valentine 17d ago Fit
Eligible 19d ago Fit
Smoky Mountain 23d ago Fit
Master Of Combat 25d ago Fit
Gincident 31d ago Fit
Larado 31d ago Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.