BetMGM: Its Showtime Novice Stakes (GBB Race) – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

17:30

BetMGM: Its Showtime Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2024-01-30

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,942

Winning Time 1m 40.87s (slow by 3.17s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Solomon (GB) Tom Marquand · William Haggas	1/5F	Won
2nd	Nashid (IRE) Cam Hardie · Antony Brittain	100/1	2.25
3rd	Minstrel Knight (GB) Harrison Shaw · Edward Bethell	9/2	.5
4th	Calculate (GB) Rob Hornby · Andrew Balding	25/1	3.75
5th	What A Night (GB) Hollie Doyle · David Evans	11/1	3
6th	Blackintime (GB) Luke Morris · Michael Appleby	200/1	2.5
7th	Amico Amore (GB) Alex Jary · Lisa Williamson	250/1	3.25

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (5)	Solomon Bay J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	122	h	2	-	90	76	25d	—	—	-41	25	0.06/1	1/4 80%
Beaten a short-head on debut here this month; this looks a golden opportunity
5 (7)	Minstrel Knight Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:Edward Bethell	J:Harrison Shaw T:Edward Bethell	122	—	83-	-	74	26	54d	—	—	-9	8	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Improved to finish third over C&D last month; form ordinary, but still solid place claims
7 (4)	What A Night Chestnut J:Hollie Doyle T:David Evans	J:Hollie Doyle T:David Evans	122	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
The only newcomer in the field and stable has very few go in first time
4 (3)	Calculate Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Andrew Balding	J:Rob Hornby T:Andrew Balding	122	—	9	-	60	31	20d	—	—	-3	1.2	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Beat one home on his Kempton debut this month; improvement will be needed
2 (6)	Nashid Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	142	—	5-	-	53	-	91d	—	—	-1	0.4	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Well-held fifth on Newcastle debut in October; bred to need further
3 (1)	Blackintime Bay J:Luke Morris T:Michael Appleby	J:Luke Morris T:Michael Appleby	137	—	—	-	38	-	13d	—	—	-1	0.2	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Ran green and well held on Kempton debut; not bred for this far and needs more time
1 (2)	Amico Amore Bay J:Alex Jary(5) T:Lisa Williamson	J:Alex Jary(5) T:Lisa Williamson	142	—	4	-	43	-	20d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Beaten around 17l on Flat debut at Kempton this month

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Solomon	1/4	1/4	2/9	1/4	2/9
Minstrel Knight	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
What A Night	20/1	16/1	16/1	18/1	18/1
Calculate	16/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Nashid	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1
Blackintime	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1
Amico Amore	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Solomon

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 20

1/4

2nd

Minstrel Knight

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 5

7/2

3rd

What A Night

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Calculate

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Nashid

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

125/1

Blackintime

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Amico Amore

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Solomon	—	90	76
Minstrel Knight	—	74	26
What A Night	—	—	—
Calculate	—	60	31
Nashid	—	53	—
Blackintime	—	38	—
Amico Amore	—	43	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Blackintime	13d ago	Quick return
Calculate	20d ago	Fit
Amico Amore	20d ago	Fit
Solomon	25d ago	Fit
Minstrel Knight	54d ago	Fresh
Nashid	91d ago	Long break
What A Night	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.