Always Gamble Responsibly With BetUK Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

5:00

Always Gamble Responsibly With BetUK Handicap

Date 2024-02-04

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £13,870

Runners (12)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (10)	Secret Guest gr J:Paul Mulrennan T:Bryan Smart	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Bryan Smart	135	—	1426-2	85	98	76	19d	—	—	-5	21.8	3/1 25%
Has done all his winning on turf but last month's C&D second was arguably a career best
3 (11)	The Turpinator b J:P J McDonald T:Grant Tuer	J:P J McDonald T:Grant Tuer	134	—	915-43	84	99	82	16d	—	—	-3	12.9	5/1 17%
Best known as a 7f/1m performer but was creditable fourth in Class 2 C&D race last month
8 (9)	Winter Crown b J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	129	—	20415-	79	98	-	204d	—	—	+8	17.9	8/1 11%
Absent since last summer but won after a layoff here in this month last year
9 (12)	Mighty Power gr J:Callum Rodriguez T:Stella Barclay	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Stella Barclay	128	—	5267-1	78	98	76	19d	—	—	+9	20.1	8/1 11%
Came from off pace for C&D win last month, after a break, and 3lb rise looks manageable
4 (3)	Petit Calvados b J:Kevin Stott T:E J O'Neill	J:Kevin Stott T:E J O'Neill	133	p	8031-1	83	98	87	22d	—	—	+12	20.6	10/1 9%
In-form mare who has won her last two over 5f and is also suited by 6f; likely contender
7 (2)	Gulliver b J:Billy Loughnane T:David O'Meara	J:Billy Loughnane T:David O'Meara	131	p	763-84	81	101	78	14d	—	—	+1	10.3	10/1 9%
Tends to get going too late nowadays; may be reliant on others setting a very strong pace
1 (6)	Mondammej b J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	135	p	249-54	85	98	86	12d	—	—	+4	10.5	14/1 7%
Went close over C&D in November but remains without a win since 2021; cheekpieces tried
6 (4)	Starshiba b J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	132	v	514-67	82	100	78	15d	—	—	+3	10.1	12/1 8%
Didn't fire over 1m last month but won over 6f off this mark on stable debut in December
11 (5)	Bellagio Man b J:Harry Russell T:Antony Brittain	J:Harry Russell T:Antony Brittain	126	b	485-45	76	96	82	8d	—	—	+3	7.7	20/1 5%
C&D winner in September but unable to land a telling blow on either start last month
5 (1)	Tremblant b J:Adam Farragher T:Amy Murphy	J:Adam Farragher T:Amy Murphy	133	tp	1307-7	83	97	73	32d	—	—	+6	9.2	25/1 4%
Won in France last summer and has shown enough on first two British starts to offer hope
12 (7)	Gis A Sub b J:Jason Hart T:Paul Midgley	J:Jason Hart T:Paul Midgley	126	—	40797-	76	97	-	142d	—	—	+4	7.5	28/1 3%
Out of form for Kevin Ryan towards end of last summer; had wind op; stable debut
10 (8)	Manigordo b/br J:Mia Nicholls(7) T:Adrian Nicholls	J:Mia Nicholls(7) T:Adrian Nicholls	128	—	74834-	78	102	62	86d	—	—	+6	10.2	22/1 4%
Ran well over C&D on stable debut in November; not seen again since but still on good mark

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Secret Guest	5/2	3/1	5/2	11/4	5/2
The Turpinator	9/2	4/1	5/1	9/2	9/2
Winter Crown	8/1	8/1	15/2	15/2	15/2
Mighty Power	8/1	15/2	8/1	13/2	6/1
Petit Calvados	10/1	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Gulliver	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	8/1
Mondammej	12/1	12/1	14/1	12/1	12/1
Starshiba	11/1	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Bellagio Man	20/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	16/1
Tremblant	22/1	25/1	20/1	22/1	22/1
Gis A Sub	25/1	28/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Manigordo	20/1	22/1	18/1	22/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Secret Guest

21.8

OR: 8.8 Form: 5 Odds: 8

3/1

2nd

Petit Calvados

20.6

OR: 8.3 Form: 10 Odds: 2.4

10/1

3rd

Mighty Power

20.1

OR: 7 Form: 10 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Winter Crown

17.9

OR: 7.3 Form: 8 Odds: 2.7

8/1

The Turpinator

12.9

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Mondammej

10.5

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Gulliver

10.3

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Manigordo

10.2

OR: 7 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Starshiba

10.1

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Tremblant

9.2

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Bellagio Man

7.7

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Gis A Sub

7.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Secret Guest Top Rated	85	98	76
Mondammej	85	98	86
The Turpinator	84	99	82
Petit Calvados	83	98	87
Tremblant	83	97	73
Starshiba	82	100	78
Gulliver	81	101	78
Winter Crown	79	98	—
Mighty Power	78	98	76
Manigordo	78	102	62
Bellagio Man	76	96	82
Gis A Sub	76	97	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bellagio Man	8d ago	Quick return
Mondammej	12d ago	Quick return
Gulliver	14d ago	Fit
Starshiba	15d ago	Fit
The Turpinator	16d ago	Fit
Secret Guest	19d ago	Fit
Mighty Power	19d ago	Fit
Petit Calvados	22d ago	Fit
Tremblant	32d ago	Fit
Manigordo	86d ago	Fresh
Gis A Sub	142d ago	Long break
Winter Crown	204d ago	Long break