Join Racing TV Now Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

19:30

Join Racing TV Now Handicap

Date 2024-02-07

Distance 1m

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 1m 38.78s (slow by 1.38s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Stoic Syd (IRE) Marco Ghiani · Ivan Furtado	5/2F	Won
2nd	Egoiste (USA) Kyle Strydom · David Menuisier	3/1	0.3
3rd	Heerathetrack (GB) George Rooke · Mark Usher	100/30	3.5
4th	Marchetti (IRE) Georgia Dobie · Jimmy Fox	16/1	0.3
5th	Ballybaymoonshiner (FR) Shane Kelly · Murty McGrath	5/1	1
6th	Chourmo (GB) Liam Keniry · Mark Gillard	33/1	2.25
7th	Queens Award (IRE) Callum Hutchinson · Sue Gardner	66/1	1.5
8th	Rainbow Mirage (GB) David Probert · Shaun Lycett	40/1	1.5
9th	Martini Lodge (GB) Luke Morris · P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck	33/1	0.3
10th	Three Dons (IRE) Hollie Doyle · Tony Carroll	40/1	2
11th	He's Our Star (IRE) William Carson · Tony Carroll	66/1	.5
12th	Hellavapace (GB) Olivia Tubb · Jonathan Portman	12/1	4

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (1)	Stoic Syd Grey J:Marco Ghiani T:Ivan Furtado	J:Marco Ghiani T:Ivan Furtado	130	t	763-51	50	69	57	13d	—	—	-20	8.9	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Suited by the step up to 1m at Southwell two weeks ago; could well show further progress
2 (8)	Heerathetrack Grey J:George Rooke T:Mark Usher	J:George Rooke T:Mark Usher	135	v	786-11	55	70	60	11d	—	—	-13	7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Couple of 7f classified wins this year; return to 1m handicap is the question mark
5 (2)	Ballybaymoonshiner Bay J:Shane Kelly T:Murty McGrath	J:Shane Kelly T:Murty McGrath	132	v	3229-1	52	67	51	28d	—	—	-2	15.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Made all in 7f event here last month; consistent in the main and has form at 1m
3 (9)	Egoiste Bay J:Kyle Strydom T:David Menuisier	J:Kyle Strydom T:David Menuisier	133	—	188-22	53	68	43	9d	—	—	-11	5.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Creditable second in both 2024 starts; major player if effective with usual hood removed
4 (12)	Hellavapace Grey J:Olivia Tubb(7) T:Jonathan Portman	J:Olivia Tubb(7) T:Jonathan Portman	133	b	643-23	53	70	52	22d	—	—	-3	2.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Placed in last three races; has form figures of 232 at Kempton; in the mix
9 (3)	Marchetti Bay J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Jimmy Fox	J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Jimmy Fox	129	—	001-73	49	67	60	16d	—	—	-5	1.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Record is only 1-29 and she is held by Egoiste on latest effort
1 (5)	Chourmo Bay J:Liam Keniry T:Mark Gillard	J:Liam Keniry T:Mark Gillard	135	—	487/76	55	63	45	14d	—	—	-2	2.5	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Maiden; shaped with some promise in the latest of his two runs for new yard
6 (6)	Rainbow Mirage Chestnut J:David Probert T:Shaun Lycett	J:David Probert T:Shaun Lycett	132	p	64509-	52	63	10	132d	—	—	-1	1.2	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Largely unconvincing form for current stable; most wins over 6f
10 (11)	Martini Lodge Bay J:Luke Morris T:P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck	J:Luke Morris T:P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck	126	b	847-84	46	67	58	16d	—	—	-2	0.9	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Inconsistent maiden; not certain to build on latest effort
11 (4)	He's Our Star Bay J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	126	tp	000-75	46	71	27	16d	—	—	-2	0.8	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Signs of a revival over C&D last month but still has poor strike-rate on AW
12 (7)	Three Dons Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Tony Carroll	J:Hollie Doyle T:Tony Carroll	126	p	960-04	46	56	33	16d	—	—	-2	0.7	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Hinted at a return to form last time but record is 0-26
7 (10)	Queens Award Bay J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Sue Gardner	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Sue Gardner	132	—	387-77	52	67	57	9d	—	—	-1	1.1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Chance of winning depends on whether the new trip makes a difference

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Stoic Syd	9/4	9/4	2/1	9/4	2/1
Heerathetrack	10/3	7/2	10/3	10/3	3/1
Ballybaymoonshiner	4/1	9/2	4/1	4/1	4/1
Egoiste	9/2	9/2	9/2	4/1	9/2
Hellavapace	16/1	14/1	16/1	12/1	12/1
Marchetti	12/1	14/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Chourmo	16/1	28/1	25/1	22/1	22/1
Rainbow Mirage	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1
Martini Lodge	40/1	40/1	50/1	33/1	28/1
He's Our Star	50/1	40/1	50/1	28/1	25/1
Three Dons	50/1	40/1	50/1	28/1	40/1
Queens Award	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ballybaymoonshiner

15.7

OR: 0.5 Form: 10 Odds: 5.2

9/2

2nd

Stoic Syd

8.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

9/4

3rd

Heerathetrack

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Egoiste

5.8

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Chourmo

2.5

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

28/1

Hellavapace

2.4

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Marchetti

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Rainbow Mirage

1.2

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Queens Award

1.1

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Martini Lodge

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

50/1

He's Our Star

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

50/1

Three Dons

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Heerathetrack	55	70	60
Chourmo	55	63	45
Egoiste	53	68	43
Hellavapace	53	70	52
Ballybaymoonshiner	52	67	51
Rainbow Mirage	52	63	10
Queens Award	52	67	57
Stoic Syd	50	69	57
Marchetti	49	67	60
Martini Lodge	46	67	58
He's Our Star	46	71	27
Three Dons	46	56	33

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Egoiste	9d ago	Quick return
Queens Award	9d ago	Quick return
Heerathetrack	11d ago	Quick return
Stoic Syd	13d ago	Quick return
Chourmo	14d ago	Fit
Marchetti	16d ago	Fit
Martini Lodge	16d ago	Fit
He's Our Star	16d ago	Fit
Three Dons	16d ago	Fit
Hellavapace	22d ago	Fit
Ballybaymoonshiner	28d ago	Fit
Rainbow Mirage	132d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.