Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:00

Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2024-02-13

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,548

Winning Time 1m 26.52s (slow by 2.72s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Cusack (GB) Jonny Peate · David Thompson	5/4F	Won
2nd	Leap Day (GB) David Allan · Tim Easterby	9/2	0.3
3rd	Razzam (IRE) Alistair Rawlinson · Michael Appleby	10/1	3
4th	Alexander James (IRE) Tom Eaves · Michael Herrington	10/1	0.05
5th	Enola Grey (IRE) Ethan Jones · Gemma Tutty	6/1	.75
6th	Novak (GB) William Pyle · Iain Jardine	12/1	1
7th	Elusive Empire (FR) Hollie Doyle · Archie Watson	22/1	1.5
8th	Global Spirit (GB) Jason Hart · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	22/1	.5
9th	Flylikeaneagle (IRE) Ryan Sexton · Lucinda Russell	22/1	1.5
10th	Arranmore (GB) Aiden Brookes · Micky Hammond	40/1	2.75
11th	Bora Bora (GB) Luke Morris · John Butler	33/1	0.05
12th	Grey Force One (GB) Billy Loughnane · Philip Kirby	28/1	4.25

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (11)	Cusack Bay J:Jonny Peate(3) T:David Thompson	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:David Thompson	132	p	322-31	71	89	51	9d	—	—	-21	17.8	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Easy winner over 1m here nine days ago; penalty and shorter trip to deal with this time
4 (8)	Leap Day Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	133	p	431-42	72	88	52	19d	—	—	-7	10.5	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Cheekpieces prompted improvement when 2nd over C&D last month; in the mix with a repeat
1 (10)	Enola Grey Grey J:Ethan Jones(7) T:Gemma Tutty	J:Ethan Jones(7) T:Gemma Tutty	135	—	11-274	74	85	50	15d	—	—	-3	9.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Slow starter; two 1m wins here this winter; a well-run race at 7f could suit her
9 (9)	Alexander James Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	131	tp	967-20	70	86	54	11d	—	—	-3	8.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Second over C&D last month before enduring a nightmare passage here latest; each-way shout
3 (7)	Razzam Brown J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	133	—	736-55	72	84	60	21d	—	—	-1	7.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Progress appears to have stalled and others bring stronger claims; return to 7f may help
8 (3)	Novak Grey J:William Pyle(5) T:Iain Jardine	J:William Pyle(5) T:Iain Jardine	131	—	392-36	70	88	77	25d	—	—	0	6.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Placed twice this winter but his form dipped over C&D latest; chance with a revival
11 (1)	Global Spirit Bay J:Jason Hart T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Jason Hart T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	130	—	1426-4	69	85	28	11d	—	—	+2	5.8	5.00/1	20/1 5%
0-13 on AW but he didn't run badly over C&D 11 days ago (after 3 months off); a possible
2 (12)	Elusive Empire Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	133	—	6229-6	72	84	60	13d	—	—	+3	6.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
He has not fired the last twice and he'll need to produce a career best to win
5 (6)	Flylikeaneagle Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Lucinda Russell	J:Ryan Sexton T:Lucinda Russell	132	tb	872-06	71	87	55	11d	—	—	+2	6.5	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Close 2nd over C&D in December; well beaten twice since but had an excuse here latest
10 (5)	Grey Force One Grey J:Billy Loughnane T:Philip Kirby	J:Billy Loughnane T:Philip Kirby	131	—	0910-7	70	83	74	25d	—	—	+3	5.9	7.00/1	28/1 3%
C&D winner for former yard but he'll need to leave a low-key stable debut well behind him
7 (4)	Bora Bora Bay J:Luke Morris T:John Butler	J:Luke Morris T:John Butler	131	—	/7127/	70	85	-	437d	—	—	+12	14.2	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Of interest on his 4yo form for Mick Appleby; absent for 437 days; market to guide
12 (2)	Arranmore Bay J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Micky Hammond	J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Micky Hammond	130	—	085-28	69	87	63	11d	—	—	+3	5.3	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Placed over C&D last month but less good here 11 days ago; others appeal more

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Cusack	6/4	6/5	11/8	11/8	5/4
Leap Day	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Enola Grey	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Alexander James	7/1	8/1	17/2	8/1	11/2
Razzam	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	8/1
Novak	11/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Global Spirit	20/1	20/1	18/1	20/1	20/1
Elusive Empire	22/1	20/1	18/1	18/1	20/1
Flylikeaneagle	20/1	20/1	22/1	20/1	20/1
Grey Force One	28/1	25/1	28/1	25/1	25/1
Bora Bora	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	28/1
Arranmore	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Cusack

17.8

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 12.5

6/4

2nd

Bora Bora

14.2

OR: 5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0.7

33/1

3rd

Leap Day

10.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

5/1

Enola Grey

9.6

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Alexander James

8.3

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

17/2

Razzam

7.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Novak

6.7

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Elusive Empire

6.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Flylikeaneagle

6.5

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Grey Force One

5.9

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Global Spirit

5.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Arranmore

5.3

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Enola Grey	74	85	50
Leap Day	72	88	52
Razzam	72	84	60
Elusive Empire	72	84	60
Cusack	71	89	51
Flylikeaneagle	71	87	55
Alexander James	70	86	54
Novak	70	88	77
Grey Force One	70	83	74
Bora Bora	70	85	—
Global Spirit	69	85	28
Arranmore	69	87	63

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Cusack	9d ago	Quick return
Alexander James	11d ago	Quick return
Global Spirit	11d ago	Quick return
Flylikeaneagle	11d ago	Quick return
Arranmore	11d ago	Quick return
Elusive Empire	13d ago	Quick return
Enola Grey	15d ago	Fit
Leap Day	19d ago	Fit
Razzam	21d ago	Fit
Novak	25d ago	Fit
Grey Force One	25d ago	Fit
Bora Bora	437d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.