Ascot Shop Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) – Ascot

Ascot

1:15

Ascot Shop Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

Date 2024-02-17

Distance 2m3f58y

Class Class 2

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £13,008

Runners (11)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2	Inthewaterside b J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	164	—	11-141	128	131	91	27d	—	—	-5	30.9	5/4 44%
Back on track with all-the-way Lingfield handicap win; commands major respect
11	Vincenzo b J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Sam Thomas	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Sam Thomas	156	—	42-32	127	127	115	35d	—	—	+7	24.3	7/2 22%
Good start over hurdles, not clear run when second at Warwick; lots of untapped potential
9	Phantomofthepoints b J:Jack Tudor T:David Pipe	J:Jack Tudor T:David Pipe	156	—	UP322	-	137	119	68d	—	—	-1	13.3	9/2 18%
Rallied and was beaten only a neck on hurdling debut; that form looks solid; big shout
10	Pic Roc ch J:Ben Jones T:Ben Pauling	J:Ben Jones T:Ben Pauling	156	—	532-52	-	118	99	37d	—	—	-6	2.4	8/1 11%
Close second at Catterick last time despite mistake last; should continue on upward curve
3	Bucksy Des Epeires b J:Charlie Deutsch T:Venetia Williams	J:Charlie Deutsch T:Venetia Williams	161	—	2-124F	124	127	113	27d	—	—	+18	23.6	12/1 8%
Claims on Sandown second in December, form that has worked out quite well
6	Juventus De Brion b J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	156	—	3	-	113	98	58d	—	—	-1	4.6	12/1 8%
Encouraging third at Exeter in December; open to improvement but others have achieved more
5	Casual Observer b J:Paul O'Brien T:Harry Derham	J:Paul O'Brien T:Harry Derham	156	—	2-42	-	122	34	42d	—	—	+2	4	40/1 2%
Second in a small-field Wincanton novice; this is stronger but at least he's unexposed
8	Officer Of State b J:Tom Cannon T:Gary Moore	J:Tom Cannon T:Gary Moore	156	—	58	-	105	58	25d	—	—	-1	0.3	66/1 1%
Useful on Flat in France but well held in two novice hurdles
4	Theyseekhimthere b J:James Bowen T:Warren Greatrex	J:James Bowen T:Warren Greatrex	161	—	7-184	117	121	102	42d	—	—	+16	17.1	66/1 1%
Hasn't built on 125-1 hurdling debut win; something to find on the ratings
NR	Idy Wood b J:TBC T:Jamie Snowden	J: T:Jamie Snowden	164	—	1-1321	126	130	83	26d	—	—	—	26	—
Defied a penalty at Plumpton four weeks ago; may need a personal best to follow up
NR	Noble Don ch J:TBC T:D J Jeffreys	J: T:D J Jeffreys	156	—	3F-27	-	-	-	36d	—	—	—	0	—
Showed ability in points but posted modest effort in Sedgefield bumper on rules debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Inthewaterside	5/4	5/4	5/4	5/4	5/4
Vincenzo	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Phantomofthepoints	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Pic Roc	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Bucksy Des Epeires	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Juventus De Brion	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Casual Observer	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Officer Of State	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Theyseekhimthere	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Inthewaterside

30.9

OR: 19.5 Form: 0 Odds: 11.4

5/4

2nd

Idy Wood

OR: 19 Form: 7 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Vincenzo

24.3

OR: 19.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

7/2

Bucksy Des Epeires

23.6

OR: 18.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Theyseekhimthere

17.1

OR: 16.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

66/1

Phantomofthepoints

13.3

OR: 0 Form: 9.3 Odds: 4

9/2

Juventus De Brion

4.6

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Casual Observer

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Pic Roc

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

8/1

Officer Of State

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

66/1

Noble Don

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Inthewaterside Top Rated	128	131	91
Vincenzo	127	127	115
Idy Wood	126	130	83
Bucksy Des Epeires	124	127	113
Theyseekhimthere	117	121	102
Phantomofthepoints	—	137	119
Pic Roc	—	118	99
Juventus De Brion	—	113	98
Casual Observer	—	122	34
Officer Of State	—	105	58
Noble Don	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Officer Of State	25d ago	Fit
Idy Wood	26d ago	Fit
Inthewaterside	27d ago	Fit
Bucksy Des Epeires	27d ago	Fit
Vincenzo	35d ago	Fit
Noble Don	36d ago	Fit
Pic Roc	37d ago	Fit
Casual Observer	42d ago	Fit
Theyseekhimthere	42d ago	Fit
Juventus De Brion	58d ago	Fresh
Phantomofthepoints	68d ago	Fresh