Win £2,000,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

16:30

Win £2,000,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap

Date 2024-02-17

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,926

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (8)	Redondo Bay J:P J McDonald T:Daragh Bourke	J:P J McDonald T:Daragh Bourke	126	—	096-1	56	73	33	15d	—	—	-9	20.4	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Big step forward when easily winning over C&D on stable/h'cap debut; up 6lb in better race
5 (3)	Mulciber Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Marco Botti	J:Marco Ghiani T:Marco Botti	129	t	05618-	59	70	44	59d	—	—	-3	14.5	0.83/1	10/3 23%
7f winner here in November; off since lesser run in December; no headgear today
3 (2)	Likeashadow Bay J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Alan Brown	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Alan Brown	133	—	4-4223	63	75	50	9d	—	—	-9	8.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Two course wins last year & banging at the door in 2024; in the thick of it once again
4 (5)	Bella Umbria Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:James Ferguson	J:Hollie Doyle T:James Ferguson	132	—	069-	62	76	31	67d	—	—	-4	5.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Well-bred filly who appeals as a likely big improver upped in trip and handicapping
7 (7)	Likleman Bay J:Jason Hart T:Simon West	J:Jason Hart T:Simon West	125	—	729-22	55	73	50	15d	—	—	-4	3.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Exposed maiden but he's finished second over C&D in both runs since a wind op; needs more
2 (6)	Love Yours Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Gemma Tutty	J:Rowan Scott T:Gemma Tutty	133	—	76-372	63	71	47	15d	—	—	-1	4.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Good 2nd over C&D 15 days ago; drops in class and unexposed as a miler
1 (4)	Capla Mojo Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Gay Kelleway	J:Billy Loughnane T:Gay Kelleway	135	—	54-7	65	70	17	29d	—	—	+2	4.2	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Promise on debut but yet to build on it; makes h'cap debut at a realistic level
8 (1)	On The Bubble Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Ben Haslam	J:Andrew Mullen T:Ben Haslam	121	—	469-	51	61	-	95d	—	—	0	0.5	20.00/1	80/1 1%
This is her handicap debut but she'll need to leave her 2yo efforts well behind her

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Redondo	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4
Mulciber	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Likeashadow	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Bella Umbria	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Likleman	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Love Yours	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Capla Mojo	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
On The Bubble	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Redondo

20.4

OR: 1.5 Form: 10 Odds: 8.9

7/4

2nd

Mulciber

14.5

OR: 2.3 Form: 7 Odds: 5.2

10/3

3rd

Likeashadow

8.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

7/2

Bella Umbria

5.9

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Love Yours

4.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Capla Mojo

4.2

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Likleman

3.4

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

9/1

On The Bubble

0.5

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Capla Mojo	65	70	17
Likeashadow	63	75	50
Love Yours	63	71	47
Bella Umbria	62	76	31
Mulciber	59	70	44
Redondo	56	73	33
Likleman	55	73	50
On The Bubble	51	61	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Likeashadow	9d ago	Quick return
Redondo	15d ago	Fit
Likleman	15d ago	Fit
Love Yours	15d ago	Fit
Capla Mojo	29d ago	Fit
Mulciber	59d ago	Fresh
Bella Umbria	67d ago	Fresh
On The Bubble	95d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.