BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:00

BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap

Date 2024-02-17

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £6,804

Winning Time 1m 38.48s (slow by 1.48s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Noble Order (IRE) Hollie Doyle · Archie Watson	100/30	Won
2nd	Dingle (IRE) Ryan Sexton · Julie Camacho	7/1	1.5
3rd	Enola Grey (IRE) Rowan Scott · Gemma Tutty	12/1	1.75
4th	Hale End (IRE) Clifford Lee · Michael Dods	7/1	2
5th	Gainsbourg (GB) Billy Garritty · Daragh Bourke	150/1	.5
6th	Crownthorpe (GB) Tommie Jakes · Alan Brown	28/1	1
7th	Trais Fluors (GB) Jonny Peate · Linda Perratt	28/1	0.2
8th	Hortzadar (GB) Daniel Tudhope · David O'Meara	10/1	2.25
9th	Titan Rock (GB) Jason Hart · John & Sean Quinn	9/1	1.25
10th	Qaasid (IRE) Callum Rodriguez · Julie Camacho	8/1	8
11th	Oliver Show (IRE) Billy Loughnane · George Boughey	3/1F	1.25
12th	Afterwards (IRE) Cam Hardie · Ollie Pears	28/1	10

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (7)	Noble Order Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	135	—	22/13/	84	-	-	456d	—	—	-10	16.5	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Sold by Godolphin for 16,000gns last October; absent 456 days; looked promising early on
4 (6)	Oliver Show Chestnut J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	135	t	430-21	84	98	79	13d	—	—	-4	13.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Near miss over C&D before snug 7f win latest; 2lb rise fair; could yet rank higher
5 (1)	Dingle Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	133	—	364-91	82	98	59	32d	—	—	+1	10.7	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Beat Oliver Show over C&D last month & 1lb better off today; not sure to confirm placings
10 (8)	Hale End Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Michael Dods	J:Clifford Lee T:Michael Dods	127	p	35-185	76	94	69	8d	—	—	+1	8.7	2.13/1	17/2 11%
C&D winner in Class 5 last month; held in Class 4s the last twice; others appeal more
3 (5)	Titan Rock Bay J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	135	—	204-39	84	96	60	27d	—	—	+4	10.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Had an excuse at Chelmsford last time; has the ability to play a big role off this mark
12 (11)	Enola Grey Grey J:Rowan Scott T:Gemma Tutty	J:Rowan Scott T:Gemma Tutty	125	—	1-2745	74	95	62	4d	—	—	+9	14.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Slow-starter; two C&D wins in December but the handicapper looks to have caught up now
7 (12)	Hortzadar Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	128	p	013-54	77	97	63	26d	—	—	+3	8.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
C&D winner in November and he's run well in defeat since; should make another bold bid
2 (3)	Qaasid Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Julie Camacho	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Julie Camacho	135	v	3232-0	84	97	33	30d	—	—	+5	9.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Sharper for last month's reappearance; chance on last winter's best; drops in trip today
6 (4)	Afterwards Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Ollie Pears	J:Cam Hardie T:Ollie Pears	133	—	2154-6	82	93	28	43d	—	—	+5	9	5.00/1	20/1 5%
C&D winner last March; unplaced in two handicaps and needs a career best to take this
9 (2)	Crownthorpe Bay J:Tommie Jakes(7) T:Alan Brown	J:Tommie Jakes(7) T:Alan Brown	128	—	52047-	77	96	53	59d	—	—	+6	9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Conditions to suit but suspicion he'll remain vulnerable to less-exposed rivals
11 (9)	Trais Fluors b/br J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Linda Perratt	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Linda Perratt	126	—	15-401	75	94	83	26d	—	—	+3	7.5	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Five runs for this yard, all over C&D, winning twice; should remain competitive
8 (10)	Gainsbourg Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Daragh Bourke	J:Billy Garritty T:Daragh Bourke	128	p	11707-	77	94	-	—	—	—	+11	12	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Two wins in blinkers at Ayr last summer; no show over hurdles when last seen; others safer

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Noble Order	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1
Oliver Show	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Dingle	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Hale End	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Titan Rock	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Enola Grey	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Hortzadar	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Qaasid	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Afterwards	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Crownthorpe	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Trais Fluors	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Gainsbourg	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Noble Order

16.5

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 8

2/1

2nd

Enola Grey

14.6

OR: 6 Form: 7 Odds: 1.6

12/1

3rd

Oliver Show

13.5

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

7/2

Gainsbourg

OR: 6.8 Form: 5 Odds: 0.2

80/1

Dingle

10.7

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

7/1

Titan Rock

10.2

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Qaasid

9.9

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Afterwards

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

20/1

Crownthorpe

OR: 6.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.8

25/1

Hale End

8.7

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Hortzadar

8.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Trais Fluors

7.5

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Noble Order	84	—	—
Oliver Show	84	98	79
Titan Rock	84	96	60
Qaasid	84	97	33
Dingle	82	98	59
Afterwards	82	93	28
Hortzadar	77	97	63
Crownthorpe	77	96	53
Gainsbourg	77	94	—
Hale End	76	94	69
Trais Fluors	75	94	83
Enola Grey	74	95	62

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Enola Grey	4d ago	Quick return
Hale End	8d ago	Quick return
Oliver Show	13d ago	Quick return
Hortzadar	26d ago	Fit
Trais Fluors	26d ago	Fit
Titan Rock	27d ago	Fit
Qaasid	30d ago	Fit
Dingle	32d ago	Fit
Afterwards	43d ago	Fit
Crownthorpe	59d ago	Fresh
Noble Order	456d ago	Long break
Gainsbourg	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.