Bet £10 Get £40 At BetMGM Handicap (Div I) – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

19:00

Bet £10 Get £40 At BetMGM Handicap (Div I)

Date 2024-02-17

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,757

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (4)	Headabovetherest Chestnut J:Hollie Doyle T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Hollie Doyle T:Rebecca Menzies	133	—	97209-	60	74	59	172d	—	—	-13	13	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Best run for T Easterby came on his only AW run (6f, here); same mark today; check betting
1 (2)	Concert Boy Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	135	v	553-53	62	78	56	29d	—	—	-9	8	0.88/1	7/2 22%
C&D winner; better than bare result when third over 1m here latest; key player back at 7f
6 (5)	Rich Waters Bay J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	132	—	0559-2	59	77	54	9d	—	—	-2	10.9	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Back to form when second over C&D last week; still has handicapping scope; contender
8 (8)	Jems Bond Chestnut J:Billy Garritty T:Alan Brown	J:Billy Garritty T:Alan Brown	130	p	70-286	57	76	46	9d	—	—	-6	4.8	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Conditions to suit and down in the weights but he'll need to step up on recent efforts
7 (1)	Saisons D'Or Roan J:Jack Garritty T:Jedd O'Keeffe	J:Jack Garritty T:Jedd O'Keeffe	131	—	34850-	58	73	64	134d	—	—	-2	4.3	2.75/1	11/1 8%
3-time C&D winner; has come on for his reappearance in last two seasons; career-low mark
3 (6)	Comedian Leader Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Gay Kelleway	J:Billy Loughnane T:Gay Kelleway	135	tp	-41859	62	76	45	14d	—	—	+2	7.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Scored over 1m at Kempton last month; less good since and others appeal more today
2 (7)	Anif Bay J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Michael Herrington	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Michael Herrington	135	—	4000-0	62	70	46	37d	—	—	0	4.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Conditions suit & potentially thrown in dropped into Class 6; market can provide clues
4 (9)	Danielsflyer Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:David Thompson	J:Sean Kirrane T:David Thompson	134	p	7633-8	61	76	45	26d	—	—	0	4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Placed over 1m here twice last autumn; heavy defeat last month
9 (3)	One Last Hug Bay J:Alex Jary(5) T:Jim Goldie	J:Alex Jary(5) T:Jim Goldie	125	—	41-894	52	74	57	7d	—	—	-2	1.3	6.25/1	25/1 4%
6f win at Wolverhampton in Dec; fair 4th here last week; hard to win with but e/w shout

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Headabovetherest	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1
Concert Boy	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Rich Waters	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Jems Bond	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Saisons D'Or	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Comedian Leader	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Anif	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Danielsflyer	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
One Last Hug	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Headabovetherest

OR: 2.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 8

2/1

2nd

Rich Waters

10.9

OR: 2.3 Form: 5 Odds: 3.6

5/1

3rd

Concert Boy

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

7/2

Comedian Leader

7.4

OR: 3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Jems Bond

4.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

6/1

Saisons D'Or

4.3

OR: 2 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Anif

4.2

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Danielsflyer

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

16/1

One Last Hug

1.3

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Concert Boy	62	78	56
Comedian Leader	62	76	45
Anif	62	70	46
Danielsflyer	61	76	45
Headabovetherest	60	74	59
Rich Waters	59	77	54
Saisons D'Or	58	73	64
Jems Bond	57	76	46
One Last Hug	52	74	57

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
One Last Hug	7d ago	Quick return
Rich Waters	9d ago	Quick return
Jems Bond	9d ago	Quick return
Comedian Leader	14d ago	Fit
Danielsflyer	26d ago	Fit
Concert Boy	29d ago	Fit
Anif	37d ago	Fit
Saisons D'Or	134d ago	Long break
Headabovetherest	172d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.