BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

20:00

BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap

Date 2024-02-19

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,757

Winning Time 1m 28.74s (slow by 2.74s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Bossy Parker (IRE) Callum Shepherd · Stella Barclay	11/2	Won
2nd	American Rose (GB) William Cox · James Evans	28/1	1.25
3rd	Blue Collar Lad (GB) Kieran O'Neill · Alice Haynes	5/1	2
4th	Bear To Dream (IRE) William Carson · Michael Attwater	12/1	1.25
5th	Port Noir (GB) Marco Ghiani · Robert Stephens	5/1	0.05
6th	Northbound (IRE) Ryan Sexton · Peter Niven	15/2	1
7th	Storm Asset (GB) Dougie Costello · Tony Carroll	11/1	0.1
8th	Stop On Red (IRE) Ross Coakley · Miss Katy Brown	100/30F	.5
9th	Sea The Buckthorn (GB) George Bass · Mark Usher	9/1	23
10th	Rebel Redemption (GB) Elisha Whittington · Scott Dixon	28/1	0.2

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
U.R.	Shabaaby (GB) P J McDonald · Ewan Whillans	33/1

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (8)	Bossy Parker Brown J:Callum Shepherd T:Stella Barclay	J:Callum Shepherd T:Stella Barclay	135	b	997-43	55	65	46	9d	—	—	-10	5.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Dual turf winner (7f), who is unexposed on AW and looks interesting back at this trip
8 (10)	Blue Collar Lad Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	132	p	532-84	52	65	59	21d	—	0W/1P 1 run	-10	4.6	1.13/1	9/2 18%
On dangerous mark but he's 1-16 on AW and has a tough draw on his stable debut
6 (5)	Stop On Red Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Miss Katy Brown	J:Ross Coakley T:Miss Katy Brown	134	—	1596-4	54	64	39	2d	—	—	-9	5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Well held in last four runs including here (8.6f) on Saturday; others preferred
5 (3)	Port Noir Black J:Marco Ghiani T:Robert Stephens	J:Marco Ghiani T:Robert Stephens	134	t	0-9545	54	67	54	11d	0W/0P 1 run	1W/1P 1 run	-7	4.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Fair efforts at Lingfield last twice but she needs to find some extra spark
7 (9)	Northbound Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Peter Niven	J:Ryan Sexton T:Peter Niven	134	—	767-63	54	71	46	11d	—	—	-6	3.7	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Last two wins came on Tapeta and he went close at Newcastle 11 days ago; respected
11 (6)	Sea The Buckthorn Bay J:George Bass(3) T:Mark Usher	J:George Bass(3) T:Mark Usher	128	h	44-315	48	70	62	21d	—	—	-6	2.5	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Won over C&D last month and things didn't go his way here last time; possibilities
9 (7)	Storm Asset Bay J:Dougie Costello T:Tony Carroll	J:Dougie Costello T:Tony Carroll	131	—	24U94-	51	68	54	63d	—	—	-4	2.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Two wins off this mark last June but he's been well held last twice; mixed messages
10 (2)	Bear To Dream Bay J:William Carson T:Michael Attwater	J:William Carson T:Michael Attwater	128	—	54-223	48	68	54	18d	—	—	-4	1.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
0-14 on AW but she's been placed in last three starts including over C&D; shortlisted
4 (12)	Shabaaby Brown J:P J McDonald T:Ewan Whillans	J:P J McDonald T:Ewan Whillans	134	v	104-60	54	68	47	25d	—	—	-1	1.7	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Shock winner here in October but no closer than fourth since and out the back last time
12 (1)	Rebel Redemption Grey J:Elisha Whittington(3) T:Scott Dixon	J:Elisha Whittington(3) T:Scott Dixon	126	tp	2-4758	46	67	57	8d	—	—	+2	4.1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
All seven wins have been at 6f and last one was in August 2022; down the list
1 (4)	American Rose Bay J:William Cox T:James Evans	J:William Cox T:James Evans	135	—	23736-	55	69	63	170d	—	—	+4	5.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Record of 1-13 and has something to prove at this new trip after 170 days off
NR (11)	Daring Guest Bay J:TBC T:Tom Clover	J: T:Tom Clover	135	t	1/53-7	55	66	50	17d	—	—	—	6.3	—	—
Has not seen much action in recent years but he could be dangerous if he gets some luck

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Bossy Parker	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Blue Collar Lad	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Stop On Red	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Port Noir	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Northbound	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Sea The Buckthorn	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Storm Asset	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Bear To Dream	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Shabaaby	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Rebel Redemption	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
American Rose	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Daring Guest

6.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Bossy Parker

5.7

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

4/1

3rd

American Rose

5.7

OR: 1.3 Form: 4 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Stop On Red

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Blue Collar Lad

4.6

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.1

9/2

Port Noir

4.3

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Rebel Redemption

4.1

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Northbound

3.7

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

7/1

Sea The Buckthorn

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Storm Asset

2.2

OR: 0.3 Form: 0.3 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Shabaaby

1.7

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

28/1

Bear To Dream

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bossy Parker	55	65	46
American Rose	55	69	63
Daring Guest	55	66	50
Stop On Red	54	64	39
Port Noir	54	67	54
Northbound	54	71	46
Shabaaby	54	68	47
Blue Collar Lad	52	65	59
Storm Asset	51	68	54
Sea The Buckthorn	48	70	62
Bear To Dream	48	68	54
Rebel Redemption	46	67	57

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Stop On Red	2d ago	Quick return
Rebel Redemption	8d ago	Quick return
Bossy Parker	9d ago	Quick return
Port Noir	11d ago	Quick return
Northbound	11d ago	Quick return
Daring Guest	17d ago	Fit
Bear To Dream	18d ago	Fit
Blue Collar Lad	21d ago	Fit
Sea The Buckthorn	21d ago	Fit
Shabaaby	25d ago	Fit
Storm Asset	63d ago	Fresh
American Rose	170d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 7f36y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.