Find More Big Deals At BetUK Handicap (Div II) – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

20:00

Find More Big Deals At BetUK Handicap (Div II)

Date 2024-02-27

Distance 1m3f23y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,757

Winning Time 2m 22.84s (slow by 3.94s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Bletchley Storm (GB) Dylan Hogan · Michael Wigham	12/1	Won
2nd	Sky Dancer (GB) Tommie Jakes · Matt Crawley	8/1	1
3rd	Bond Spirit (GB) Robert Havlin · Louise Allan	4/1	2.75
4th	Sociologist (FR) Kieran O'Neill · Scott Dixon	18/1	.75
5th	Prince Hector (IRE) Paula Muir · Jessica Bedi	9/2	3.5
6th	Bristol Hill (IRE) Oisin Murphy · Kevin Frost	6/4F	.75
7th	Mintnthat (GB) Aiden Brookes · Micky Hammond	16/1	5
8th	Tiger Touch (USA) Cam Hardie · Derek Shaw	125/1	.75
9th	Latest Edition (IRE) James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	18/1	0.3
10th	Recorwoman (FR) Elle-May Croot · Ivan Furtado	25/1	3
11th	Tigerten (GB) Ben Sanderson · Kevin Frost	25/1	11

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (4)	Bristol Hill Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Kevin Frost	J:Oisin Murphy T:Kevin Frost	135	h	46-763	55	71	46	10d	—	—	-17	9.3	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Not at his best this winter but sliding down the weights and O Murphy is up for first time
6 (1)	Bond Spirit Chestnut J:Robert Havlin T:Louise Allan	J:Robert Havlin T:Louise Allan	132	p	90-474	52	68	32	12d	—	—	-12	5.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Both wins over 1m4f here; creditable effort over C&D latest; on winning mark last May
7 (5)	Prince Hector Bay J:Paula Muir(3) T:Jessica Bedi	J:Paula Muir(3) T:Jessica Bedi	132	—	4816-3	52	64	57	45d	—	—	-6	7.1	1.25/1	5/1 17%
AW win at 1m1f in December; fair 3rd over new 1m4f trip in January; on the premises
10 (3)	Bletchley Storm Chestnut J:Dylan Hogan T:Michael Wigham	J:Dylan Hogan T:Michael Wigham	129	—	959-40	50	66	34	13d	—	—	-6	2.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
C&D third in September; in and out of form since but worth a market check
8 (10)	Sky Dancer Grey J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Matt Crawley	J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Matt Crawley	131	—	0690/2	52	64	23	13d	—	0W/0P 1 run	0	7.6	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Modest 2yo form; missed 2023 but good 2nd for new yard (1m3f) this month; up 1lb
3 (9)	Mintnthat Bay J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Micky Hammond	J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Micky Hammond	134	tp	66-711	54	66	36	31d	—	—	-3	2.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Narrow winner of latest two starts, over 1m at Newcastle; lots to prove over new trip
2 (12)	Latest Edition Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	134	—	054-87	55	67	50	39d	—	—	-3	2.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Not far away over C&D before Christmas and now 5lb lower on debut for new yard
4 (11)	Tigerten Bay J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Kevin Frost	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Kevin Frost	134	—	60643-	54	69	45	119d	—	—	+1	5.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Last two wins at 2m/1m6f; modest course form; 0-9 on AW; down weights but lacks recent run
11 (6)	Sociologist Chestnut J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	126	b	040-09	46	63	38	35d	—	—	-2	0.9	5.50/1	22/1 4%
4th at Wolverhampton in December; has not beaten a rival in his 4 other runs this winter
5 (8)	Recorwoman Bay J:Elle-May Croot(7) T:Ivan Furtado	J:Elle-May Croot(7) T:Ivan Furtado	134	t	07017-	54	69	11	154d	—	—	+6	8.8	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Has course form at 1m; off the mark for this yard in July (1m2f); last seen in September
12 (7)	Tiger Touch Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Derek Shaw	J:Cam Hardie T:Derek Shaw	126	—	/05-80	46	62	-	13d	—	—	0	0.2	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Lightly raced over the years; not yet rediscovered form since returning from an absence
NR (2)	Still Standing Chestnut J:Finley Marsh T:Alexandra Dunn	J:Finley Marsh T:Alexandra Dunn	130	—	9-9609	50	66	51	17d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Multiple turf wins but little sign of getting off the mark on the AW this winter

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Bristol Hill	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1
Bond Spirit	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Prince Hector	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Bletchley Storm	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Sky Dancer	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Mintnthat	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Latest Edition	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Tigerten	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Sociologist	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Recorwoman	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Tiger Touch	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bristol Hill

9.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 8

2/1

2nd

Recorwoman

8.8

OR: 1 Form: 7 Odds: 0.8

25/1

3rd

Sky Dancer

7.6

OR: 0.5 Form: 5 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Prince Hector

7.1

OR: 0.5 Form: 3 Odds: 3.6

5/1

Bond Spirit

5.7

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

10/3

Tigerten

5.1

OR: 1 Form: 3 Odds: 1.1

18/1

Latest Edition

2.9

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Mintnthat

2.6

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Bletchley Storm

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Sociologist

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Tiger Touch

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Still Standing

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bristol Hill	55	71	46
Latest Edition	55	67	50
Mintnthat	54	66	36
Tigerten	54	69	45
Recorwoman	54	69	11
Bond Spirit	52	68	32
Prince Hector	52	64	57
Sky Dancer	52	64	23
Bletchley Storm	50	66	34
Still Standing	50	66	51
Sociologist	46	63	38
Tiger Touch	46	62	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bristol Hill	10d ago	Quick return
Bond Spirit	12d ago	Quick return
Bletchley Storm	13d ago	Quick return
Sky Dancer	13d ago	Quick return
Tiger Touch	13d ago	Quick return
Still Standing	17d ago	Fit
Mintnthat	31d ago	Fit
Sociologist	35d ago	Fit
Latest Edition	39d ago	Fit
Prince Hector	45d ago	Fit
Tigerten	119d ago	Long break
Recorwoman	154d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m3f23y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.