Play The BetVictor Predictor Handicap Hurdle (Challenger Stayers Hurdle Series Qualifier)

Newbury

16:45

Date 2024-03-01

Distance 3m52y

Class Class 3

Going Heavy

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £9,242

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7	G A Henty Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	151	—	1/7U-2	114	136	115	52d	—	—	+10	32.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Well related; no shock if this handicap debut over 3m prompts more improvement
2	Young Butler Bay J:Paul O'Brien T:Harry Derham	J:Paul O'Brien T:Harry Derham	164	p	P43-11	127	131	119	113d	—	—	+6	24.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Won last May and November, latterly over C&D for new yard; up another 6lb but progressing
3	Man At Work Bay J:Harry Cobden T:David Pipe	J:Harry Cobden T:David Pipe	163	t	F/15-	126	128	-	455d	—	—	+7	24	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Off 455 days; wind surgery and now tongue tied; 2m4f novice win in 2022 looked exciting
1	Hermino AA Bay J:Mr Freddie Mitchell(5) T:Gary Moore	J:Mr Freddie Mitchell(5) T:Gary Moore	168	—	-UP302	131	137	126	27d	—	—	+15	30.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Second of 14 in Grade 3 handicap over 2m7f at Sandown last time; should have a big shout
5	High Game Royal Bay J:Ben Jones T:Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	J:Ben Jones T:Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	154	—	31-233	117	133	-	60d	—	—	+5	21.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Below form in his latest chase; bit to prove over new trip back hurdling
6	Tanganyika Bay J:Charlie Deutsch T:Venetia Williams	J:Charlie Deutsch T:Venetia Williams	154	—	45135F	117	131	118	27d	—	—	+14	22	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Backward steps on last two starts, whereas to win this probably requires a career best
4	Super Survivor Bay J:Gavin Sheehan T:Jamie Snowden	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Jamie Snowden	162	p	13-2P8	125	130	-	38d	—	—	+15	20.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Returns to hurdling after flops in his last two chases, Welsh National on first occasion

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
G A Henty	7/2	10/3	11/4	7/2	3/1
Young Butler	4/1	4/1	7/2	10/3	7/2
Man At Work	7/2	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2
Hermino AA	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	4/1
High Game Royal	11/2	9/2	5/1	5/1	5/1
Tanganyika	11/1	10/1	11/1	10/1	10/1
Super Survivor	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1	14/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

G A Henty

32.7

OR: 16 Form: 10 Odds: 6.7

7/2

2nd

Hermino AA

30.4

OR: 20.3 Form: 5.8 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Young Butler

24.7

OR: 19.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

4/1

Man At Work

OR: 19 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Tanganyika

OR: 16.8 Form: 3 Odds: 2.2

11/1

High Game Royal

21.8

OR: 16.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5

11/2

Super Survivor

20.4

OR: 18.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Hermino AA	131	137	126
Young Butler	127	131	119
Man At Work	126	128	—
Super Survivor	125	130	—
High Game Royal	117	133	—
Tanganyika	117	131	118
G A Henty	114	136	115

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Hermino AA	27d ago	Fit
Tanganyika	27d ago	Fit
Super Survivor	38d ago	Fit
G A Henty	52d ago	Fresh
High Game Royal	60d ago	Fresh
Young Butler	113d ago	Long break
Man At Work	455d ago	Long break