Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Classified Stakes – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

20:30

Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Classified Stakes

Date 2024-03-01

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,711

Winning Time 1m 45.88s (slow by 8.88s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Retirement Beckons (GB) Tommie Jakes · Linda Perratt	50/1	Won
2nd	Ana Emaraaty (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	4/1	1.25
3rd	Ledger (IRE) Oisin Orr · Lucinda Russell	5/2J	0.2
4th	Copper Mountain (GB) Joanna Mason · Michael & David Easterby	5/2J	0.3
5th	Mr Coco Bean (USA) Phil Dennis · Helen Cuthbert	25/1	1.5
6th	Child Of Lir (IRE) David Nolan · Rebecca Menzies	10/1	1.25
7th	Coligone Kate (GB) Tom Kiely-Marshall · Julie Camacho	6/1	2.75
8th	Run At Dawn (IRE) Dougie Costello · Adam Nicol	28/1	.75
9th	Fulltime (IRE) Andrew Mullen · Rebecca Menzies	25/1	17

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (4)	Ledger Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Lucinda Russell	J:Oisin Orr T:Lucinda Russell	140	tp	954-91	50	62	48	8d	—	—	-24	11.4	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Clearcut winner of very similar race in refitted cheekpieces last week; has 5lb penalty
5 (3)	Copper Mountain Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	135	t	25-616	50	64	50	25d	—	—	-22	10	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Beaten at odds-on last time but won in this grade two starts ago; likely contender
2 (6)	Ana Emaraaty Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	135	—	6635-5	46	56	43	20d	0W/0P 1 run	—	-11	4.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Not beaten far in this grade last month, after a break; drops back from 1m2f; a possible
4 (5)	Coligone Kate Chestnut J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(7) T:Julie Camacho	J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(7) T:Julie Camacho	135	h	653-73	45	57	17	20d	—	—	-6	2.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Bettered low-key stable debut when third in C&D handicap last month; one to consider
3 (9)	Child Of Lir Bay J:David Nolan T:Rebecca Menzies	J:David Nolan T:Rebecca Menzies	135	p	00-853	50	56	22	8d	—	—	-6	2.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Big step back in right direction when placed behind Ledger over C&D last week
6 (8)	Fulltime Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Andrew Mullen T:Rebecca Menzies	135	tp	8600-6	43	45	11	8d	—	—	-3	1.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Persistently denied clear run when sixth over C&D on recent stable debut
7 (1)	Mr Coco Bean Bay J:Phil Dennis T:Helen Cuthbert	J:Phil Dennis T:Helen Cuthbert	135	p	0-6337	47	58	39	10d	—	—	-3	1.1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Placed twice over 7f here last month but younger rivals appeal more all the same
8 (2)	Retirement Beckons Bay J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Linda Perratt	J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Linda Perratt	135	—	57-907	45	50	33	36d	—	—	-2	0.8	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Nine-time winner on turf but this year's AW form has been very disappointing
9 (7)	Run At Dawn Chestnut J:Dougie Costello T:Adam Nicol	J:Dougie Costello T:Adam Nicol	135	t	000-94	42	52	21	8d	—	—	-2	0.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Belied 40-1 odds when placed over C&D last week but overall profile remains unappealing

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Ledger	7/4	15/8	6/4	15/8	5/4
Copper Mountain	7/4	2/1	2/1	15/8	7/4
Ana Emaraaty	5/1	11/2	6/1	5/1	5/1
Coligone Kate	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	8/1
Child Of Lir	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Fulltime	25/1	18/1	22/1	18/1	18/1
Mr Coco Bean	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
Retirement Beckons	50/1	40/1	50/1	50/1	40/1
Run At Dawn	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ledger

11.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 11.4

15/8

2nd

Copper Mountain

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 10

2/1

3rd

Ana Emaraaty

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

6/1

Coligone Kate

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Child Of Lir

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

12/1

Fulltime

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Mr Coco Bean

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

33/1

Retirement Beckons

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

50/1

Run At Dawn

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ledger	50	62	48
Copper Mountain	50	64	50
Child Of Lir	50	56	22
Mr Coco Bean	47	58	39
Ana Emaraaty	46	56	43
Coligone Kate	45	57	17
Retirement Beckons	45	50	33
Fulltime	43	45	11
Run At Dawn	42	52	21

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ledger	8d ago	Quick return
Child Of Lir	8d ago	Quick return
Fulltime	8d ago	Quick return
Run At Dawn	8d ago	Quick return
Mr Coco Bean	10d ago	Quick return
Ana Emaraaty	20d ago	Fit
Coligone Kate	20d ago	Fit
Copper Mountain	25d ago	Fit
Retirement Beckons	36d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.