Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Novice Stakes – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

19:00

Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Novice Stakes

Date 2024-03-01

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £6,156

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10 (10)	Gemstar Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-23	10.6	0.34/1	11/8 42%
280,000gns yearling; by Zoustar out of a Listed winner; interesting debutante
1 (1)	August Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Michael Appleby	J:Oisin Orr T:Michael Appleby	133	p	322-50	70	85	69	40d	—	—	-7	10	0.88/1	7/2 22%
0-8; major player on best form and this new scenario may have positive effect
5 (4)	Lakota Brave Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-10	4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
£70,000 yearling; by Sioux Nation out of a 6f winner; check the betting
8 (7)	Eleutheromania Bay J:Grace McEntee(3) T:George Boughey	J:Grace McEntee(3) T:George Boughey	128	—	62-	-	88	-	233d	—	—	-1	7.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Raced twice for Sir Michael Stoute, better effort when second on turf at Lingfield
7 (2)	Agnes Grey Bay J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	128	—	35328-	71	87	-	141d	—	—	+5	13	2.25/1	9/1 10%
0-8; has some placed form on turf; fighting chance provided she takes to Tapeta
3 (6)	Calder Valley Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Julie Camacho	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Julie Camacho	133	—	0/3	-	78	26	20d	—	—	-2	4.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Ran encouragingly here last month on return from lengthy absence; possibilities
6 (9)	Sycamore Gap Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Andrew Mullen T:Rebecca Menzies	133	—	746	-	77	28	10d	—	—	-3	1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Raced only at Newcastle; has frame possibilities on penultimate effort
9 (8)	Emer Elysees Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Tristan Davidson	J:Sean Kirrane T:Tristan Davidson	128	h	0-	-	66	22	119d	—	—	-1	0.2	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Ex-Irish mare who needs to improve on debut for new yard
2 (3)	Busan Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Julie Camacho	J:Cam Hardie T:Julie Camacho	133	—	96	-	70	31	28d	—	—	-1	0.2	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Modest RPRs in two novice events here
NR (5)	Jimmybegood Bay J:Harry Russell T:Susan Corbett	J:Harry Russell T:Susan Corbett	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—	—
Out of half-sister to a useful winner; one of three newcomers in the field

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Gemstar	11/8	11/8	11/8	11/8	11/8
August	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Lakota Brave	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Eleutheromania	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Agnes Grey	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Calder Valley	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Sycamore Gap	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Emer Elysees	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1
Busan	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Agnes Grey

OR: 5.3 Form: 5.6 Odds: 2.1

9/1

2nd

Gemstar

10.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 10.6

11/8

3rd

August

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

7/2

Eleutheromania

7.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 2.4

8/1

Calder Valley

4.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Lakota Brave

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Sycamore Gap

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

22/1

Emer Elysees

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Busan

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Jimmybegood

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Agnes Grey	71	87	—
August	70	85	69
Gemstar	—	—	—
Lakota Brave	—	—	—
Eleutheromania	—	88	—
Calder Valley	—	78	26
Sycamore Gap	—	77	28
Emer Elysees	—	66	22
Busan	—	70	31
Jimmybegood	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sycamore Gap	10d ago	Quick return
Calder Valley	20d ago	Fit
Busan	28d ago	Fit
August	40d ago	Fit
Emer Elysees	119d ago	Long break
Agnes Grey	141d ago	Long break
Eleutheromania	233d ago	Long break
Gemstar	—	—
Lakota Brave	—	—
Jimmybegood	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.