Always Gamble Responsibly With BetUK Restricted Novice Stakes (For horses In Bands B-D) (GBB Race)

Newcastle (AW)

18:00

Date 2024-03-01

Distance 5f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3-5yo

Prize £6,156

Runners (5)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (3)	Cast No Shadow Bay J:Jason Hart T:Hugo Palmer	J:Jason Hart T:Hugo Palmer	133	p	424-82	73	83	74	25d	—	—	-39	25.8	0.06/1	1/4 80%
Exposed but holds obvious claims in an ordinary novice sporting first-time headgear
3 (2)	Exponential Brown J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Bryan Smart	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Bryan Smart	130	—	6-73	62	74	64	25d	—	—	-5	6.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Half-sister to four winners; better with each start; good bit to find with Cast No Shadow
4 (1)	Tees Harriet Bay J:Paddy Mathers T:Adrian Nicholls	J:Paddy Mathers T:Adrian Nicholls	130	—	64	-	68	54	25d	—	—	-7	2.7	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Needs a deal more if she's to turn things round with both those ahead at Southwell latest
5 (4)	Tantomile Bay J:James Sullivan T:Richard Fahey	J:James Sullivan T:Richard Fahey	126	—	9-6	-	62	23	19d	—	—	-3	1.2	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Pullld too hard upped to 6f last time; too early to write her off but hard to recommend
2 (5)	Dandycan Chestnut J:Cam Hardie T:Susan Corbett	J:Cam Hardie T:Susan Corbett	131	—	7-	-	34	-	182d	—	—	-1	0.5	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Best watched for yard whose Flat winners in recent times have come with older handicappers

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Cast No Shadow	1/4	1/4	1/4	1/4	1/4
Exponential	7/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	11/2
Tees Harriet	15/2	8/1	15/2	15/2	15/2
Tantomile	33/1	25/1	28/1	18/1	20/1
Dandycan	100/1	66/1	66/1	50/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Cast No Shadow

25.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 20

1/4

2nd

Exponential

6.3

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

3rd

Tees Harriet

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Tantomile

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

33/1

Dandycan

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Cast No Shadow	73	83	74
Exponential	62	74	64
Tees Harriet	—	68	54
Tantomile	—	62	23
Dandycan	—	34	—

Last Run

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.