bet365 Premier Novices' Hurdle (Grade 2) (GBB Race)

Kelso

14:17

Date 2024-03-02

Distance 2m2f25y

Class Class 1

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £31,323

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	Jango Baie Bay J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	164	—	2-112	139	145	126	23d	—	—	+10	32.4	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Question mark regarding stable form but this Grade 1 Formby winner has leading form claims
9	Personal Ambition Brown J:Kielan Woods T:Ben Pauling	J:Kielan Woods T:Ben Pauling	159	—	3-131	130	132	116	52d	—	—	+7	28.4	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Two wins from this three hurdle starts and he could pose a threat now back up in grade
12	Brucio Bay J:Daryl Jacob T:S R B Crawford	J:Daryl Jacob T:S R B Crawford	155	t	653F11	132	143	97	27d	—	—	+28	41.3	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Bolted up in Listed mares' handicap at Leopardstown and major player on the back of that
3	Alnilam b/br J:Bradley Harris T:Anthony Charlton	J:Bradley Harris T:Anthony Charlton	159	—	41	-	135	119	15d	—	—	+4	12.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Easily beat a solid yardstick here a fortnight ago and he's a highly likeable prospect
4	Bertie's Ballet Bay J:Conor O'Farrell T:Dianne Sayer	J:Conor O'Farrell T:Dianne Sayer	159	—	10-212	116	128	115	27d	—	—	+13	17.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Soundly beaten second last time but the extra yardage may help; not ruled out each-way
10	Rich Spirit Bay J:Ross Chapman T:Sue Smith	J:Ross Chapman T:Sue Smith	159	—	-33512	126	134	115	35d	—	—	+29	33.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
A win and a good handicap second from his last two starts; he's an each-way possible
2	Cannock Park Bay J:Craig Nichol T:Paul Robson	J:Craig Nichol T:Paul Robson	162	—	12-113	124	130	109	67d	—	—	+15	19.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
3rd in Aintree Grade 1 latest (albeit behind Jango Baie); no surprise to see bold bid
7	Intense Approach Chestnut J:Ben Harvey T:John C McConnell	J:Ben Harvey T:John C McConnell	159	t	1-211F	-	-	-	106d	—	—	+4	8.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Disappointing on sole hurdle start but on heavy ground and he looked exciting previously
6	Dripsey Moon Bay J:Ryan Mania T:John C McConnell	J:Ryan Mania T:John C McConnell	159	p	1-1256	128	133	113	35d	—	—	+25	27.2	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Has failed to build upon promise of hurdle debut win but the drop in trip may be a plus
5	Choose A Copper Bay J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	159	t	F-2132	119	124	86	48d	—	—	+16	17.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Won at Hexham in October; beaten the next twice and improvement is needed
11	Will Knott Bay J:Sam Coltherd T:Stuart Coltherd	J:Sam Coltherd T:Stuart Coltherd	159	—	4U2-13	-	-	-	57d	—	—	0	0.2	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Bumper winner, but thrown in at deep end on hurdle debut and lots of improvement is needed
8	Justus Chestnut J:Emma Smith-Chaston T:Micky Hammond	J:Emma Smith-Chaston T:Micky Hammond	159	p	012	116	117	97	34d	—	—	+28	28.7	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Best of the rest behind Dysart Enos last time, but limitations could be exposed once more

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Jango Baie	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Personal Ambition	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
Brucio	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Alnilam	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Bertie's Ballet	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Rich Spirit	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Cannock Park	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Intense Approach	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Dripsey Moon	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Choose A Copper	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Will Knott	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1
Justus	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Brucio

41.3

OR: 20.5 Form: 17.2 Odds: 3.6

5/1

2nd

Rich Spirit

33.9

OR: 19 Form: 13.5 Odds: 1.4

14/1

3rd

Jango Baie

32.4

OR: 22.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 6.7

5/2

Justus

28.7

OR: 16.5 Form: 12 Odds: 0.2

100/1

Personal Ambition

28.4

OR: 20 Form: 2.1 Odds: 6.3

11/4

Dripsey Moon

27.2

OR: 19.5 Form: 7 Odds: 0.7

28/1

Cannock Park

19.9

OR: 18.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Bertie's Ballet

17.9

OR: 16.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Choose A Copper

17.8

OR: 17.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Alnilam

12.4

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 2.4

8/1

Intense Approach

8.1

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 1.1

18/1

Will Knott

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Jango Baie	139	145	126
Brucio	132	143	97
Personal Ambition	130	132	116
Dripsey Moon	128	133	113
Rich Spirit	126	134	115
Cannock Park	124	130	109
Choose A Copper	119	124	86
Bertie's Ballet	116	128	115
Justus	116	117	97
Alnilam	—	135	119
Intense Approach	—	—	—
Will Knott	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Alnilam	15d ago	Fit
Jango Baie	23d ago	Fit
Brucio	27d ago	Fit
Bertie's Ballet	27d ago	Fit
Justus	34d ago	Fit
Rich Spirit	35d ago	Fit
Dripsey Moon	35d ago	Fit
Choose A Copper	48d ago	Fresh
Personal Ambition	52d ago	Fresh
Will Knott	57d ago	Fresh
Cannock Park	67d ago	Fresh
Intense Approach	106d ago	Long break