bet365 Premier Chase (Listed Race) (GBB Race)

Kelso

15:25

Date 2024-03-02

Distance 2m7f96y

Class Class 1

Going Good To Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £28,475

Winning Time 6m 3.00s (slow by 20.00s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Thunder Rock (IRE) Sean Bowen · Olly Murphy	9/4F	Won
2nd	Minella Drama (IRE) Brian Hughes · Donald McCain	7/1	7
3rd	Elvis Mail (FR) Bruce Lynn · N W Alexander	10/1	6
4th	Aye Right (IRE) Craig Nichol · Harriet Graham & Gary Rutherford	3/1	0.3
5th	Monbeg Genius (IRE) Jonjo O'Neill Jr · Jonjo O'Neill	5/2	25
6th	La Renommee (FR) Luke Scott · Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	20/1	15

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
P.U.	Cooper's Cross (IRE) Sam Coltherd · Stuart Coltherd	80/1

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3	Aye Right Bay J:Craig Nichol T:Harriet Graham & Gary Rutherford	J:Craig Nichol T:Harriet Graham & Gary Rutherford	156	—	44-232	152	171	138	49d	—	—	+11	31.7	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Second on two of this season's three starts and set for another bold show
6	Monbeg Genius Bay J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo O'Neill	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo O'Neill	156	t	113-P3	147	164	133	91d	—	—	+5	32.7	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Big-race third at Newbury (3m2f); off three months since with reportedly minor problems
2	Thunder Rock Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	160	—	62-1P2	146	161	147	27d	—	—	+8	30.7	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Unexposed at this sort of trip and latest run put him firmly back on the radar
5	Minella Drama Bay J:Brian Hughes T:Donald McCain	J:Brian Hughes T:Donald McCain	156	t	13-237	154	171	136	67d	—	—	+17	29.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Right out of form on last two outings and had wind op in between; tongue-tie and new trip
4	Elvis Mail Grey J:Bruce Lynn T:N W Alexander	J:Bruce Lynn T:N W Alexander	156	t	3U1-17	145	162	85	77d	—	—	+19	25.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Has a fine record at this track, including wins last March and October; they were 3m2f
7	La Renommee Bay J:Luke Scott T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:Luke Scott T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	149	—	-12P22	127	153	138	37d	—	—	+26	32.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
More to prove on worse than good to soft, especially as she's unraced beyond 2m5f
1	Cooper's Cross Bay J:Sam Coltherd T:Stuart Coltherd	J:Sam Coltherd T:Stuart Coltherd	160	p	2-8PPP	126	147	56	35d	—	—	+21	23.1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
2nd in 2023 Scottish National (7lb lower today) but this season has made for grim viewing

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Aye Right	3/1	3/1	11/4	3/1	11/4
Monbeg Genius	9/4	2/1	9/4	9/4	2/1
Thunder Rock	11/4	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1
Minella Drama	6/1	13/2	5/1	11/2	11/2
Elvis Mail	12/1	10/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
La Renommee	16/1	16/1	14/1	14/1	12/1
Cooper's Cross	50/1	50/1	40/1	50/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Monbeg Genius

32.7

OR: 24.3 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

9/4

2nd

La Renommee

32.2

OR: 19.3 Form: 11.3 Odds: 1.7

16/1

3rd

Aye Right

31.7

OR: 25.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

3/1

Thunder Rock

30.7

OR: 24 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

3/1

Minella Drama

29.6

OR: 26 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Elvis Mail

25.7

OR: 23.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Cooper's Cross

23.1

OR: 19 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Minella Drama	154	171	136
Aye Right	152	171	138
Monbeg Genius	147	164	133
Thunder Rock	146	161	147
Elvis Mail	145	162	85
La Renommee	127	153	138
Cooper's Cross	126	147	56

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Thunder Rock	27d ago	Fit
Cooper's Cross	35d ago	Fit
La Renommee	37d ago	Fit
Aye Right	49d ago	Fresh
Minella Drama	67d ago	Fresh
Elvis Mail	77d ago	Fresh
Monbeg Genius	91d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Thunder Rock	Hold Up
Elvis Mail	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 7 runners classified.