Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

15:55

Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2024-03-07

Distance 7f1y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,757

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (12)	Revolucion Chestnut J:Rossa Ryan T:Joseph Parr	J:Rossa Ryan T:Joseph Parr	135	p	5-5354	62	74	58	3d	—	—	-8	7.4	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Not beaten far at Wolverhampton on Monday; arguably better at 6f and drawn widest
1 (10)	Rabinal Chestnut J:Hollie Doyle T:Simon Dow	J:Hollie Doyle T:Simon Dow	135	—	57-251	62	74	62	28d	—	—	-7	7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Got it right at the start when scoring over C&D latest; up 4lb in a warm race but feared
2 (6)	Love Your Work Chestnut J:David Probert T:Darryll Holland	J:David Probert T:Darryll Holland	135	—	7-0755	62	74	56	21d	—	—	-6	6.6	1.25/1	5/1 17%
On a good mark but a bit disappointing back to 1m latest; capable of better
7 (3)	My Mate Mike Bay J:Liam Keniry T:Dean Ivory	J:Liam Keniry T:Dean Ivory	132	h	030-81	59	77	62	34d	—	—	-7	5.9	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Ran on well to win a C&D handicap five weeks ago; 2lb rise shouldn't prevent a big run
8 (8)	Dors Toyboy Grey J:Robert Havlin T:Dean Ivory	J:Robert Havlin T:Dean Ivory	131	p	343-03	58	74	67	34d	—	—	-6	5.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Closely matched with stablemate My Mate Mike on their C&D run five weeks ago; contender
9 (7)	So Chic Bay J:George Rooke T:John E Long	J:George Rooke T:John E Long	131	—	921-33	58	76	67	28d	0W/0P 2 runs	0W/0P 2 runs	-5	4.7	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Four good course runs since November; should make another bold bid
5 (4)	Almodovar Del Rio Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:Marco Botti	J:Josephine Gordon T:Marco Botti	135	p	346-25	62	73	53	13d	—	—	-2	4.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Two fair runs since returning from a break; each-way claims once again
4 (5)	Autumn Angel Bay J:Molly Gunn(7) T:Tony Carroll	J:Molly Gunn(7) T:Tony Carroll	135	b	8-1388	62	75	62	19d	—	—	-1	4.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Won off this mark in January but less good since; can get it wrong at the start
6 (9)	Mount Mogan Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Laura Mongan	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Laura Mongan	132	p	30571-	59	75	56	121d	—	—	+10	13.9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Ended losing run over C&D in November; absent since but still has handicapping scope
11 (2)	Brazen Diamond Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Camilla Poulton	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Camilla Poulton	131	—	32473/	58	74	-	451d	—	—	+6	7.6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Contender on her form for previous yard but has a 451-day absence to overcome
12 (1)	Reason To Pass Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Ian Williams	J:Charles Bishop T:Ian Williams	129	—	7-377	56	65	29	12d	—	—	0	1.9	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Pulled hard when last of seven on recent handicap debut; no headgear today
10 (11)	Senseofentitlement Grey J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Paddy Butler	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Paddy Butler	131	—	4516-8	58	72	38	15d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+2	2.2	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Dropped away to finish tenth on recent stable debut when 150-1; best watched

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Revolucion	4/1	4/1	4/1
Rabinal	9/2	9/2	9/2
Love Your Work	5/1	5/1	5/1
My Mate Mike	5/1	5/1	5/1
Dors Toyboy	11/2	11/2	11/2
So Chic	7/1	7/1	7/1
Almodovar Del Rio	11/1	11/1	11/1
Autumn Angel	14/1	14/1	14/1
Mount Mogan	18/1	18/1	18/1
Brazen Diamond	40/1	40/1	40/1
Reason To Pass	50/1	50/1	50/1
Senseofentitlement	125/1	125/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mount Mogan

13.9

OR: 2.3 Form: 10.6 Odds: 1.1

18/1

2nd

Brazen Diamond

7.6

OR: 2 Form: 5.1 Odds: 0.5

40/1

3rd

Revolucion

7.4

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

4/1

Rabinal

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Love Your Work

6.6

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

5/1

My Mate Mike

5.9

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

5/1

Dors Toyboy

5.3

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

11/2

So Chic

4.7

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

7/1

Almodovar Del Rio

4.7

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Autumn Angel

4.4

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Senseofentitlement

2.2

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Reason To Pass

1.9

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Revolucion	62	74	58
Rabinal	62	74	62
Love Your Work	62	74	56
Almodovar Del Rio	62	73	53
Autumn Angel	62	75	62
My Mate Mike	59	77	62
Mount Mogan	59	75	56
Dors Toyboy	58	74	67
So Chic	58	76	67
Brazen Diamond	58	74	—
Senseofentitlement	58	72	38
Reason To Pass	56	65	29

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Revolucion	3d ago	Quick return
Reason To Pass	12d ago	Quick return
Almodovar Del Rio	13d ago	Quick return
Senseofentitlement	15d ago	Fit
Autumn Angel	19d ago	Fit
Love Your Work	21d ago	Fit
Rabinal	28d ago	Fit
So Chic	28d ago	Fit
My Mate Mike	34d ago	Fit
Dors Toyboy	34d ago	Fit
Mount Mogan	121d ago	Long break
Brazen Diamond	451d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 7f1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.