Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

17:05

Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2024-03-07

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,664

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (4)	Something To Do Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:George Boughey	J:Hollie Doyle T:George Boughey	130	tv	-22172	55	67	56	3d	—	—	-5	22.2	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Not at his very best the last twice but he's a C&D winner and new headgear could help
1 (6)	Harlington Bay J:George Rooke T:Ralph J Smith	J:George Rooke T:Ralph J Smith	135	p	676-	60	72	55	78d	—	—	-11	8.2	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Looks a likely improver upped in trip on this handicap debut; also tries cheekpieces
3 (2)	Eccentric Brown J:Daniel Muscutt T:Jamie Osborne	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Jamie Osborne	130	—	9-0223	55	71	67	17d	—	—	-11	6.5	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Placed in 1m handicaps on last three starts; some encouragement for 1m2f on pedigree
2 (3)	Compton Bay Chestnut J:William Carson T:Michael Madgwick	J:William Carson T:Michael Madgwick	130	—	825-54	55	70	53	34d	—	—	-6	3.9	1.75/1	7/1 13%
0-10 for former yard; lacklustre effort upped to this trip last time; often too free early
6 (5)	Mamalouka Grey J:Kieran Shoemark T:Amy Murphy	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Amy Murphy	124	t	902-15	49	69	61	34d	—	—	-6	2.5	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Below par on Tapeta last time but her two Polytrack runs beforehand were good; new trip
5 (1)	Run Joy Run Bay J:Laura Coughlan(3) T:Adam West	J:Laura Coughlan(3) T:Adam West	124	p	59-213	49	68	42	33d	—	—	-4	1.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Improved since headgear went on; new trip today but a big player if she sees it out
7 (7)	Lightning Bay Bay J:Tyler Heard(3) T:John Butler	J:Tyler Heard(3) T:John Butler	121	—	9-097	46	63	-	22d	—	—	-1	0.3	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Poor form at big odds in novice/maidens over shorter; betting to guide now handicapping

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Something To Do	15/8	15/8	15/8	15/8	15/8
Harlington	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1
Eccentric	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Compton Bay	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Mamalouka	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Run Joy Run	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Lightning Bay	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Something To Do

22.2

OR: 1.3 Form: 12.5 Odds: 8.4

15/8

2nd

Harlington

8.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

3/1

3rd

Eccentric

6.5

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

10/3

Compton Bay

3.9

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

7/1

Mamalouka

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Run Joy Run

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Lightning Bay

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Harlington	60	72	55
Something To Do	55	67	56
Eccentric	55	71	67
Compton Bay	55	70	53
Mamalouka	49	69	61
Run Joy Run	49	68	42
Lightning Bay	46	63	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Something To Do	3d ago	Quick return
Eccentric	17d ago	Fit
Lightning Bay	22d ago	Fit
Run Joy Run	33d ago	Fit
Compton Bay	34d ago	Fit
Mamalouka	34d ago	Fit
Harlington	78d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m2f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.