BetMGM Spring Cup Stakes (Listed Race) – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

15:20

BetMGM Spring Cup Stakes (Listed Race)

Date 2024-03-07

Distance 7f1y

Class Class 1

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £31,614

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (6)	Queen Of Zafeen Bay J:William Buick T:Richard Hughes	J:William Buick T:Richard Hughes	125	—	11	93	109	84	28d	—	—	+5	38.4	0.34/1	11/8 42%
2-2, quickening impressively over C&D four weeks ago; this is tougher but she's promising
1 (8)	Orne Bay J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	135	—	141-2	100	107	52	19d	—	—	+2	24.2	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Group 3 winner at two; latest Doha 2nd can be upgraded; big player despite his penalty
4 (9)	Habrdi Bay J:Laura Pearson T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Laura Pearson T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	130	—	70111-	91	102	91	84d	—	—	+26	34.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Ended his 2yo campaign on a sharp upward curve; likely there's more to come this year
5 (3)	Lessay Bay J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	130	—	1-22	84	90	85	29d	—	—	+10	17.6	2.25/1	9/1 10%
A win and two seconds from three 7f runs at Kempton this winter; this looks much deeper
7 (5)	Ahlain Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:James Tate	J:Rossa Ryan T:James Tate	125	—	716-1	83	103	81	29d	—	—	+14	20	2.75/1	11/1 8%
2-2 on AW, both over this trip at Kempton; this demands another surge of progress
3 (2)	Blown Away Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Hollie Doyle T:John & Thady Gosden	130	b	1622-5	90	102	85	15d	—	—	+7	11.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Has some solid form on Polytrack but needs to step up on his latest run; stable runs two
6 (4)	Watch My Tracer Grey J:Callum Shepherd T:George Scott	J:Callum Shepherd T:George Scott	130	—	17193-	95	105	-	179d	—	—	+19	22.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Of interest on his peak 2yo efforts; stamina for 7f has to be taken on trust though
8 (7)	Betties Bay Bay J:Joshua Bryan T:Georgina Nicholls	J:Joshua Bryan T:Georgina Nicholls	125	—	0159-3	83	103	84	18d	—	—	+10	11.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
6f winner at two and shaped well on last month's return; 7f can suit but this demands more
2 (1)	Aljezur Bay J:Kyle Strydom T:Luke Dace	J:Kyle Strydom T:Luke Dace	130	—	242-35	80	88	75	25d	—	—	+7	7.7	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Likely he's better than a BHA mark of 80 but needs to be if he's to trouble the principals
10 (10)	Star Mind Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	125	p	513-16	74	90	58	14d	—	—	+6	6.1	50.00/1	200/1 0%
2-4 for this yard but looks out of her depth at this level

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Queen Of Zafeen	11/8	11/8	11/8	11/8	11/8
Orne	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Habrdi	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Lessay	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Ahlain	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Blown Away	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Watch My Tracer	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Betties Bay	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Aljezur	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1
Star Mind	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Queen Of Zafeen

38.4

OR: 10.8 Form: 17 Odds: 10.6

11/8

2nd

Habrdi

34.8

OR: 10.3 Form: 22 Odds: 2.5

15/2

3rd

Orne

24.2

OR: 12.5 Form: 5 Odds: 6.7

5/2

Watch My Tracer

22.2

OR: 11.3 Form: 10 Odds: 1

20/1

Ahlain

OR: 8.3 Form: 10 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Lessay

17.6

OR: 8.5 Form: 7 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Betties Bay

11.8

OR: 8.3 Form: 3 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Blown Away

11.2

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Aljezur

7.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

100/1

Star Mind

6.1

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Orne	100	107	52
Watch My Tracer	95	105	—
Queen Of Zafeen	93	109	84
Habrdi	91	102	91
Blown Away	90	102	85
Lessay	84	90	85
Ahlain	83	103	81
Betties Bay	83	103	84
Aljezur	80	88	75
Star Mind	74	90	58

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Star Mind	14d ago	Fit
Blown Away	15d ago	Fit
Betties Bay	18d ago	Fit
Orne	19d ago	Fit
Aljezur	25d ago	Fit
Queen Of Zafeen	28d ago	Fit
Lessay	29d ago	Fit
Ahlain	29d ago	Fit
Habrdi	84d ago	Fresh
Watch My Tracer	179d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 7f1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.