Boost Your Acca With BetUK Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

20:00

Boost Your Acca With BetUK Handicap

Date 2024-03-07

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,711

Winning Time 1m 12.54s (slow by 2.14s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Noble Captain (GB) Sam James · Katie Scott	14/1	Won
2nd	Bernie The Bear (IRE) Daniel Tudhope · Linda Perratt	4/1	1.75
3rd	Captain Wentworth (GB) Luke Morris · John Butler	9/2	1.25
4th	Dream Together (IRE) Jack Garritty · Jedd O'Keeffe	22/1	0.1
5th	Mutabaahy (IRE) Cam Hardie · Antony Brittain	40/1	0.3
6th	Atrafan (IRE) Rowan Scott · Alan Brown	33/1	1
7th	Atlantic Heart (IRE) David Nolan · Paul Midgley	12/1	0.3
8th	Dandys Gold (IRE) Jonny Peate · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	14/1	.5
9th	Fantasy Navigator (GB) Jason Hart · Michael Appleby	9/1	1.25
10th	Bluebells Boy (GB) Mia Nicholls · Darryll Holland	9/1	1.25

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (4)	Blue Collar Lad Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Alice Haynes	J:Darragh Keenan T:Alice Haynes	139	p	2-8431	56	70	52	5d	—	0W/1P 1 run	-12	12.3	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Made all and won easily at Wolverhampton on Saturday; still 2lb well in under penalty
2 (5)	Bernie The Bear Chestnut J:Daniel Tudhope T:Linda Perratt	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Linda Perratt	135	p	-82345	52	68	54	13d	—	—	-9	8.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Back off last winning mark and record over C&D reads 123; interesting
4 (7)	Captain Wentworth Grey J:Luke Morris T:John Butler	J:Luke Morris T:John Butler	135	v	68-872	52	69	58	7d	—	—	-11	4.9	1.00/1	4/1 20%
2lb well in, but 0-16 and best efforts so far have come at Chelmsford; visor on
6 (10)	Fantasy Navigator Bay J:Jason Hart T:Michael Appleby	J:Jason Hart T:Michael Appleby	134	b	0-5417	51	63	52	23d	—	—	-5	2.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Won a 0-50 classified event over C&D last month but well held back here next time
5 (9)	Bluebells Boy Bay J:Mia Nicholls(5) T:Darryll Holland	J:Mia Nicholls(5) T:Darryll Holland	135	t	52867-	52	65	49	111d	—	—	-3	3.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
0-12 since handicapping; may need this after 111 days off
8 (12)	Atlantic Heart Bay J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	132	b	-96445	49	64	52	16d	—	—	-4	1.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
1-26, but ran well a couple of times here last month; return to this trip may suit
7 (6)	Dandys Gold Bay J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	133	p	7-6772	50	67	55	23d	—	—	-3	1.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Dual C&D winner and again ran well here last time; a player on those efforts
9 (8)	Noble Captain Chestnut J:Sam James T:Katie Scott	J:Sam James T:Katie Scott	131	t	-12537	48	67	54	16d	—	—	+2	6.8	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Sole win in 17 starts came over C&D; 5f too sharp here last time; frame material
3 (3)	Dream Together Chestnut J:Jack Garritty T:Jedd O'Keeffe	J:Jack Garritty T:Jedd O'Keeffe	135	p	4280-6	52	68	56	14d	—	—	-2	1.5	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Has failed to beat a rival the last twice and losing run up to 17; look elsewhere
10 (1)	Atrafan Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Alan Brown	J:Rowan Scott T:Alan Brown	131	b	632590	48	64	48	16d	—	—	0	3	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Six wins over C&D; should appreciate the return to 6f; can't be dismissed entirely
12 (11)	Mutabaahy Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	129	v	-74420	46	65	48	9d	—	—	+2	4.2	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Needs things to fall just right and has only managed to win one of his last 53 starts
NR (2)	Little Red Dancer Bay J:Paula Muir(3) T:Alan Brown	J:Paula Muir(3) T:Alan Brown	130	p	234-54	47	65	55	40d	—	—	—	0	—	—
1-24; fair fourth over C&D last time but more needed back in a handicap

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Blue Collar Lad	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4
Bernie The Bear	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Captain Wentworth	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Fantasy Navigator	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Bluebells Boy	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Atlantic Heart	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Dandys Gold	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Noble Captain	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Dream Together	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Atrafan	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Mutabaahy	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Blue Collar Lad

12.3

OR: 1.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 7.3

9/4

2nd

Bernie The Bear

8.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 3 Odds: 5

7/2

3rd

Noble Captain

6.8

OR: 0 Form: 5.6 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Captain Wentworth

4.9

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

4/1

Mutabaahy

4.2

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Bluebells Boy

3.7

OR: 0.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Atrafan

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Fantasy Navigator

2.4

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Atlantic Heart

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Dream Together

1.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

22/1

Dandys Gold

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Little Red Dancer

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Blue Collar Lad	56	70	52
Bernie The Bear	52	68	54
Captain Wentworth	52	69	58
Bluebells Boy	52	65	49
Dream Together	52	68	56
Fantasy Navigator	51	63	52
Dandys Gold	50	67	55
Atlantic Heart	49	64	52
Noble Captain	48	67	54
Atrafan	48	64	48
Little Red Dancer	47	65	55
Mutabaahy	46	65	48

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Blue Collar Lad	5d ago	Quick return
Captain Wentworth	7d ago	Quick return
Mutabaahy	9d ago	Quick return
Bernie The Bear	13d ago	Quick return
Dream Together	14d ago	Fit
Atlantic Heart	16d ago	Fit
Noble Captain	16d ago	Fit
Atrafan	16d ago	Fit
Fantasy Navigator	23d ago	Fit
Dandys Gold	23d ago	Fit
Little Red Dancer	40d ago	Fit
Bluebells Boy	111d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.