Virgin Bet Cheltenham Festival Money Back Handicap Hurdle (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)

Ayr

15:08

Date 2024-03-09

Distance 2m

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,281

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3	Park Annonciade Bay J:Daryl Jacob T:S R B Crawford	J:Daryl Jacob T:S R B Crawford	167	t	131146	118	120	105	35d	—	—	+1	37	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Won three times this season, including over C&D; fair run in better race last time; chance
4	Ruby Island Chestnut J:Tom Midgley(3) T:Mark Walford	J:Tom Midgley(3) T:Mark Walford	165	—	41127-	116	118	99	350d	—	—	+17	32.4	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Mainly progressive over hurdles last term and worth considering despite her long break
2	Bois Guillbert Chestnut J:Stephen Mulqueen T:Lucinda Russell	J:Stephen Mulqueen T:Lucinda Russell	168	—	3-1364	119	121	101	55d	—	—	+9	23.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Kelso winner in October but not at his best since then; plenty to prove at present
8	Dance Thief Bay J:Ben Smith(10) T:R Mike Smith	J:Ben Smith(10) T:R Mike Smith	150	—	352203	101	122	111	12d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+9	24.2	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Winning pointer; placed in three of his last four starts over hurdles; drop to 2m a worry
5	Atlantic Dancer Bay J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:N W Alexander	J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:N W Alexander	159	—	21-613	110	116	71	39d	—	—	+10	16.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
C&D winner in 2022; put up 8lb for Kelso win in December and others look better treated
7	Can't Stop Now Chestnut J:Conor O'Farrell T:Iain Jardine	J:Conor O'Farrell T:Iain Jardine	154	h	5410-6	105	118	114	35d	—	—	+10	15.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
On his last winning mark; not quite at his best this year but has an each-way chance
6	Bix Beiderbecke Grey J:Patrick Wadge(3) T:Lucinda Russell	J:Patrick Wadge(3) T:Lucinda Russell	155	h	3-18F7	106	121	89	35d	—	—	+13	17.3	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Maiden hurdle winner in May who has struggled a bit since; on a fair mark; could go well
1	Kerosine Light Bay J:Brian Hughes T:Donald McCain	J:Brian Hughes T:Donald McCain	168	p	1321-5	119	117	-	286d	—	—	+14	18.3	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Won three h'caps in 2022, but well beaten only run in 2023; could go well after a break

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Park Annonciade	7/4	6/4	13/8
Ruby Island	4/1	4/1	4/1
Bois Guillbert	5/1	5/1	5/1
Dance Thief	5/1	5/1	5/1
Atlantic Dancer	12/1	12/1	12/1
Can't Stop Now	16/1	16/1	14/1
Bix Beiderbecke	18/1	20/1	18/1
Kerosine Light	20/1	18/1	20/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Park Annonciade

OR: 17 Form: 8.6 Odds: 11.4

7/4

2nd

Ruby Island

32.4

OR: 16.5 Form: 11.5 Odds: 4.4

4/1

3rd

Dance Thief

24.2

OR: 12.8 Form: 7 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Bois Guillbert

23.4

OR: 17.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4

5/1

Kerosine Light

18.3

OR: 17.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Bix Beiderbecke

17.3

OR: 14 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Atlantic Dancer

16.7

OR: 15 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Can't Stop Now

15.1

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bois Guillbert	119	121	101
Kerosine Light	119	117	—
Park Annonciade	118	120	105
Ruby Island	116	118	99
Atlantic Dancer	110	116	71
Bix Beiderbecke	106	121	89
Can't Stop Now	105	118	114
Dance Thief	101	122	111

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Dance Thief	12d ago	Quick return
Park Annonciade	35d ago	Fit
Can't Stop Now	35d ago	Fit
Bix Beiderbecke	35d ago	Fit
Atlantic Dancer	39d ago	Fit
Bois Guillbert	55d ago	Fresh
Kerosine Light	286d ago	Long break
Ruby Island	350d ago	Long break