Virgin Bet Best Odds Daily Handicap Hurdle (Go North Brindisi Breeze Series Qualifier)

Ayr

16:18

Date 2024-03-09

Distance 3m70y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,697

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3	Artic Mann Bay J:Sean Quinlan T:N W Alexander	J:Sean Quinlan T:N W Alexander	166	—	6/2334	98	101	77	25d	—	—	+1	16.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
In frame all starts since returning from long absence, latest over C&D; thereabouts again
6	Clovis Boy Bay J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	163	t	7-41S4	95	99	77	44d	—	—	+2	14.9	1.25/1	5/1 17%
2m4f win in December and proved he stays 3m when fourth at Wetherby latest; considered
5	Aazza Bay J:Dylan Johnston(5) T:Rose Dobbin	J:Dylan Johnston(5) T:Rose Dobbin	166	—	2-9604	98	100	85	41d	—	—	+7	18.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Well treated on peak form and latest Doncaster fourth was a bit more encouraging
8	Lahardaun Chestnut J:Jonathon Bewley T:George Bewley	J:Jonathon Bewley T:George Bewley	156	—	F2-5P5	88	92	88	25d	—	—	+3	12.2	2.25/1	9/1 10%
No threat in three qualifying runs but more chance in handicaps; one to note in betting
4	Grosvenor Court Bay J:Daryl Jacob T:D J Jeffreys	J:Daryl Jacob T:D J Jeffreys	166	t	358/9P	98	93	55	46d	—	—	+6	14.5	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Decent for Alan King but no show in hurdle/chase for new yard after absence; tongue-tie on
13	Dequall Chestnut J:Edward Austin(5) T:Stuart Coltherd	J:Edward Austin(5) T:Stuart Coltherd	148	p	3/3858	80	106	77	59d	—	—	+4	11.8	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Third on comeback run in October but well held three times since
2	Sanosuke Bay J:Conor O'Farrell T:N W Alexander	J:Conor O'Farrell T:N W Alexander	167	—	-2P513	99	100	92	82d	—	—	+18	24.5	3.00/1	12/1 8%
In good form with win and third over 3m at Musselburgh before Christmas; headgear off
14	Better Be Definite Bay J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:N W Alexander	J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:N W Alexander	147	—	07-869	79	101	68	57d	—	—	+3	9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Weakened quickly on 2m4f handicap debut latest and remains to be seen if 3m suits
12	Bollin Matilda Bay J:Craig Nichol T:Donald Whillans	J:Craig Nichol T:Donald Whillans	151	—	76-935	83	101	89	58d	—	—	+4	10	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Better when third at Carlisle (2m3f) in December but well held up in trip since
16	Howzat Hiris Grey J:Emma Smith-Chaston(3) T:Micky Hammond	J:Emma Smith-Chaston(3) T:Micky Hammond	144	p	P-6246	76	99	50	31d	—	—	+2	8.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Back-to-form second at Market Rasen in December but well held twice since
1	Rowdy Rustler Bay J:Patrick Wadge(3) T:Lucinda Russell	J:Patrick Wadge(3) T:Lucinda Russell	168	tp	PF-864	100	101	96	77d	—	—	+8	14.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Not that convincing but better last time and in a 0-110 for first time
7	Toombridge Bay J:Brian Hughes T:Ian Duncan	J:Brian Hughes T:Ian Duncan	163	t	94-PP8	95	100	55	25d	—	—	+9	12.2	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Improved fourth in novice last spring but has struggled in three runs this season
10	Ebendi Chestnut J:Callum Bewley T:Andrew Wilson	J:Callum Bewley T:Andrew Wilson	152	—	F-9038	84	100	80	31d	—	—	+5	9.7	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Third at Perth last summer but well held at Sedgefield last month on first outing since
15	Iturgeon Du Breuil Grey J:Joe Williamson(5) T:Barry Murtagh	J:Joe Williamson(5) T:Barry Murtagh	147	p	P-368P	79	96	36	106d	—	—	+5	8.1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
No show in novice hurdles but more chance now handicapping at low level in headgear
9	Hell On Earth Grey J:Charlotte Jones(3) T:Catch Bissett	J:Charlotte Jones(3) T:Catch Bissett	153	tp	6/PP-P	85	-	-	147d	—	—	+8	9.1	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Well treated on old Irish form but pulled up all three runs for new yard; tongue-tie added
NR	Gypsey's Secret Bay J:Stephen Mulqueen T:Sandy Forster	J:Stephen Mulqueen T:Sandy Forster	152	—	6-P632	84	106	49	12d	—	—	—	8.5	—	—
Confirmed January's novice hurdle third no fluke when second in C&D handicap since; player
NR	Bowler Jack Bay J:Danny McMenamin T:Sandy Thomson	J:Danny McMenamin T:Sandy Thomson	144	—	9-7075	76	84	54	26d	—	—	—	6.5	—	—
Market confidence behind this handicap newcomer would look significant

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Artic Mann	9/2	4/1	4/1
Clovis Boy	5/1	5/1	5/1
Aazza	6/1	13/2	6/1
Lahardaun	9/1	8/1	17/2
Grosvenor Court	9/1	15/2	9/1
Dequall	11/1	9/1	10/1
Sanosuke	12/1	11/1	12/1
Better Be Definite	11/1	11/1	12/1
Bollin Matilda	16/1	16/1	16/1
Howzat Hiris	16/1	16/1	16/1
Rowdy Rustler	16/1	16/1	16/1
Toombridge	28/1	25/1	25/1
Ebendi	20/1	18/1	22/1
Iturgeon Du Breuil	50/1	22/1	33/1
Hell On Earth	66/1	50/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sanosuke

24.5

OR: 12.3 Form: 10.6 Odds: 1.7

12/1

2nd

Aazza

18.8

OR: 12 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

3rd

Artic Mann

16.4

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Clovis Boy

14.9

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

5/1

Grosvenor Court

14.5

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Rowdy Rustler

14.2

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Lahardaun

12.2

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Toombridge

12.2

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Dequall

11.8

OR: 7.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Bollin Matilda

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Ebendi

9.7

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Hell On Earth

9.1

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Better Be Definite

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Gypsey's Secret

8.5

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Howzat Hiris

8.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Iturgeon Du Breuil

8.1

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

50/1

Bowler Jack

6.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Rowdy Rustler	100	101	96
Sanosuke	99	100	92
Artic Mann	98	101	77
Aazza	98	100	85
Grosvenor Court	98	93	55
Clovis Boy	95	99	77
Toombridge	95	100	55
Lahardaun	88	92	88
Hell On Earth	85	—	—
Ebendi	84	100	80
Gypsey's Secret	84	106	49
Bollin Matilda	83	101	89
Dequall	80	106	77
Better Be Definite	79	101	68
Iturgeon Du Breuil	79	96	36
Howzat Hiris	76	99	50
Bowler Jack	76	84	54

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Gypsey's Secret	12d ago	Quick return
Artic Mann	25d ago	Fit
Lahardaun	25d ago	Fit
Toombridge	25d ago	Fit
Bowler Jack	26d ago	Fit
Howzat Hiris	31d ago	Fit
Ebendi	31d ago	Fit
Aazza	41d ago	Fit
Clovis Boy	44d ago	Fit
Grosvenor Court	46d ago	Fresh
Better Be Definite	57d ago	Fresh
Bollin Matilda	58d ago	Fresh
Dequall	59d ago	Fresh
Rowdy Rustler	77d ago	Fresh
Sanosuke	82d ago	Fresh
Iturgeon Du Breuil	106d ago	Long break
Hell On Earth	147d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Better Be Definite	Prominent
Ebendi	Prominent
Bollin Matilda	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 3 of 17 runners classified.