Virgin Bet Fives Mares' Handicap Hurdle (Go North Lady Buttons Series Qualifier)

Ayr

13:58

Date 2024-03-09

Distance 2m5f91y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,753

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3	Lady In The Park Bay J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	159	—	1-3312	110	116	96	25d	—	—	-6	35.3	—	—
Unexposed; 2m3f mares' novice winner who dead-heated for second in 3m h'cap latest; chance
5	Not Staying Long b/br J:Brian Hughes T:R Mike Smith	J:Brian Hughes T:R Mike Smith	153	—	1-P431	104	120	76	12d	—	—	+8	25.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Won 3m handicap on heavy here last time and not without a chance despite a 5lb rise.
6	Poppy Rose Bay J:Callum Bewley T:S R B Crawford	J:Callum Bewley T:S R B Crawford	146	—	2U-320	97	115	97	57d	—	—	+7	13.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
0-12 over hurdles; second off 8lb lower here in Feb 2023; not at her best last time
7	Headscarf Lil Bay J:Sean Quinlan T:Nicky Richards	J:Sean Quinlan T:Nicky Richards	145	—	-18420	96	119	80	84d	—	—	+12	18.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Second on soft in September but best on good ground so perhaps best watched this time
1	Czech Her Out Bay J:Patrick Wadge(3) T:Lucinda Russell	J:Patrick Wadge(3) T:Lucinda Russell	168	—	-6P125	119	115	84	132d	—	—	+21	26.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Sound runs over 3m/3m2f for this yard in the autumn; below-par latest; back from a break
8	Donso Star Chestnut J:Ben Smith(10) T:R Mike Smith	J:Ben Smith(10) T:R Mike Smith	142	—	5-6962	93	117	98	20d	—	—	+7	12.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
0-7; sound run when second in 2m4f novice handicap under today's rider last time; chance
2	Moonlight Glory Bay J:Tom Midgley(3) T:Mark Walford	J:Tom Midgley(3) T:Mark Walford	164	—	015214	115	120	83	26d	—	—	+24	29.1	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Not at her best on heavy ground last time but two good runs previously and a possible
NR	Blue Baloo Bay J:Ryan Mania T:Sandy Thomson	J:Ryan Mania T:Sandy Thomson	156	—	14-174	107	115	98	33d	—	—	—	14.3	—	—
Not progressed since 2m4f Newcastle win on hurdles debut; could go well now handicapping;

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Lady In The Park	evn	evn	evn
Not Staying Long	7/2	7/2	7/2
Poppy Rose	10/1	10/1	10/1
Headscarf Lil	11/1	11/1	11/1
Czech Her Out	12/1	12/1	12/1
Donso Star	12/1	12/1	12/1
Moonlight Glory	14/1	14/1	14/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lady In The Park

35.3

OR: 15 Form: 7 Odds: 13.3

—

2nd

Moonlight Glory

29.1

OR: 16.3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 1.4

14/1

3rd

Czech Her Out

26.9

OR: 17.3 Form: 8.1 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Not Staying Long

25.5

OR: 13.5 Form: 7 Odds: 5

7/2

Headscarf Lil

18.7

OR: 11.5 Form: 5.5 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Blue Baloo

14.3

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Poppy Rose

13.7

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Donso Star

12.4

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Czech Her Out	119	115	84
Moonlight Glory	115	120	83
Lady In The Park	110	116	96
Blue Baloo	107	115	98
Not Staying Long	104	120	76
Poppy Rose	97	115	97
Headscarf Lil	96	119	80
Donso Star	93	117	98

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Not Staying Long	12d ago	Quick return
Donso Star	20d ago	Fit
Lady In The Park	25d ago	Fit
Moonlight Glory	26d ago	Fit
Blue Baloo	33d ago	Fit
Poppy Rose	57d ago	Fresh
Headscarf Lil	84d ago	Fresh
Czech Her Out	132d ago	Long break