Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

17:35

Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2024-03-09

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £10,468

Winning Time 1m 27.18s (slow by 1.18s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Queues Likely (GB) Billy Loughnane · J S Moore	14/1	Won
2nd	Miguel (IRE) Charles Bishop · Jack Channon	5/1	1.25
3rd	Quiet Resolve (IRE) Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	10/11F	1.5
4th	Master Franca (IRE) David Probert · Hugo Palmer	10/1	0.3
5th	Neapolitan (FR) Harry Davies · Simon & Ed Crisford	7/2	5
6th	Ippotheos (IRE) Rossa Ryan · Michael Appleby	12/1	2.5

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (5)	Quiet Resolve Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	128	—	3-31	78	97	76	25d	—	—	-21	24.3	0.23/1	10/11 52%
Improved for 7f when winning at Newcastle last month; more to come now handicapping
1 (4)	Neapolitan Bay J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	136	t	222-54	86	94	78	31d	—	—	-1	13	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Effective over C&D and likely to give his running; one for the shortlist
6 (8)	Miguel Chestnut J:Charles Bishop T:Jack Channon	J:Charles Bishop T:Jack Channon	127	—	31104-	77	93	-	133d	—	—	+6	19	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Front-runner; ended 2023 with two poor runs on slow ground; gelded since; can bounce back
5 (6)	Ippotheos Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Michael Appleby	J:Rossa Ryan T:Michael Appleby	128	tp	14-723	78	93	79	12d	—	—	+2	8.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
6f win here on stable debut in December; not kicked on in handicaps since
7 (7)	Master Franca Bay J:David Probert T:Hugo Palmer	J:David Probert T:Hugo Palmer	123	p	30913-	73	90	69	130d	—	—	+12	18	3.00/1	12/1 8%
40-1 winner at Lingfield in October; similar form next time; this looks tougher
3 (2)	Queues Likely Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:J S Moore	J:Billy Loughnane T:J S Moore	130	b	67311-	80	89	76	78d	—	—	+22	27.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Chasing a hat-trick but 14lb higher than for her most recent handicap run
NR (3)	Eminny Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Michael Appleby	J:NON-RUNNER T:Michael Appleby	133	—	320-27	83	95	-	20d	—	—	—	8.3	—	—
Chance on best efforts and yet to run badly when Rossa Ryan has ridden her; yard runs two
NR (1)	Mereside Madness Chestnut J:Laura Pearson T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Laura Pearson T:David & Nicola Barron	118	—	4-2311	68	91	57	28d	—	—	—	4.5	—	—
Narrow 7f wins at Newcastle the last twice; up in weights/class today; perhaps vulnerable

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Quiet Resolve	10/11	10/11	10/11	10/11	10/11
Neapolitan	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Miguel	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Ippotheos	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Master Franca	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Queues Likely	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Queues Likely

27.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 18.5 Odds: 1.4

14/1

2nd

Quiet Resolve

24.3

OR: 7 Form: 2.1 Odds: 15.2

10/11

3rd

Miguel

OR: 6.8 Form: 8.6 Odds: 3.6

5/1

Master Franca

OR: 5.8 Form: 10.6 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Neapolitan

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Ippotheos

8.7

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Eminny

8.3

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Mereside Madness

4.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Neapolitan	86	94	78
Eminny	83	95	—
Queues Likely	80	89	76
Quiet Resolve	78	97	76
Ippotheos	78	93	79
Miguel	77	93	—
Master Franca	73	90	69
Mereside Madness	68	91	57

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ippotheos	12d ago	Quick return
Eminny	20d ago	Fit
Quiet Resolve	25d ago	Fit
Mereside Madness	28d ago	Fit
Neapolitan	31d ago	Fit
Queues Likely	78d ago	Fresh
Master Franca	130d ago	Long break
Miguel	133d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 7f36y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.