BetMGM Lincoln Trial Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

15:15

BetMGM Lincoln Trial Handicap

Date 2024-03-09

Distance 1m142y

Class Class 2

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £25,770

Winning Time 1m 47.93s (slow by 1.63s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Kingdom Come (IRE) Rossa Ryan · Clive Cox	11/4F	Won
2nd	Final Voyage (IRE) William Buick · J P Murtagh	7/1	0.2
3rd	Benacre (IRE) Billy Loughnane · Charlie Johnston	8/1	.75
4th	King's Code (GB) Hollie Doyle · David Evans	11/2	.75
5th	Rainbow Fire (IRE) Connor Planas · Marco Botti	12/1	0.1
6th	Sir Busker (IRE) Brandon Wilkie · William Knight	12/1	1.75
7th	Smoky Mountain (IRE) Harry Davies · Charlie Fellowes	7/1	0.05
8th	Chasing Aphrodite (GB) Hayley Turner · Harry Eustace	28/1	.75
9th	Tacarib Bay (GB) Sean Levey · Richard Hannon	12/1	1.5
10th	Sudden Ambush (GB) David Probert · Andrew Balding	14/1	0.3
11th	Zealot (GB) Daniel Muscutt · Michael Appleby	25/1	1.5

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (8)	Kingdom Come Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Clive Cox	J:Rossa Ryan T:Clive Cox	134	—	403-23	101	116	93	8d	—	—	-4	20	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Good AW record; shaped well when keeping on for third over 1m at Lingfield last week
11 (1)	Smoky Mountain Bay J:Harry Davies T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Harry Davies T:Charlie Fellowes	118	—	12-122	85	115	89	21d	—	—	-2	13.2	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Two 7f wins here this winter and pushed King's Code close over 1m in Jan; not discounted
7 (11)	Final Voyage Bay J:William Buick T:J P Murtagh	J:William Buick T:J P Murtagh	126	—	789-51	93	112	87	15d	—	—	+2	14.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Took nice prize in Britain last Easter; back to winning ways at Dundalk latest; drawn wide
8 (7)	King's Code Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:David Evans	J:Hollie Doyle T:David Evans	126	—	1-6311	93	115	93	20d	—	—	+10	20.8	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Chasing hat-trick after 1m wins at Southwell and Kempton; should go well again
9 (5)	Benacre Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Charlie Johnston	J:Billy Loughnane T:Charlie Johnston	125	—	40439-	92	113	78	182d	—	—	+5	15.5	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Ended last year on a low note; gelded ahead of reappearance back down in trip
2 (3)	Sir Busker Bay J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:William Knight	J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:William Knight	136	v	972-34	103	114	94	44d	—	—	+7	15.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Placed twice in AW handicaps this winter and ran well in 1m3f conditions race latest
5 (2)	Rainbow Fire Bay J:Connor Planas(3) T:Marco Botti	J:Connor Planas(3) T:Marco Botti	129	—	21087-	96	115	-	210d	—	—	+11	17.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
On a workable mark if reviving after break (has good record fresh); one to consider
1 (4)	Tacarib Bay Bay J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	138	—	0516-5	105	116	98	68d	—	—	+10	15.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Won 6f AW Listed in November but held in handicaps since and only fifth in this last year
10 (9)	Sudden Ambush Bay J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	119	t	1254-1	86	113	48	31d	—	—	+15	20.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Only nudged up 1lb for narrow Kempton win and yard does well in this race
6 (10)	Chasing Aphrodite Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Harry Eustace	J:Hayley Turner T:Harry Eustace	127	—	8/100-	94	115	-	195d	—	—	+8	12	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Returned from wind op to win at Ascot last May but tailed off both subsequent runs
4 (6)	Zealot Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Michael Appleby	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Michael Appleby	129	p	111-60	96	115	73	8d	—	—	+9	12.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Won seven times last winter; not at best in two comeback runs but back on winning mark

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Kingdom Come	3/1	3/1	3/1	11/4	5/2
Smoky Mountain	5/1	11/2	5/1	5/1	5/1
Final Voyage	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	11/2
King's Code	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	13/2
Benacre	15/2	15/2	7/1	15/2	7/1
Sir Busker	10/1	10/1	9/1	8/1	9/1
Rainbow Fire	16/1	14/1	12/1	14/1	12/1
Tacarib Bay	16/1	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Sudden Ambush	20/1	18/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Chasing Aphrodite	25/1	25/1	22/1	28/1	22/1
Zealot	25/1	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

King's Code

20.8

OR: 10.8 Form: 7 Odds: 3.1

7/1

2nd

Sudden Ambush

20.4

OR: 9 Form: 10 Odds: 1.4

20/1

3rd

Kingdom Come

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

3/1

Rainbow Fire

17.1

OR: 11.5 Form: 4 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Sir Busker

15.6

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Benacre

15.5

OR: 10.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Tacarib Bay

15.1

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Final Voyage

14.4

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Smoky Mountain

13.2

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Zealot

12.5

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Chasing Aphrodite

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Tacarib Bay	105	116	98
Sir Busker	103	114	94
Kingdom Come	101	116	93
Rainbow Fire	96	115	—
Zealot	96	115	73
Chasing Aphrodite	94	115	—
Final Voyage	93	112	87
King's Code	93	115	93
Benacre	92	113	78
Sudden Ambush	86	113	48
Smoky Mountain	85	115	89

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Kingdom Come	8d ago	Quick return
Zealot	8d ago	Quick return
Final Voyage	15d ago	Fit
King's Code	20d ago	Fit
Smoky Mountain	21d ago	Fit
Sudden Ambush	31d ago	Fit
Sir Busker	44d ago	Fit
Tacarib Bay	68d ago	Fresh
Benacre	182d ago	Long break
Chasing Aphrodite	195d ago	Long break
Rainbow Fire	210d ago	Long break