Racing TV Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

20:00

Racing TV Handicap

Date 2024-03-13

Distance 7f

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 1m 26.23s (slow by 1.63s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Dynamic Talent (GB) David Probert · Darryll Holland	7/4F	Won
2nd	Swiss Pride (IRE) Joe Leavy · Roger Teal	9/1	3.75
3rd	Sam's Hope (GB) Alec Voikhansky · Richard Hannon	2/1	2.25
4th	Electric Avenue (GB) Callum Shepherd · George Baker	14/1	.5
5th	Dagmar Run (IRE) Luke Morris · David Simcock	9/1	1.75
6th	Global Warning (GB) Liam Keniry · John Butler	9/1	0.2
7th	Rose Fandango (GB) Finley Marsh · John O'Shea	80/1	2.75
8th	Lily In The Jungle (IRE) Kieran Shoemark · Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	9/1	12

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (6)	Sam's Hope Bay J:Alec Voikhansky(5) T:Richard Hannon	J:Alec Voikhansky(5) T:Richard Hannon	130	—	970-51	60	80	67	7d	—	—	-18	11.9	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Improved to get off the mark over C&D seven days ago; could well build on that
1 (8)	Dynamic Talent Bay J:David Probert T:Darryll Holland	J:David Probert T:Darryll Holland	135	tb	0-1433	65	77	70	21d	—	—	-11	9.9	0.69/1	11/4 27%
C&D winner who has performed well since scoring at Southwell; return to 7f should suit
5 (2)	Swiss Pride Bay J:Joe Leavy(7) T:Roger Teal	J:Joe Leavy(7) T:Roger Teal	131	v	6-3536	61	77	63	19d	—	—	-4	5.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Placed a few times over 7f, but all nine wins have come over 6f; opposable on balance
4 (7)	Electric Avenue Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:George Baker	J:Callum Shepherd T:George Baker	132	—	4-656	62	75	46	24d	—	—	-3	5.2	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Unplaced all four starts, but not without ability; open to improvement now handicapping
2 (1)	Dagmar Run Bay J:Luke Morris T:David Simcock	J:Luke Morris T:David Simcock	135	—	1-5677	65	77	61	4d	—	—	+6	12.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
C&D winner; not the most consistent but is 1-1 at Class 6 level so possible to make a case
8 (4)	Lily In The Jungle Chestnut J:Kieran Shoemark T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	127	p	99856-	57	77	55	145d	—	—	-5	4.2	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Four-time winner on turf, but out of the frame in seven starts on AW; stable debut
3 (3)	Global Warning Bay J:Liam Keniry T:John Butler	J:Liam Keniry T:John Butler	135	—	661-64	65	78	69	36d	—	1W/1P 1 run	-1	5.5	2.75/1	11/1 8%
All five wins have come on Tapeta; 7lb above last winning mark and is 0-16 on Polytrack
6 (5)	Rose Fandango Chestnut J:Finley Marsh T:John O'Shea	J:Finley Marsh T:John O'Shea	131	p	60/8-9	61	70	21	25d	—	—	+2	3.1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Has only made the track twice since October 2022; best watched for now

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Sam's Hope	13/8	13/8	13/8	13/8	13/8
Dynamic Talent	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
Swiss Pride	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Electric Avenue	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Dagmar Run	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Lily In The Jungle	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Global Warning	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Rose Fandango	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Dagmar Run

12.7

OR: 3.8 Form: 7 Odds: 1.9

10/1

2nd

Sam's Hope

11.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 9.4

13/8

3rd

Dynamic Talent

9.9

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

11/4

Global Warning

5.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Swiss Pride

5.3

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Electric Avenue

5.2

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Lily In The Jungle

4.2

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Rose Fandango

3.1

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dynamic Talent	65	77	70
Dagmar Run	65	77	61
Global Warning	65	78	69
Electric Avenue	62	75	46
Swiss Pride	61	77	63
Rose Fandango	61	70	21
Sam's Hope	60	80	67
Lily In The Jungle	57	77	55

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Dagmar Run	4d ago	Quick return
Sam's Hope	7d ago	Quick return
Swiss Pride	19d ago	Fit
Dynamic Talent	21d ago	Fit
Electric Avenue	24d ago	Fit
Rose Fandango	25d ago	Fit
Global Warning	36d ago	Fit
Lily In The Jungle	145d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Lily In The Jungle	Front Runner
Swiss Pride	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 8 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.