Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

20:10

Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2024-03-15

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £6,281

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (10)	One More Dream Brown J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	145	—	-93121	78	82	70	3d	—	—	+2	37.8	0.34/1	11/8 42%
At his best this time last year and is in flying form; can't be left out of calculations
3 (9)	Al Muqdad Chestnut J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	135	—	/84453	68	83	56	12d	—	—	-5	12.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Unlucky not to go closer behind One More Dream latest; is high on the shortlist
8 (2)	Mercurius Power Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	132	tp	1-0234	65	81	61	14d	—	—	+2	14.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Recent racing done over further; behind Rocket Rod latest and others make greater appeal
9 (5)	Admiral Nelson Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Peter Niven	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Peter Niven	130	t	8-5454	63	82	72	14d	—	—	-4	6.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Had Sidney's Son behind last time and the harder they go the better for him
2 (6)	Novak Grey J:William Pyle(5) T:Iain Jardine	J:William Pyle(5) T:Iain Jardine	135	—	-36644	68	82	73	7d	—	—	-1	7.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Three-time turf winner last summer; is undeniably well handicapped if things fall his way
7 (7)	Rocket Rod Bay J:Sam James T:Geoffrey Harker	J:Sam James T:Geoffrey Harker	133	—	253-02	66	81	55	14d	—	—	-3	6.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Another furlong would have been ideal but a good test over this trip is fine; player
6 (4)	Calder Valley Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	134	—	0/34	67	77	25	14d	—	—	-1	6.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Shown enough in two novices here lately to suggest he'll be competitive off this mark
5 (1)	Rory Chestnut J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	134	p	223618	67	80	73	12d	—	—	+10	14.4	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Weighted to his best again following two 6f wins here this winter; holds each-way claims
4 (8)	Sidney's Son Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	135	—	6217-0	68	80	49	14d	—	—	+2	5.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Easy to back ahead of his C&D comeback recently; will need to leave that well behind
10 (3)	She's Got Bottle Bay J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	128	—	3932-7	61	79	33	27d	—	—	+1	3.2	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Never involved on her C&D comeback last month and these conditions don't look optimal

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
One More Dream	11/8	5/4	11/8	11/8	5/4
Al Muqdad	9/2	4/1	7/2	7/2	7/2
Mercurius Power	7/1	7/1	15/2	8/1	15/2
Admiral Nelson	9/1	15/2	8/1	17/2	8/1
Novak	9/1	15/2	17/2	10/1	8/1
Rocket Rod	11/1	10/1	10/1	11/1	7/1
Calder Valley	11/1	11/1	12/1	10/1	11/1
Rory	25/1	20/1	22/1	25/1	22/1
Sidney's Son	33/1	22/1	22/1	25/1	22/1
She's Got Bottle	50/1	66/1	66/1	50/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

One More Dream

37.8

OR: 7 Form: 19.4 Odds: 11.4

11/8

2nd

Rory

14.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 8.9 Odds: 1.2

25/1

3rd

Mercurius Power

14.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 7 Odds: 3.3

8/1

Al Muqdad

12.7

OR: 4.5 Form: 3 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Novak

7.6

OR: 4.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Rocket Rod

6.7

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

11/1

Calder Valley

6.2

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Admiral Nelson

6.1

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

9/1

Sidney's Son

5.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

She's Got Bottle

3.2

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
One More Dream	78	82	70
Al Muqdad	68	83	56
Novak	68	82	73
Sidney's Son	68	80	49
Calder Valley	67	77	25
Rory	67	80	73
Rocket Rod	66	81	55
Mercurius Power	65	81	61
Admiral Nelson	63	82	72
She's Got Bottle	61	79	33

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
One More Dream	3d ago	Quick return
Novak	7d ago	Quick return
Al Muqdad	12d ago	Quick return
Rory	12d ago	Quick return
Mercurius Power	14d ago	Fit
Admiral Nelson	14d ago	Fit
Rocket Rod	14d ago	Fit
Calder Valley	14d ago	Fit
Sidney's Son	14d ago	Fit
She's Got Bottle	27d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.