Boost Your Acca With BetUK Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:10

Boost Your Acca With BetUK Handicap

Date 2024-03-15

Distance 5f

Class Class 2

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £13,190

Winning Time 58.79s (slow by 1.29s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Albasheer (IRE) Hollie Doyle · Archie Watson	2/1F	Won
2nd	Billyjoh (GB) Frederick Larson · Michael Appleby	8/1	1.5
3rd	Lethal Nymph (GB) Rowan Scott · Paul Midgley	66/1	0.3
4th	Harry Brown (GB) Hayley Turner · David Simcock	13/2	.75
5th	Bergerac (IRE) Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	22/1	.5
6th	Fine Wine (FR) Sam James · Scott Dixon	25/1	.5
7th	Bedford Flyer (IRE) David Allan · Michael Appleby	16/1	0.3
8th	Burning Cash (IRE) James Sullivan · Paul Midgley	9/1	2.75
9th	Badri (GB) Ryan Sexton · Julie Camacho	16/1	1
10th	Hiya Maite (GB) Lewis Edmunds · Roy Bowring	9/2	1
11th	Mondammej (GB) Cam Hardie · Antony Brittain	10/1	2.25
12th	Brazen Bolt (GB) Jason Hart · John & Sean Quinn	50/1	9

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (10)	Albasheer Chestnut J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	135	b	8453-1	105	117	107	74d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	+5	32.2	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Impressive in a 6f handicap here on New Year's Day; new trip but still commands respect
4 (5)	Hiya Maite Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Roy Bowring	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Roy Bowring	127	t	45221-	97	120	104	77d	—	—	+19	31.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Hugely impressive at Southwell last time; 10lb rise against better opposition the worry
9 (6)	Billyjoh Grey J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	118	—	41-411	88	121	102	20d	—	—	+2	12.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Progressive 6f performer; faces different test now & won't get away with blowing the start
12 (2)	Harry Brown Bay J:Hayley Turner T:David Simcock	J:Hayley Turner T:David Simcock	116	—	9808-2	86	119	93	34d	—	—	+7	16.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Good record on AW; 3lb higher than for latest second but the best could yet be to come
10 (11)	Burning Cash Bay J:James Sullivan T:Paul Midgley	J:James Sullivan T:Paul Midgley	117	—	8576-2	87	118	109	34d	—	—	+8	16.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Ran well behind a rapid improver over C&D last month; in the mix with a repeat
11 (9)	Mondammej Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	116	—	542547	86	117	105	3d	—	—	+6	12.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Losing run stands at 34 and he's spurned easier opportunities than this in recent months
2 (8)	Badri Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	133	—	0201-0	103	116	103	14d	—	—	+10	14.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Flourished last year; looked rusty on his return but better expected this time
5 (4)	Bedford Flyer Bay J:David Allan T:Michael Appleby	J:David Allan T:Michael Appleby	125	v	172-24	95	117	104	20d	—	—	+8	12.5	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Ran well in a Listed event last time and this C&D winner looks set for another big run
6 (12)	Bergerac Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	124	b	211-85	94	119	103	20d	—	—	+8	12	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Ended 2023 with two wins but little room for error off his current mark
3 (7)	Brazen Bolt Bay J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	132	—	42-126	102	114	-	28d	—	—	+11	13.7	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Done well in Bahrain this year but now 11lb higher than when last seen in Britain
7 (3)	Fine Wine Bay J:Sam James T:Scott Dixon	J:Sam James T:Scott Dixon	120	b	8405-7	90	115	101	20d	—	—	+8	10.8	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Just 5 runs since his was 3rd in a valuable C&D h'cap off 12lb higher; potental reviver
8 (1)	Lethal Nymph Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Paul Midgley	J:Rowan Scott T:Paul Midgley	119	—	0025-7	89	120	51	24d	—	—	+9	10.1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Down in the weights and type to come good for new yard; perhaps not today though

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Albasheer	15/8	15/8	15/8	15/8	15/8
Hiya Maite	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Billyjoh	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Harry Brown	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Burning Cash	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Mondammej	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Badri	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Bedford Flyer	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Bergerac	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Brazen Bolt	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Fine Wine	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Lethal Nymph	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Albasheer

32.2

OR: 13.8 Form: 10 Odds: 8.4

15/8

2nd

Hiya Maite

31.4

OR: 11.8 Form: 16 Odds: 3.6

5/1

3rd

Harry Brown

16.9

OR: 9 Form: 5 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Burning Cash

16.5

OR: 9.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Badri

14.6

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Brazen Bolt

13.7

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

28/1

Bedford Flyer

12.5

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Billyjoh

12.4

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Mondammej

12.1

OR: 9 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Bergerac

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 1

20/1

Fine Wine

10.8

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

25/1

Lethal Nymph

10.1

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Albasheer	105	117	107
Badri	103	116	103
Brazen Bolt	102	114	—
Hiya Maite	97	120	104
Bedford Flyer	95	117	104
Bergerac	94	119	103
Fine Wine	90	115	101
Lethal Nymph	89	120	51
Billyjoh	88	121	102
Burning Cash	87	118	109
Harry Brown	86	119	93
Mondammej	86	117	105

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mondammej	3d ago	Quick return
Badri	14d ago	Fit
Billyjoh	20d ago	Fit
Bedford Flyer	20d ago	Fit
Bergerac	20d ago	Fit
Fine Wine	20d ago	Fit
Lethal Nymph	24d ago	Fit
Brazen Bolt	28d ago	Fit
Harry Brown	34d ago	Fit
Burning Cash	34d ago	Fit
Albasheer	74d ago	Fresh
Hiya Maite	77d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.