BetMGM: It's Showtime Fillies' Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:40

BetMGM: It's Showtime Fillies' Handicap

Date 2024-03-15

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,187

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (5)	Back Tomorrow Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Richard Spencer	J:Hollie Doyle T:Richard Spencer	132	—	1-2127	65	82	65	20d	—	—	-3	16.5	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Pulled hard when flopping at Chelmsford last time; progressive on AW beforehand
1 (7)	Hurt You Never Bay J:Mia Nicholls(5) T:Adrian Nicholls	J:Mia Nicholls(5) T:Adrian Nicholls	135	—	437-12	68	83	74	27d	—	—	-8	9.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
5f win on return followed by a near miss over C&D; leading claims despite career-high mark
2 (4)	Daytona Lady Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	135	—	41-143	68	81	59	20d	—	—	-6	8.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Two wins this winter and she ran creditably at Chelmsford latest; each-way shout
6 (2)	Bella Kopella Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	132	t	75212-	65	81	73	117d	—	—	+10	21.3	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Good record here and won first time out last year; likely to go well again
4 (9)	Selby's Pride Grey J:Tom Eaves T:Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood	J:Tom Eaves T:Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood	134	p	32549-	67	80	59	99d	—	—	-2	9.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
On a good mark and has run well over C&D; returning from a break though and others safer
5 (3)	Mattella Black J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	132	—	22-42	65	80	57	58d	—	—	-3	6.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Runner-up in three of her four starts; makes handicap debut at a realistic level; chance
3 (8)	Giselles Izzy Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Iain Jardine	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Iain Jardine	134	—	61267-	67	80	43	153d	—	—	+6	11.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Capable on her day but below par when last seen; market should guide after a break
9 (6)	Sound Of Iona Chestnut J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Jim Goldie	J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Jim Goldie	122	—	5008-8	55	71	56	7d	—	—	-1	2	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Struggled in 2023 and last week's return wasn't full of short-term promise
8 (1)	Elladora Bay J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Micky Hammond	J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Micky Hammond	125	b	8737-0	58	80	-	14d	—	—	+1	2.3	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Dropped away over 1m here on recent stable debut; needs to leave that well behind

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Back Tomorrow	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1
Hurt You Never	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Daytona Lady	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Bella Kopella	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Selby's Pride	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Mattella	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Giselles Izzy	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Sound Of Iona	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Elladora	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bella Kopella

21.3

OR: 3.8 Form: 14.5 Odds: 3.1

6/1

2nd

Back Tomorrow

16.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 7 Odds: 5.7

3/1

3rd

Giselles Izzy

11.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Hurt You Never

9.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

7/2

Selby's Pride

9.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.1

6/1

Daytona Lady

8.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Mattella

6.3

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Elladora

2.3

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

66/1

Sound Of Iona

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Hurt You Never	68	83	74
Daytona Lady	68	81	59
Selby's Pride	67	80	59
Giselles Izzy	67	80	43
Back Tomorrow	65	82	65
Bella Kopella	65	81	73
Mattella	65	80	57
Elladora	58	80	—
Sound Of Iona	55	71	56

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sound Of Iona	7d ago	Quick return
Elladora	14d ago	Fit
Back Tomorrow	20d ago	Fit
Daytona Lady	20d ago	Fit
Hurt You Never	27d ago	Fit
Mattella	58d ago	Fresh
Selby's Pride	99d ago	Long break
Bella Kopella	117d ago	Long break
Giselles Izzy	153d ago	Long break