Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

18:30

Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Handicap

Date 2024-03-21

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,501

Winning Time 1m 41.90s (slow by 4.20s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Medici Pass (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Iain Jardine	6/5F	Won
2nd	Van Zant (GB) James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	15/2	0.3
3rd	Locked N' Loaded (GB) William Carson · Tony Carroll	7/2	1.25
4th	Total Lockdown (GB) Luke Morris · Martin Dunne	100/1	2.25
5th	Twistaline (GB) Alistair Rawlinson · Michael Appleby	16/1	.5
6th	Anif (IRE) Tom Eaves · Michael Herrington	14/1	.5
7th	Neptune Legend (IRE) Rossa Ryan · Tony Carroll	6/1	2
8th	Tacitus (IRE) Dale Swift · Tjade Collier	50/1	1.75
9th	Mr Marvlos (IRE) David Egan · T J Kent	16/1	.5
10th	Rocklyn (IRE) Kieran O'Neill · Scott Dixon	50/1	.5

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (10)	Medici Pass Chestnut J:Paul Mulrennan T:Iain Jardine	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Iain Jardine	137	—	308-01	59	77	31	9d	—	—	-27	16.4	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Hacked up on debut for this yard and she's 4lb well-in even with the penalty
4 (5)	Neptune Legend Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Tony Carroll	J:Rossa Ryan T:Tony Carroll	134	tb	351214	56	68	58	19d	—	—	+3	18.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Running well elsewhere over shorter trips and worth another go over this far
6 (8)	Locked N' Loaded Bay J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	132	—	74-878	54	75	53	35d	—	—	-10	5.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Infrequent winner (4-47) and often compromises his chances by racing too freely
10 (1)	Van Zant Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	124	p	853344	46	70	57	7d	—	—	-5	5.5	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Only 1-26 but has continued in good form since that breakthrough win at Wolverhampton
2 (3)	Anif Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	135	b	00-076	57	69	46	20d	—	—	-3	3.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Multiple winner but has been struggling for a while with slow starts an unwelcome habit
8 (2)	Mr Marvlos Bay J:David Egan T:T J Kent	J:David Egan T:T J Kent	130	p	3424-7	52	70	46	15d	—	—	-5	2.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
0-18; only seventh of nine runners over 7f at Kempton on his return from a break
7 (6)	Twistaline Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	131	p	381597	53	68	58	10d	—	—	+1	4.6	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Plenty went wrong last time; of interest back here off what remains a competitive mark
3 (9)	Rocklyn Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	135	—	53-8	57	65	17	58d	—	—	0	2.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Shown some ability; could have potential lurking now sent into handicaps
9 (4)	Tacitus Chestnut J:Dale Swift T:Tjade Collier	J:Dale Swift T:Tjade Collier	130	t	82779-	52	69	33	150d	—	—	+1	2.4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
0-8 on the AW; out of form when last seen in October
5 (7)	Total Lockdown Bay J:Luke Morris T:Martin Dunne	J:Luke Morris T:Martin Dunne	133	h	38-849	55	68	57	22d	—	—	0	1.8	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Fitting blinkers backfired last time; a hood returns but still opposable in current form

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Medici Pass	evn	evn	11/8	evn	10/11
Neptune Legend	4/1	9/2	4/1	9/2	4/1
Locked N' Loaded	6/1	6/1	5/1	6/1	4/1
Van Zant	8/1	15/2	6/1	15/2	7/1
Anif	11/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
Mr Marvlos	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Twistaline	28/1	25/1	22/1	25/1	22/1
Rocklyn	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1	33/1
Tacitus	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1
Total Lockdown	50/1	50/1	33/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Neptune Legend

18.4

OR: 1.5 Form: 12.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

Medici Pass

16.4

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 14.2

11/8

3rd

Van Zant

5.5

OR: 0 Form: 2.4 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Locked N' Loaded

5.4

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

6/1

Twistaline

4.6

OR: 0.8 Form: 3 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Anif

3.7

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Rocklyn

2.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Mr Marvlos

2.4

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Tacitus

2.4

OR: 0.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Total Lockdown

1.8

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Medici Pass	59	77	31
Anif	57	69	46
Rocklyn	57	65	17
Neptune Legend	56	68	58
Total Lockdown	55	68	57
Locked N' Loaded	54	75	53
Twistaline	53	68	58
Mr Marvlos	52	70	46
Tacitus	52	69	33
Van Zant	46	70	57

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Van Zant	7d ago	Quick return
Medici Pass	9d ago	Quick return
Twistaline	10d ago	Quick return
Mr Marvlos	15d ago	Fit
Neptune Legend	19d ago	Fit
Anif	20d ago	Fit
Total Lockdown	22d ago	Fit
Locked N' Loaded	35d ago	Fit
Rocklyn	58d ago	Fresh
Tacitus	150d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.