BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:45

BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap

Date 2024-03-22

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £7,328

Winning Time 1m 30.41s (slow by 6.61s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Danielsflyer (IRE) Sean Kirrane · David Thompson	13/2	Won
2nd	Abruzzo Mia (GB) Connor Beasley · Michael Dods	5/1	0.3
3rd	Streak Lightning (IRE) James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	8/1	.75
4th	One More Dream (GB) Gianluca Sanna · John & Sean Quinn	4/1	.75
5th	Feel The Need (GB) Tom Eaves · Michael Herrington	25/1	1
6th	Mumayaz (IRE) Luke Morris · Tony Carroll	12/1	.5
7th	Lahab (GB) Sam James · Grant Tuer	100/30F	1.25
8th	Rory (GB) Mark Winn · Jim Goldie	10/1	2
9th	Starshiba (GB) Ben Robinson · Michael Appleby	13/2	.5

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (3)	Lahab Bay J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	135	—	/31-32	78	88	65	14d	—	—	-6	12.3	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Matched best effort over 1m here last time; won't mind the return to 7f and claims
2 (5)	One More Dream Brown J:Gianluca Sanna(5) T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Gianluca Sanna(5) T:John & Sean Quinn	136	—	931212	79	91	78	7d	—	—	+13	30.4	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Running really well of late; 1lb higher than C&D run last week but seems sure to go well
4 (8)	Abruzzo Mia Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	133	—	75-591	76	90	63	21d	—	—	-1	9.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Second C&D win last time; back up 4lb and slightly in grade but may be capable of better
1 (4)	Starshiba Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Ben Robinson T:Michael Appleby	137	v	-67934	80	92	73	12d	—	—	+3	12.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Multiple AW winner from 6f to 1m; creditable run last time and should go well again
5 (2)	Danielsflyer Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:David Thompson	J:Sean Kirrane T:David Thompson	132	p	3-8111	75	87	67	14d	—	—	0	11.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Thriving at present and looking to extend winning run to four following three course wins
7 (1)	Streak Lightning Chestnut J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	127	—	4845-9	70	94	70	21d	—	—	-1	7.2	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Triple winner at this venue but wasn't at best after a break last time; plenty more needed
9 (6)	Rory Chestnut J:Mark Winn(3) T:Jim Goldie	J:Mark Winn(3) T:Jim Goldie	124	p	236183	67	90	83	7d	—	—	+8	14.8	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Enigmatic character; has won twice this winter but may find one or two too good this time
8 (9)	Mumayaz Bay J:Luke Morris T:Tony Carroll	J:Luke Morris T:Tony Carroll	127	t	224431	70	88	75	10d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+15	19.3	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Broke long losing run over 6f here last week but will be 2lb lower in future handicaps
6 (7)	Feel The Need Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	131	—	86305-	74	91	-	177d	—	—	+5	8.4	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Capable of useful form and starts life for new team on a handy mark; market to guide

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Lahab	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
One More Dream	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Abruzzo Mia	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Starshiba	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Danielsflyer	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Streak Lightning	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Rory	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Mumayaz	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Feel The Need	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

One More Dream

30.4

OR: 7.3 Form: 18.1 Odds: 5

7/2

2nd

Mumayaz

19.3

OR: 5 Form: 13.1 Odds: 1.2

16/1

3rd

Rory

14.8

OR: 4.3 Form: 8.6 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Lahab

12.3

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 5.3

10/3

Starshiba

12.3

OR: 7.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.7

7/1

Danielsflyer

11.4

OR: 6.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.1

6/1

Abruzzo Mia

9.4

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Feel The Need

8.4

OR: 6 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Streak Lightning

7.2

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Starshiba	80	92	73
One More Dream	79	91	78
Lahab	78	88	65
Abruzzo Mia	76	90	63
Danielsflyer	75	87	67
Feel The Need	74	91	—
Streak Lightning	70	94	70
Mumayaz	70	88	75
Rory	67	90	83

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
One More Dream	7d ago	Quick return
Rory	7d ago	Quick return
Mumayaz	10d ago	Quick return
Starshiba	12d ago	Quick return
Lahab	14d ago	Fit
Danielsflyer	14d ago	Fit
Abruzzo Mia	21d ago	Fit
Streak Lightning	21d ago	Fit
Feel The Need	177d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.