William Hill NRMB On The Grand National Apprentice Handicap (Rnd 1 Yorkshire Future Stars) (Div I)

Doncaster

16:45

Date 2024-03-23

Distance 1m2f43y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £10,468

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (2)	Moonlit Cloud Bay J:Ethan Jones(3) T:Dean Ivory	J:Ethan Jones(3) T:Dean Ivory	139	—	205-58	69	80	72	31d	—	—	-4	8.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
All three wins at 1m2f, including on heavy; can improve on recent AW runs now back on turf
2 (9)	At Liberty Bay J:Sean D Bowen T:Michael Appleby	J:Sean D Bowen T:Michael Appleby	140	p	326162	70	78	73	14d	—	—	+8	19.1	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Solid 1m2f turf form; acts on soft; in good form on Tapeta and looks sure to go well
6 (11)	Bustaam Bay J:Joe Leavy(3) T:David O'Meara	J:Joe Leavy(3) T:David O'Meara	135	—	35048-	65	76	44	127d	—	—	-3	7.2	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Nothing special in 1m2f-1m4f Tapeta handicaps but gives impression he may do better yet
7 (3)	Awtaad Prince Bay J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Amy Murphy	J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Amy Murphy	134	ht	80-813	64	79	57	16d	—	—	-3	6.2	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Has won on heavy; took advantage of weights drop over 1m2f on AW last month
12 (4)	Fifty Sent Brown J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:Michael Dods	J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:Michael Dods	123	—	803-83	53	78	80	58d	—	—	-7	3.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Has run well on soft; sole win over 1m2f on AW last May but rarely tackles this far now
5 (12)	Powerful Response Bay J:William Pyle T:Geoffrey Harker	J:William Pyle T:Geoffrey Harker	138	—	12420-	68	78	67	166d	—	—	+7	13.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Two wins in 2023, over 7f (AW) and 1m (soft); much to prove for new yard up in trip
8 (6)	Mrs Meader Bay J:Sam Feilden(3) T:Julia Feilden	J:Sam Feilden(3) T:Julia Feilden	133	—	35240-	63	78	57	134d	—	—	+1	8.3	2.50/1	10/1 9%
No problem with trip or surface and 6lb lower than 12 months ago; revival not ruled out
10 (7)	City Escape Bay J:Brandon Wilkie(3) T:Mark Loughnane	J:Brandon Wilkie(3) T:Mark Loughnane	130	eb	347-58	60	78	63	8d	—	—	-2	4.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Back on the same mark as the second of two 1m2f wins (heavy/soft) in August and September
4 (1)	Vellner Chestnut J:Archie Young(3) T:Bernard Llewellyn	J:Archie Young(3) T:Bernard Llewellyn	139	p	700-95	69	77	52	17d	—	—	0	6.5	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Won 1m2f maiden in Ireland; had some heavy defeats but didn't look a lost cause latest
11 (8)	Distinction Bay J:Alec Voikhansky T:John Mackie	J:Alec Voikhansky T:John Mackie	126	v	4-5197	56	76	60	33d	—	—	-3	3.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Two AW wins this winter but below best on last 2 starts and turf win was back in 2021
9 (10)	Franco Grasso Bay J:Andrea Pinna(7) T:Kevin Frost	J:Andrea Pinna(7) T:Kevin Frost	132	—	0605-5	62	77	74	76d	—	—	0	4.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Stout stayer who probably handles soft; good 5th over inadequate 1m1f on AW latest
1 (5)	Natchez Trace Bay J:Zak Wheatley T:Declan Carroll	J:Zak Wheatley T:Declan Carroll	141	—	87700-	71	76	68	171d	—	—	+3	6	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Latest 3 wins at about 1m4f on AW; 1-21 on turf and soft ground no obvious asset

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Moonlit Cloud	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
At Liberty	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Bustaam	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Awtaad Prince	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Fifty Sent	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Powerful Response	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Mrs Meader	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
City Escape	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Vellner	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Distinction	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Franco Grasso	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Natchez Trace	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

At Liberty

19.1

OR: 5 Form: 11 Odds: 3.1

6/1

2nd

Powerful Response

13.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.9

10/1

3rd

Moonlit Cloud

8.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

5/1

Mrs Meader

8.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 3.1 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Bustaam

7.2

OR: 3.8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Vellner

6.5

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Awtaad Prince

6.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

7/1

Natchez Trace

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

28/1

City Escape

4.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Franco Grasso

4.1

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

18/1

Fifty Sent

3.6

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Distinction

3.1

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Natchez Trace	71	76	68
At Liberty	70	78	73
Moonlit Cloud	69	80	72
Vellner	69	77	52
Powerful Response	68	78	67
Bustaam	65	76	44
Awtaad Prince	64	79	57
Mrs Meader	63	78	57
Franco Grasso	62	77	74
City Escape	60	78	63
Distinction	56	76	60
Fifty Sent	53	78	80

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
City Escape	8d ago	Quick return
At Liberty	14d ago	Fit
Awtaad Prince	16d ago	Fit
Vellner	17d ago	Fit
Moonlit Cloud	31d ago	Fit
Distinction	33d ago	Fit
Fifty Sent	58d ago	Fresh
Franco Grasso	76d ago	Fresh
Bustaam	127d ago	Long break
Mrs Meader	134d ago	Long break
Powerful Response	166d ago	Long break
Natchez Trace	171d ago	Long break